Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#272
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#186
Pace67.5#237
Improvement+2.2#43

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#315
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#333
Layup/Dunks-4.8#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#28
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#149
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+1.1#93

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#176
First Shot+0.7#152
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#266
Layups/Dunks-2.7#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#26
Freethrows-2.2#305
Improvement+1.1#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 16.6% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 64.9% 82.1% 60.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.2% 87.4% 78.2%
Conference Champion 17.2% 23.4% 15.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four5.4% 5.3% 5.5%
First Round9.9% 13.9% 8.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 28 @Indiana L 51-98 3%     0 - 1 -30.1 -13.6 -16.3
  Thu, Nov 13 285 Charleston Southern W 68-64 66%     1 - 1 -5.9 -8.1 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 16 236 Lindenwood W 74-65 56%     2 - 1 +1.7 +1.3 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 28 33 @Clemson L 56-92 3%     2 - 2 -19.7 -10.0 -9.4
  Sun, Nov 30 235 @Coastal Carolina L 60-67 33%     2 - 3 -8.3 -10.4 +2.0
  Wed, Dec 3 249 Tennessee St. W 80-53 58%     3 - 3 +19.1 +11.0 +10.1
  Sun, Dec 7 161 @Lipscomb L 67-75 22%    
  Mon, Dec 15 200 North Alabama L 68-69 50%    
  Wed, Dec 17 57 Mississippi L 60-76 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 222 Chattanooga W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 353 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-71 65%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 75-62 88%    
  Sat, Jan 10 334 Alcorn St. W 75-67 76%    
  Mon, Jan 12 312 Jackson St. W 71-65 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 276 @Alabama St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 @Texas Southern L 71-72 48%    
  Mon, Jan 26 322 @Prairie View W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 343 Florida A&M W 75-66 78%    
  Mon, Feb 2 220 Bethune-Cookman W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 199 @Southern L 69-75 29%    
  Mon, Feb 9 284 @Grambling St. L 66-68 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 78-59 96%    
  Mon, Feb 16 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-68 82%    
  Thu, Feb 19 343 @Florida A&M W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 220 @Bethune-Cookman L 67-72 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 276 Alabama St. W 73-70 61%    
  Tue, Mar 3 284 Grambling St. W 69-65 63%    
  Thu, Mar 5 199 Southern L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.2 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 17.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.3 6.3 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.5 5.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.3 1.3 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.1 1.5 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.5 1.9 0.2 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.2 0.2 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.3 5.6 8.2 11.0 13.1 14.3 13.3 11.3 8.6 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.6% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 96.1% 2.4    2.1 0.3
15-3 85.5% 4.3    3.3 1.0 0.0
14-4 60.0% 5.2    2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 27.8% 3.1    0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.2% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 10.4 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.0% 49.0% 13.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 35.8% 35.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-2 2.5% 36.9% 36.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.6
15-3 5.0% 28.4% 28.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 3.6
14-4 8.6% 24.0% 24.0% 15.6 0.1 0.7 1.2 6.6
13-5 11.3% 19.0% 19.0% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.6 9.2
12-6 13.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 11.3
11-7 14.3% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.1 1.5 12.8
10-8 13.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1 12.0
9-9 11.0% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.3
8-10 8.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 8.0
7-11 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.5
6-12 3.3% 3.3
5-13 1.6% 1.6
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.9 8.7 87.5 0.0%