Penn St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.9 119
Results Rating +4.1 107
Consistency 0.22 361
Pace 68.7 172
Improvement -4.3 328

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 81 B C+ B- B B-
Defense C- 216 D D+ B A- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 78 B- 63% 80 +4.3 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 205 A- 45% 26 +0.6 144
Three Pointers 39% 222 C+ 35% 131 -0.5 200
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 106 B +3.7 69
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 63
Second Chance C- 28.2% 242 A- 1.21 14 C+ 0.34 108
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 108
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 59
Turnovers B- 14.9% 73
Freethrows B- 0.34 78 B- 75% 91 B 0.25 60
Total Offense B- +4.3 81

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 161 C+ 10.0% 123
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 321 C 5.2% 202
Three Pointers C 84% 184 B- 0.5% 81
Total C- 53% 235 C 5.4% 171


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 261 C- 60% 227 -0.7 153
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 245 C+ 38% 150 -0.9 117
Three Pointers 45% 59 F+ 38% 350 +5.2 349
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 190 D +3.4 309
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 303
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 115 F 1.21 361 D+ 0.35 278
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.0% 68
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 80
Turnovers B 19.1% 53
Freethrows A- 0.22 10 D+ 74% 301 A- 0.16 14
Total Defense C- -1.4 216

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 198 D 6.7% 334
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 33% 310 C 4.9% 175
Three Pointers C 84% 175 D 0.2% 328
Total D+ 60% 281 D- 3.4% 333

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 85 18.4 324
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 52 0.16 127
Consistency 0.14 291 0.17 365
Improvement -2.5 304 -1.8 278

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 128 119 110
Results Rating Rank 118 113 101
Conference Record 3 - 17 3 - 17 4 - 16
Conference Finish 18 18 16
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 10
Quad 21 - 43 - 15
Quad 32 - 45 - 18
Quad 47 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 265 Fairfield W 76 - 68 86% -2  21% 1 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 D+ D A+ B- +3 B- A F
 Sat, Nov 8 326 @New Haven W 87 - 43 84% +18  83% 2 - 0 A+ +36 A+ +22 B A+ A+ A+ +20 A- C A+
 Tue, Nov 11 141 Navy W 80 - 71 68% +6  89% 3 - 0 B- +7 B+ +8 C A+ A C -0 C D- A
 Sat, Nov 15 209 La Salle W 83 - 69 71% +11  87% 4 - 0 B +11 A+ +16 A+ C- A+ D+ -3 D- F A+
 Wed, Nov 19 154 Harvard W 84 - 80 71% +2  60% 5 - 0 C +1 A+ +18 A- A- A+ F -16 F F B-
 Sat, Nov 22 72 Providence L 65 - 77 30% -3  31% 5 - 1 C- -4 F -11 F C+ C- A- +7 A+ D F
 Tue, Nov 25 255 Boston University W 96 - 87 85% +12  92% 6 - 1 C +1 A+ +22 A A A+ F -21 F F F+
 Sat, Nov 29 289 Sacred Heart W 90 - 59 89% +21  89% 7 - 1 A +21 C- -2 B- A+ F A+ +19 B- A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 185 Campbell W 87 - 76 77% +5  73% 8 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 B+ F A+ C+ +2 D- D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 39 @Indiana L 72 - 113 11% -28  1% 8 - 2 0 - 1 F -24 C -0 C+ B+ D- F -22 F F C
 Sat, Dec 13 9 Michigan St. L 72 - 76 10% -1  33% 8 - 3 0 - 2 B+ +13 B+ +8 B A- A B+ +6 B- C A+
 Sun, Dec 21 95 Pittsburgh L 46 - 80 39% -16  0% 8 - 4 F -28 F -23 F F C- D- -8 F+ C+ D-
 Mon, Dec 29 347 NC Central W 90 - 67 95% +8  75% 9 - 4 B- +7 B+ +8 A+ F B C -1 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 5 Illinois L 65 - 73 7% -10  0% 9 - 5 0 - 3 B+ +11 C- -2 D A- B+ A+ +13 A+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 2 Michigan L 72 - 74 4% -5  17% 9 - 6 0 - 4 A +22 B+ +7 D- A+ A A+ +15 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 8 @Purdue L 85 - 93 4% -5  9% 9 - 7 0 - 5 A- +15 A+ +22 A+ A+ B D- -7 C- C- F
 Wed, Jan 14 30 UCLA L 60 - 71 20% -3  17% 9 - 8 0 - 6 C +1 C- -2 B- F C- C+ +1 A F A+
 Sun, Jan 18 109 @Maryland L 73 - 96 36% -15  7% 9 - 9 0 - 7 F+ -16 B +6 A F A+ F -24 F F C-
 Thu, Jan 22 24 Wisconsin L 71 - 98 18% -20  11% 9 - 10 0 - 8 D- -14 C- -2 D- B A+ F -12 F A D
 Mon, Jan 26 28 @Ohio St. L 78 - 84 8% -8  3% 9 - 11 0 - 9 B+ +12 A- +11 A A+ F C+ +1 D A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 66 @Northwestern L 73 - 94 20% -7  6% 9 - 12 0 - 10 D -9 B- +5 A- F B+ F -15 F F C+
 Sun, Feb 1 61 Minnesota W 77 - 75 37% +6  94% 10 - 12 1 - 10 B +8 A +12 B- A+ B+ D+ -4 C F B+
 Thu, Feb 5 2 @Michigan L 69 - 110 1% -27  1% 10 - 13 1 - 11 D -11 B+ +8 C+ D- A+ F -18 F F D
 Sun, Feb 8 70 USC L 75 - 77 39% +1  41% 10 - 14 1 - 12 C+ +4 C +1 A+ C+ F B- +2 B+ F A-
 Wed, Feb 11 49 @Washington W 63 - 60 15% +1  54% 11 - 14 2 - 12 A- +17 C- -1 A- D+ D A+ +18 A+ B- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 83 @Oregon L 72 - 83 25% -5  18% 11 - 15 2 - 13 C -1 B+ +8 C B- A- F+ -9 F B A+
 Wed, Feb 18 108 Rutgers L 72 - 85 59% -13  0% 11 - 16 2 - 14 D- -12 C- -1 A- D F F -11 F B- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 15 @Nebraska L 64 - 87 5% -14  2% 11 - 17 2 - 15 C -1 C+ +2 B- C D+ D+ -4 D F+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 29 Iowa W 71 - 69 19% -1  26% 12 - 17 3 - 15 B+ +14 A +13 A+ F+ D- C+ +1 B A+ C-
 Wed, Mar 4 28 Ohio St. L 62 - 94 19% -20  3% 12 - 18 3 - 16 F -20 D -5 C+ F B- F -17 F A+ A-
 Sun, Mar 8 108 @Rutgers L 74 - 78 36%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 17 +3 B- +4 A B B- C- -1 C+ B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- A- C+ B 43% 36% 39% B- B C- A- C+ B- B- B- B C- C- C+ F+ D 36% 18% 45% C D C+ F D+ B A- D+ A-
1.15 63% 45% 35% +4 +1 1.11 28% 1.2 .34 15% .34 75% .25 1.11 60% 38% 38% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 19% .22 74% .25
Nov
3		 Fairfield D+ C C F+ D+ 52% 15% 33% C+ D+ F A D A+ A+ F B B- F C+ A+ B 38% 13% 48% F+ B- A- A A F A+ F A-
1.10 59% 38% 29% -2 +2 1.02 21% 1.3 .27 10% .40 60% .24 0.98 65% 38% 21% -7 +1 0.90 27% 0.8 .20 10% .14 89% .13
Nov
8		 New Haven A+ F A+ A+ B- 49% 10% 41% A- B A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ C A+ A- D- A+ A 36% 18% 46% D+ A- C D+ C A+ A A+ A
1.40 48% 80% 43% +5 +2 1.16 40% 1.6 .63 10% .28 75% .21 0.69 50% 43% 22% -10 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 31% .19 63% .12
Nov
11		 Navy B+ B- C F+ C 36% 30% 34% C- C B- A+ A+ A B+ B B+ C D+ C B- C 41% 27% 33% C C B F D- A A- F C
1.17 63% 38% 28% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.5 .52 13% .30 78% .23 1.03 60% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.4 .38 23% .27 93% .25
Nov
15		 La Salle A+ B+ F A+ A+ 55% 9% 36% A A+ D- A C- A+ D- D- D- D+ B F+ F F+ 36% 30% 34% B+ D- B+ F F A+ B- F+ C
1.30 66% 20% 53% +12 +3 1.32 23% 1.3 .31 11% .19 64% .12 1.08 50% 46% 40% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.6 .48 24% .31 80% .25
Nov
19		 Harvard A+ A+ D- F+ A- 51% 12% 37% B+ A- A+ D A- A+ A+ D- A+ F F B F F 38% 13% 49% D F F F F B- A F B+
1.32 76% 33% 28% +5 +2 1.16 45% 0.9 .41 11% .44 68% .30 1.25 72% 33% 43% +12 +1 1.28 38% 1.6 .58 20% .16 100% .16
Nov
22		 Providence F F A- B F 40% 25% 36% C+ F B- D+ C+ C- C- A+ B- A- B F A+ A+ 40% 7% 53% D- A+ C+ F D F B D+ B-
0.92 24% 46% 37% -10 0 0.81 33% 0.9 .30 16% .27 81% .22 1.10 57% 50% 19% -12 +2 0.83 33% 1.4 .45 10% .30 79% .24
Nov
25		 Boston University A+ B A+ A+ A 48% 16% 36% B A B- A+ A A+ A+ D A+ F F F F F 23% 13% 65% C+ F C+ F F F+ B B- B
1.51 62% 71% 44% +12 +1 1.30 33% 1.4 .47 5% .66 70% .46 1.37 82% 67% 45% +20 0 1.42 25% 1.7 .42 14% .24 69% .16
Nov
29		 Sacred Heart C- B F A+ B- 55% 18% 27% B- B- A A+ A+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A- A+ D B 34% 18% 48% C B- A A+ A+ A+ A- F B-
1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31 0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19
Dec
2		 Campbell B- C+ A+ B+ A- 52% 23% 25% B- B+ F F F A+ A A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ F D- 52% 12% 36% D+ D- D- C D+ A+ B- A+ A+
1.19 63% 58% 38% +9 +1 1.21 20% 0.3 .07 10% .38 88% .33 1.04 54% 17% 44% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 23% .34 53% .18
Dec
9		 Indiana C B- B+ F B- 37% 33% 31% C- C+ C- A+ B+ D- A- F+ B F F F F F 44% 4% 53% D- F A- F F C A D+ A
0.98 56% 44% 27% -2 -2 0.94 25% 1.5 .38 19% .37 68% .25 1.54 84% 100% 53% +29 +3 1.65 24% 2.3 .53 14% .24 80% .19
Dec
13		 Michigan St. B+ B- C- D+ B 33% 21% 46% B- B B A+ A- A F A+ D- B+ A+ A+ F B 41% 20% 39% D B- B- D C A+ D F F
1.04 58% 33% 31% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.1 .26 13% .15 89% .13 1.10 44% 22% 53% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.2 .45 25% .40 86% .35
Dec
21		 Pittsburgh F D B- F F 39% 20% 41% C F F+ F F C- F F F D- A+ F F F 43% 12% 45% D- F+ B+ D C+ D- B A+ A-
0.71 53% 40% 20% -10 0 0.82 18% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11 1.23 41% 67% 52% +8 +1 1.22 30% 1.1 .33 14% .25 57% .14
Dec
29		 NC Central B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 10% 60% C+ A+ F F F B F+ B D C F C- C F 36% 30% 34% B+ F F F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.32 81% 60% 45% +19 +1 1.42 28% 0.8 .21 16% .23 77% .17 0.98 75% 38% 33% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.7 .71 34% .15 57% .09
Jan
3		 Illinois C- F+ C+ F F+ 28% 14% 58% A D B A A- B+ A- D- B A+ C A+ A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% B A+ A- A+ A+ B F D+ F
0.96 44% 38% 24% -13 0 0.77 29% 1.1 .33 10% .23 64% .15 1.08 63% 25% 24% -8 0 0.86 36% 0.9 .33 15% .49 82% .40
Jan
6		 Michigan B+ D- C F F+ 26% 26% 47% C+ D- A- A+ A+ A A+ A- A+ A+ C+ F A+ A+ 46% 8% 46% C A+ A+ C- A+ B- B+ C B
1.01 43% 36% 16% -17 -2 0.64 33% 1.5 .49 14% .37 78% .29 1.04 61% 50% 26% -3 +2 1.00 20% 1.4 .29 17% .32 74% .24
Jan
10		 Purdue A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% A A+ C- A+ A+ B D A+ C+ D- F C+ D C- 34% 17% 48% D+ C- A+ F C- F A- A+ A+
1.27 76% 38% 42% +12 0 1.27 21% 2.2 .46 15% .18 90% .16 1.39 80% 40% 39% +12 0 1.26 26% 1.9 .48 4% .22 43% .09
Jan
14		 UCLA C- A- A+ F C+ 36% 17% 48% B B- D- F F C- A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A C A+ 18% 18% 64% C A F F F A+ F F F
1.00 67% 71% 20% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.7 .15 20% .35 94% .33 1.18 43% 29% 36% -3 -1 0.95 42% 1.7 .73 23% .46 100% .46
Jan
18		 Maryland B A C+ A A+ 35% 17% 48% C A F C F A+ A- D B F C- A F F 24% 14% 63% B- F F+ F F C- B- C+ B-
1.11 69% 38% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.0 .13 11% .36 67% .24 1.47 58% 29% 53% +17 0 1.35 41% 1.3 .55 17% .31 71% .22
Jan
22		 Wisconsin C- F B F D 27% 33% 40% D- D- B- B+ B A+ A+ B- A+ F F B+ F F 37% 10% 53% C- F F+ A+ A D A B A
1.00 40% 44% 27% -7 -2 0.84 27% 1.1 .29 10% .36 74% .27 1.38 73% 33% 45% +14 +1 1.32 37% 0.7 .26 10% .23 73% .17
Jan
26		 Ohio St. A- F A+ A A+ 25% 23% 52% C+ A A- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ F F C F+ 27% 33% 41% A D A+ B A+ D+ C+ C C+
1.14 45% 60% 39% +6 -1 1.11 36% 1.6 .56 26% .42 86% .36 1.23 77% 69% 35% +16 -2 1.29 19% 1.0 .19 13% .35 76% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Northwestern B- A F B- B+ 50% 15% 35% A A- F A+ F B+ A A+ A+ F F+ D F F 42% 20% 38% D F D F F C+ A+ A A+
1.08 67% 14% 35% +1 +2 1.08 11% 1.3 .14 16% .35 85% .30 1.38 70% 45% 52% +17 0 1.36 33% 1.6 .52 13% .15 67% .10
Feb
1		 Minnesota A C- C- B- C+ 45% 22% 33% B+ B- A A+ A+ B+ F+ A+ C- D+ F F A C+ 36% 5% 59% D- C D F F B+ C F D-
1.21 57% 36% 35% 0 0 1.02 38% 1.7 .63 16% .17 89% .15 1.18 81% 50% 27% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.8 .56 19% .33 82% .27
Feb
5		 Michigan B+ A+ B- F C+ 37% 30% 33% B- C+ D+ F D- A+ A+ A A+ F F+ A- F F 46% 11% 43% C+ F F F F D A+ F B
0.97 65% 38% 11% -9 -1 0.81 21% 0.7 .14 7% .39 81% .32 1.54 73% 33% 50% +17 +2 1.39 48% 2.0 .96 13% .27 88% .24
Feb
8		 USC C C+ A+ B A 54% 13% 33% A A+ C B C+ F C- F D- B- C+ C- A+ A- 44% 24% 32% C- B+ C F F A- A+ C+ A
1.04 57% 71% 35% +5 +2 1.15 29% 1.0 .29 24% .27 60% .16 1.06 59% 42% 25% -3 0 0.96 35% 1.8 .65 21% .31 72% .23
Feb
11		 Washington C- A+ B+ A A+ 16% 57% 27% F A- F A+ D+ D D B- D+ A+ C- A+ C A+ 30% 37% 33% A A+ C+ B- B- B+ B- A+ A
0.96 75% 43% 38% +7 -6 1.04 15% 1.5 .22 18% .21 73% .15 0.92 64% 18% 33% -6 -3 0.85 34% 1.1 .37 18% .26 57% .15
Feb
14		 Oregon B+ C+ B- F+ C 33% 29% 38% C- C C+ B+ B- A- A+ A A+ F+ C A+ F F 34% 10% 56% C- F C A- B A+ F F F
1.10 56% 43% 28% -3 -1 0.94 30% 1.0 .30 14% .42 83% .35 1.26 57% 25% 57% +17 +1 1.39 35% 1.0 .35 23% .49 84% .41
Feb
18		 Rutgers C- A+ A+ F A 33% 26% 40% D+ A- F+ C+ D F A+ B- A+ F F F C F 42% 27% 31% D- F A F B- B+ D- F F
1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32 1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36
Feb
21		 Nebraska C+ B+ D F C+ 41% 25% 33% A- B- B- D+ C D+ A+ C+ A D+ F C+ F F+ 25% 16% 58% A- D D+ F F+ B A- C B+
0.92 67% 31% 24% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.8 .22 22% .31 71% .22 1.25 86% 33% 41% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.3 .39 16% .21 75% .15
Feb
28		 Iowa A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 19% 41% C+ A+ F C+ F+ D- B B- B+ C+ C+ F C B 36% 18% 46% B B B- A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.19 67% 71% 60% +26 0 1.54 13% 1.0 .13 25% .36 75% .27 1.16 61% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 31% 0.5 .16 13% .17 89% .16
Mar
4		 Ohio St. D C+ F A+ C+ 32% 25% 43% C+ C+ F F F B- A+ A+ A+ F F+ F F F 36% 16% 49% F+ F A A+ A+ A- A A+ A+
0.96 57% 9% 42% -2 -1 0.95 3% 0.0 .00 15% .44 83% .37 1.45 75% 57% 73% +37 0 1.78 28% 0.4 .11 19% .28 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 18.4 18.4 16th
17th 16.4 16.4 17th
18th 64.3 0.9 65.2 18th
Total 64.3 35.7 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 35.7% 35.7
3-17 64.3% 64.3
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 35.7%
Lose Out 64.3%