IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.3	#67
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.0	#66
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.1	#72

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.2	#59

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.5%	1.5%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	5.1%	5.2%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	11.1%	11.4%	1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.0%	31.7%	10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	29.6%	30.2%	10.1%
Average Seed	7.4	7.4	8.4

.500 or above	67.2%	68.3%	31.0%
.500 or above in Conference	36.1%	36.7%	14.8%
Conference Champion	2.5%	2.5%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	13.7%	13.2%	29.7%

First Four	3.5%	3.5%	1.7%
First Round	29.3%	29.9%	9.2%
Second Round	16.9%	17.3%	4.1%
Sweet Sixteen	6.5%	6.7%	1.3%
Elite Eight	2.6%	2.7%	0.3%
Final Four	1.0%	1.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	318	Binghamton	W	82-62	97%
Nov 08, 2024	272	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	91-74	94%
Nov 12, 2024	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	83-58	99%
Nov 15, 2024	74	Virginia Tech	W	75-74	53%
Nov 20, 2024	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	83-71	86%
Nov 25, 2024	159	Fordham	W	78-70	76%
Dec 01, 2024	337	Buffalo	W	86-64	97%
Dec 05, 2024	12	Purdue	L	72-76	36%
Dec 10, 2024	29	@ Rutgers	L	68-74	29%
Dec 14, 2024	363	Coppin St.	W	84-54	99.5%
Dec 21, 2024	154	@ Drexel	W	72-67	67%
Dec 29, 2024	166	Penn	W	79-68	83%
Jan 02, 2025	60	Northwestern	W	70-68	58%
Jan 05, 2025	20	Indiana	L	74-75	45%
Jan 08, 2025	22	@ Illinois	L	74-81	27%
Jan 12, 2025	34	Oregon	W	74-73	50%
Jan 15, 2025	24	@ Michigan St.	L	66-73	28%
Jan 20, 2025	29	Rutgers	L	70-71	48%
Jan 24, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	79-84	34%
Jan 27, 2025	30	@ Michigan	L	72-78	30%
Jan 30, 2025	31	Ohio St.	L	72-73	48%
Feb 04, 2025	76	Minnesota	W	75-71	63%
Feb 08, 2025	23	@ UCLA	L	65-72	28%
Feb 11, 2025	46	@ USC	L	73-78	35%
Feb 15, 2025	62	Washington	W	80-77	58%
Feb 19, 2025	51	Nebraska	W	76-74	56%
Feb 22, 2025	76	@ Minnesota	L	72-74	43%
Feb 26, 2025	20	@ Indiana	L	71-78	27%
Mar 01, 2025	38	Maryland	W	70-69	51%
Mar 08, 2025	44	@ Wisconsin	L	69-74	34%
Projected Record						17 - 13	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.1	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0					3.4	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	1.1	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0						3.6	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0							4.1	5th
6th											0.2	1.9	2.0	0.4	0.0								4.4	6th
7th										0.0	1.1	2.7	0.9	0.0									4.8	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	2.6	1.8	0.2										5.0	8th
9th									0.1	1.6	3.1	0.6	0.0										5.4	9th
10th								0.0	0.7	3.2	1.6	0.1											5.5	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.2	3.0	0.4	0.0											5.9	11th
12th							0.1	1.2	3.6	1.4	0.1												6.3	12th
13th						0.0	0.5	2.9	2.8	0.3													6.7	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	2.1	3.5	0.9	0.0													6.9	14th
15th				0.0	0.2	1.6	3.7	2.0	0.2														7.8	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	1.4	3.4	2.6	0.4	0.0													8.0	16th
17th		0.0	0.4	1.7	3.0	2.4	0.7	0.1														8.3	17th
18th	0.3	1.2	2.1	2.6	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0														8.6	18th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.6	4.5	6.3	8.3	9.8	10.3	10.6	10.0	9.1	7.9	6.4	4.8	3.4	2.1	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	96.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	92.9%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	85.5%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	57.5%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	24.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	7.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	53.1%	46.9%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	36.7%	63.3%	1.4		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	29.5%	70.5%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.6%		100.0%	19.7%	80.3%	2.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.3%		100.0%	16.9%	83.1%	3.3		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	2.1%		99.8%	15.1%	84.6%	4.2		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.7%
14-6	3.4%		99.1%	10.2%	88.9%	5.3		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.0%
13-7	4.8%		95.5%	5.9%	89.6%	6.7			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.2		95.2%
12-8	6.4%		87.7%	3.1%	84.6%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0					0.8		87.3%
11-9	7.9%		71.4%	2.3%	69.1%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.2	0.7	0.0					2.2		70.7%
10-10	9.1%		49.2%	1.0%	48.2%	9.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.2	1.2	0.1					4.6		48.7%
9-11	10.0%		21.1%	0.6%	20.5%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.2					7.9		20.6%
8-12	10.6%		6.4%	0.2%	6.3%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0				9.9		6.3%
7-13	10.3%		0.7%	0.1%	0.6%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				10.2		0.6%
6-14	9.8%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					9.8
5-15	8.3%																							8.3
4-16	6.3%																							6.3
3-17	4.5%																							4.5
2-18	2.6%																							2.6
1-19	1.2%																							1.2
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		31.0%	2.0%	29.0%	7.4		0.5	1.0	1.5	2.1	2.8	3.3	3.6	4.0	4.1	4.0	3.6	0.6	0.0				69.0		29.6%