Indiana
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#55
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#48
Pace70.5#125
Improvement-2.0#275

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#60
First Shot+1.5#133
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#16
Layup/Dunks+6.1#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#343
Freethrows+1.3#95
Improvement-0.4#206

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#57
First Shot+2.8#90
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#47
Layups/Dunks-0.5#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#167
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement-1.5#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 2.5% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.9% 51.0% 26.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.5% 50.2% 25.9%
Average Seed 9.5 9.1 9.7
.500 or above 90.1% 98.7% 88.6%
.500 or above in Conference 27.6% 52.5% 23.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.1% 1.7%
First Four9.2% 10.6% 8.9%
First Round25.2% 45.2% 21.6%
Second Round10.0% 19.5% 8.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 4.6% 1.8%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 13
Quad 24 - 18 - 14
Quad 35 - 013 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 259   SIU Edwardsville W 80-61 94%     1 - 0 +10.8 +2.1 +8.1
  Nov 10, 2024 341   Eastern Illinois W 90-55 98%     2 - 0 +20.7 +9.9 +9.7
  Nov 16, 2024 78   South Carolina W 87-71 69%     3 - 0 +20.8 +16.6 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2024 146   UNC Greensboro W 69-58 85%     4 - 0 +9.6 -2.6 +12.5
  Nov 27, 2024 23   Louisville L 61-89 31%     4 - 1 -13.1 -7.7 -4.6
  Nov 28, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 73-89 22%     4 - 2 +2.0 +1.0 +1.9
  Nov 29, 2024 76   Providence W 89-73 59%     5 - 2 +23.5 +24.2 +0.2
  Dec 03, 2024 187   Sam Houston St. W 97-71 89%     6 - 2 +22.3 +10.9 +9.0
  Dec 06, 2024 177   Miami (OH) W 76-57 88%     7 - 2 +15.9 +3.6 +13.1
  Dec 09, 2024 92   Minnesota W 82-67 72%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +18.8 +13.3 +5.9
  Dec 13, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 68-85 41%     8 - 3 1 - 1 -4.9 +3.2 -8.4
  Dec 21, 2024 144   Chattanooga W 74-65 85%     9 - 3 +7.7 +0.9 +7.1
  Dec 29, 2024 203   Winthrop W 77-68 91%     10 - 3 +4.4 -1.4 +5.6
  Jan 02, 2025 63   Rutgers W 84-74 63%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +16.4 +8.0 +7.7
  Jan 05, 2025 42   @ Penn St. W 77-71 35%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +19.8 +10.5 +9.3
  Jan 08, 2025 60   USC W 82-69 62%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +19.7 +9.9 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2025 58   @ Iowa L 60-85 42%     13 - 4 4 - 2 -13.0 -12.4 +0.0
  Jan 14, 2025 14   Illinois L 69-94 32%     13 - 5 4 - 3 -10.2 -2.8 -5.1
  Jan 17, 2025 28   @ Ohio St. W 77-76 OT 26%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +17.5 +11.6 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2025 54   @ Northwestern L 70-79 40%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +3.5 +7.1 -4.0
  Jan 26, 2025 17   Maryland L 78-79 35%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +12.9 +20.4 -7.6
  Jan 31, 2025 9   @ Purdue L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 04, 2025 19   @ Wisconsin L 72-81 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 20   Michigan L 75-79 40%    
  Feb 11, 2025 12   @ Michigan St. L 69-79 16%    
  Feb 14, 2025 32   UCLA L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 23, 2025 9   Purdue L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 26, 2025 42   Penn St. W 78-77 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 93   @ Washington W 74-73 54%    
  Mar 04, 2025 34   @ Oregon L 72-78 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 28   Ohio St. L 73-74 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 4th
5th 0.5 1.1 0.1 1.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 1.0 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 2.9 0.3 4.8 7th
8th 0.7 5.1 2.2 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.2 4.6 6.0 0.6 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 2.4 9.2 2.7 0.0 14.3 10th
11th 0.5 7.3 5.8 0.2 13.7 11th
12th 0.0 2.6 8.2 1.4 0.0 12.2 12th
13th 0.4 6.4 4.0 0.1 10.9 13th
14th 1.7 5.4 1.0 8.1 14th
15th 0.2 3.2 2.2 0.1 5.6 15th
16th 0.7 2.4 0.4 3.5 16th
17th 0.6 0.5 1.1 17th
18th 0.2 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 1.6 8.3 17.5 23.1 21.9 15.7 8.0 3.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 100.0% 4.2% 95.8% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-8 3.1% 97.4% 4.2% 93.2% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.3%
11-9 8.0% 88.5% 1.9% 86.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.9 88.3%
10-10 15.7% 67.3% 0.8% 66.5% 9.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 4.1 2.5 0.0 5.1 67.0%
9-11 21.9% 31.2% 0.2% 31.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.2 0.5 15.0 31.1%
8-12 23.1% 6.5% 0.2% 6.2% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 21.6 6.2%
7-13 17.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 17.4 0.3%
6-14 8.3% 8.3
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 29.9% 0.6% 29.3% 9.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 4.2 6.6 7.4 8.3 0.8 0.0 70.1 29.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%