IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Furman
Southern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.8	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.9	#269
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.1	#112

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#174

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	22.2%	27.1%	18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.2	12.6	13.4

.500 or above	82.7%	91.7%	76.3%
.500 or above in Conference	86.1%	91.2%	82.4%
Conference Champion	29.2%	36.5%	24.1%
Last Place in Conference	1.1%	0.5%	1.5%

First Four	0.6%	0.3%	0.7%
First Round	22.2%	27.1%	18.7%
Second Round	2.6%	3.8%	1.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	0.7%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Neutral) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 3	19 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	108	High Point	L	70-72	41%
Nov 07, 2025	130	Troy	W	69-66	60%
Nov 14, 2025	110	@ Northern Iowa	L	65-70	33%
Nov 23, 2025	245	Queens	W	78-69	80%
Nov 27, 2025	137	Richmond	W	67-66	50%
Dec 03, 2025	228	@ Elon	W	69-67	58%
Dec 06, 2025	172	Harvard	W	71-65	69%
Dec 18, 2025	260	@ Manhattan	W	75-71	63%
Dec 21, 2025	318	Charleston Southern	W	77-63	88%
Dec 31, 2025	248	Mercer	W	78-68	79%
Jan 03, 2026	273	Western Carolina	W	78-67	82%
Jan 07, 2026	125	@ Chattanooga	L	70-73	39%
Jan 10, 2026	296	VMI	W	77-65	85%
Jan 14, 2026	166	@ Samford	L	75-76	49%
Jan 17, 2026	206	Wofford	W	71-64	73%
Jan 21, 2026	342	@ The Citadel	W	72-62	80%
Jan 24, 2026	225	@ UNC Greensboro	W	67-65	57%
Jan 29, 2026	166	Samford	W	79-73	68%
Feb 01, 2026	125	Chattanooga	W	73-70	58%
Feb 04, 2026	152	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-68	45%
Feb 08, 2026	225	UNC Greensboro	W	70-62	75%
Feb 11, 2026	248	@ Mercer	W	75-71	62%
Feb 14, 2026	296	@ VMI	W	74-68	69%
Feb 18, 2026	152	East Tennessee St.	W	70-65	64%
Feb 21, 2026	206	@ Wofford	W	68-67	54%
Feb 25, 2026	342	The Citadel	W	75-59	91%
Feb 28, 2026	273	@ Western Carolina	W	75-70	65%
Projected Record						17 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.6	2.8	5.9	7.7	7.0	3.9	1.3		29.2	1st
2nd											0.1	1.1	4.1	6.7	5.3	2.1	0.4				19.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.4	4.4	5.9	2.7	0.6	0.0					15.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.5	4.1	4.2	1.5	0.1	0.0						11.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.0	3.4	3.2	0.8	0.1								8.6	5th
6th							0.1	1.0	2.4	2.2	0.5	0.0									6.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	1.4	0.3	0.0										4.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.0											2.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0												1.6	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.5	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.4	3.9	5.0	7.5	9.3	10.6	12.2	12.4	11.7	9.8	7.4	3.9	1.3			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.3		1.3
17-1	100.0%	3.9		3.8	0.1
16-2	94.3%	7.0		6.2	0.8	0.0
15-3	78.5%	7.7		5.5	2.0	0.1
14-4	50.2%	5.9		2.8	2.6	0.5	0.0
13-5	22.8%	2.8		0.8	1.3	0.6	0.1
12-6	4.7%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	29.2%	29.2		20.5	7.0	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.3%		68.0%	66.5%	1.6%	10.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			0.4		4.7%
17-1	3.9%		57.9%	57.5%	0.4%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	1.0	0.2	0.0			1.6		1.0%
16-2	7.4%		47.8%	47.8%		12.1											0.0	0.7	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0		3.9
15-3	9.8%		39.1%	39.1%		12.6												0.2	1.6	1.4	0.6	0.0		6.0
14-4	11.7%		31.1%	31.1%		13.1												0.1	0.9	1.4	1.0	0.2	0.0	8.1
13-5	12.4%		25.7%	25.7%		13.6												0.0	0.4	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	9.2
12-6	12.2%		15.6%	15.6%		14.5													0.1	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.1	10.3
11-7	10.6%		12.0%	12.0%		15.3													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	9.4
10-8	9.3%		8.9%	8.9%		16.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	8.5
9-9	7.5%		6.3%	6.3%		16.4														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	7.0
8-10	5.0%		4.5%	4.5%		16.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.8
7-11	3.9%		2.4%	2.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.8
6-12	2.4%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
5-13	1.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		22.2%	22.1%	0.0%	13.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	2.3	6.0	5.8	4.4	2.3	1.2	77.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	6.8		3.0	3.0	18.2	9.1	18.3	18.0	3.0	6.2	5.9	15.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	33.2%	10.3										22.3	10.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	25.0%	11.0											25.0