Chattanooga
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#222
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#292
Pace64.0#318
Improvement+1.8#61

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#167
First Shot+1.3#140
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#283
Layup/Dunks-2.8#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#35
Freethrows-0.9#230
Improvement-0.4#215

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#284
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#308
Layups/Dunks+1.4#128
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#292
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+2.2#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 12.6% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.6 15.3
.500 or above 37.2% 66.0% 35.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 81.9% 68.1%
Conference Champion 7.4% 13.5% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 2.0%
First Four2.2% 2.1% 2.2%
First Round6.5% 11.8% 6.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Neutral) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 41 @St. Mary's L 66-87 5%     0 - 1 -6.1 +4.2 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 8 132 @UNLV L 69-101 21%     0 - 2 -27.1 -0.8 -27.3
  Sat, Nov 15 174 @Florida Gulf Coast L 73-91 29%     0 - 3 -16.2 +0.0 -16.4
  Wed, Nov 19 349 @South Carolina St. W 78-66 71%     1 - 3 +2.5 -0.6 +2.8
  Sat, Nov 22 200 North Alabama W 71-57 57%     2 - 3 +8.5 +6.9 +3.9
  Sun, Nov 30 249 Tennessee St. L 64-70 66%     2 - 4 -13.9 -6.4 -7.9
  Sat, Dec 6 216 Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 61%     2 - 5 -10.6 -1.1 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 13 26 Auburn L 66-84 5%    
  Wed, Dec 17 292 @Bellarmine W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 272 @Alabama A&M L 69-70 47%    
  Thu, Jan 1 281 @UNC Greensboro L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 341 @VMI W 75-70 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 148 Furman L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 231 Samford W 74-71 62%    
  Wed, Jan 14 247 @Wofford L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 289 @Western Carolina W 74-73 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 117 East Tennessee St. L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 231 @Samford L 71-74 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 247 Wofford W 74-70 64%    
  Sun, Feb 1 148 @Furman L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Feb 5 194 Mercer W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 363 The Citadel W 78-64 90%    
  Wed, Feb 11 117 @East Tennessee St. L 67-77 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 289 Western Carolina W 76-70 72%    
  Thu, Feb 19 194 @Mercer L 74-79 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 363 @The Citadel W 75-67 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 281 UNC Greensboro W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 341 VMI W 78-67 82%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.7 5.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.6 5.4 1.3 0.1 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.6 8.6 11.1 13.6 14.5 13.2 11.0 7.8 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 96.4% 1.0    0.8 0.1
15-3 78.4% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 46.1% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.7% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.0 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 28.4% 28.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 29.1% 29.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.5% 23.2% 23.2% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.9
14-4 4.8% 20.5% 20.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 3.8
13-5 7.8% 16.5% 16.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 6.5
12-6 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.6 9.7
11-7 13.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.3
10-8 14.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 13.6
9-9 13.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.0
8-10 11.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 10.8
7-11 8.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.5
6-12 5.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.6
5-13 3.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.7 92.5 0.0%