VMI
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#341
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#339
Pace69.3#189
Improvement-0.9#247

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#311
First Shot-6.4#342
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#113
Layup/Dunks-7.8#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#121
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement-0.3#207

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#347
First Shot-1.7#229
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#356
Layups/Dunks-1.0#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#288
Freethrows+2.5#51
Improvement-0.5#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 1.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 11.3% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 28.3% 24.5% 32.5%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 47 - 117 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 314 @Southern Indiana W 78-74 29%     1 - 0 -1.6 -4.2 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 9 37 @Missouri L 68-106 1%     1 - 1 -22.2 -3.8 -15.6
  Sat, Nov 15 291 Jacksonville L 67-69 46%     1 - 2 -12.3 -6.2 -6.3
  Wed, Nov 19 105 @Richmond L 54-87 5%     1 - 3 -25.6 -12.3 -15.3
  Sat, Nov 22 347 @Stetson L 80-99 41%     1 - 4 -28.1 +7.5 -36.7
  Mon, Nov 24 223 Buffalo L 70-78 24%     1 - 5 -11.8 -3.0 -9.2
  Wed, Nov 26 129 Bowling Green L 48-81 11%     1 - 6 -30.9 -19.9 -12.7
  Sat, Nov 29 62 @Central Florida L 57-82 3%     1 - 7 -13.2 -10.6 -3.3
  Tue, Dec 9 321 Loyola Maryland W 75-74 53%    
  Sun, Dec 21 288 @Radford L 75-82 25%    
  Thu, Jan 1 231 Samford L 73-77 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 222 Chattanooga L 70-75 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 117 @East Tennessee St. L 65-83 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 148 @Furman L 66-81 8%    
  Thu, Jan 15 194 Mercer L 76-82 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 363 The Citadel W 76-69 74%    
  Wed, Jan 21 281 UNC Greensboro L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 289 @Western Carolina L 72-79 26%    
  Thu, Jan 29 363 @The Citadel W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 194 @Mercer L 73-85 14%    
  Wed, Feb 4 247 Wofford L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 117 East Tennessee St. L 68-80 15%    
  Wed, Feb 11 281 @UNC Greensboro L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 148 Furman L 69-78 21%    
  Wed, Feb 18 247 @Wofford L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 289 Western Carolina L 75-76 46%    
  Thu, Feb 26 231 @Samford L 70-80 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 222 @Chattanooga L 67-78 18%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.2 2.4 0.2 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.7 7.3 3.1 0.4 20.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 7.2 11.2 8.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 32.3 9th
10th 0.8 3.4 5.9 5.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 18.4 10th
Total 0.8 3.6 8.5 12.6 16.1 16.2 14.3 11.1 7.7 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 41.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 1.1
10-8 2.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.5
9-9 4.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.6
8-10 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.6
7-11 11.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.0
6-12 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 16.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-14 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.1
3-15 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
2-16 8.5% 8.5
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%