Indiana
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#28
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#64
Pace69.9#174
Improvement-3.9#356

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#45
First Shot+8.3#18
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks+2.7#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#27
Freethrows+1.4#100
Improvement-3.3#361

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#26
First Shot+6.6#23
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#173
Layups/Dunks+8.2#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#64
Freethrows-2.5#320
Improvement-0.6#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 7.2% 7.9% 2.5%
Top 6 Seed 21.3% 23.0% 10.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.8% 66.6% 46.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.2% 66.0% 45.8%
Average Seed 7.5 7.4 8.2
.500 or above 93.2% 94.7% 83.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 64.6% 36.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 2.3%
First Four6.8% 6.7% 7.6%
First Round60.8% 63.7% 42.7%
Second Round38.2% 40.4% 24.3%
Sweet Sixteen14.1% 15.0% 7.7%
Elite Eight5.4% 5.8% 2.5%
Final Four1.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Penn St. (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 10
Quad 25 - 29 - 12
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 272 Alabama A&M W 98-51 97%     1 - 0 +38.2 +22.8 +15.2
  Sun, Nov 9 88 Marquette W 100-77 77%     2 - 0 +29.0 +23.4 +3.9
  Wed, Nov 12 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 101-70 96%     3 - 0 +24.3 +23.1 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 16 188 Incarnate Word W 69-61 95%     4 - 0 +3.2 -2.3 +6.3
  Thu, Nov 20 236 Lindenwood W 73-53 96%     5 - 0 +12.7 -2.7 +15.2
  Tue, Nov 25 82 Kansas St. W 86-69 83%     6 - 0 +20.7 +7.3 +12.1
  Sat, Nov 29 220 Bethune-Cookman W 100-56 96%     7 - 0 +37.3 +22.2 +14.5
  Wed, Dec 3 102 @Minnesota L 64-73 72%     7 - 1 0 - 1 -1.1 -1.2 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 13 Louisville L 78-87 33%     7 - 2 +9.3 +7.5 +2.3
  Tue, Dec 9 96 Penn St. W 82-70 86%    
  Sat, Dec 13 21 @Kentucky L 74-78 34%    
  Sat, Dec 20 352 Chicago St. W 91-61 99.6%   
  Mon, Dec 22 156 Siena W 79-62 94%    
  Sun, Jan 4 49 Washington W 78-72 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 93 @Maryland W 77-72 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 48 Nebraska W 79-73 71%    
  Tue, Jan 13 12 @Michigan St. L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 25 Iowa W 72-70 58%    
  Tue, Jan 20 1 @Michigan L 69-84 8%    
  Fri, Jan 23 123 @Rutgers W 76-68 78%    
  Tue, Jan 27 7 Purdue L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 27 @UCLA L 70-73 39%    
  Tue, Feb 3 35 @USC L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 30 Wisconsin W 79-76 62%    
  Mon, Feb 9 81 Oregon W 79-69 81%    
  Sun, Feb 15 15 @Illinois L 73-80 26%    
  Fri, Feb 20 7 @Purdue L 69-78 20%    
  Tue, Feb 24 61 Northwestern W 79-71 76%    
  Sun, Mar 1 12 Michigan St. L 69-71 44%    
  Wed, Mar 4 102 Minnesota W 75-63 86%    
  Sat, Mar 7 24 @Ohio St. L 74-78 36%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.4 0.8 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.5 1.7 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.9 0.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.5 0.9 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.3 7.3 10.7 13.5 15.3 14.5 12.4 8.7 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 88.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 48.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 16.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 16.5% 83.5% 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.9% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 3.9 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.5% 99.9% 5.3% 94.6% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 8.7% 99.5% 3.3% 96.1% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-8 12.4% 97.6% 1.9% 95.7% 7.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 3.4 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 97.6%
11-9 14.5% 91.5% 1.4% 90.0% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 3.7 3.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 1.2 91.3%
10-10 15.3% 76.3% 0.8% 75.5% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 3.2 3.3 1.6 0.0 3.6 76.1%
9-11 13.5% 46.2% 0.5% 45.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.0 2.5 0.2 7.3 45.9%
8-12 10.7% 16.3% 0.2% 16.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.1 9.0 16.1%
7-13 7.3% 2.9% 0.2% 2.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.1 2.7%
6-14 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 4.3 0.1%
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 63.8% 1.7% 62.1% 7.5 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.1 6.3 7.9 9.1 10.1 9.0 8.2 5.8 0.4 36.2 63.2%