Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#105
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#70
Pace71.1#142
Improvement+0.0#193

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#107
First Shot+4.8#62
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#308
Layup/Dunks-2.1#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#85
Freethrows+3.6#25
Improvement-1.3#285

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+2.0#102
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#214
Layups/Dunks+3.5#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows-0.7#235
Improvement+1.2#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 93.2% 96.0% 86.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 63.1% 50.6%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.4% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.5% 2.6%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round3.8% 4.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Home) - 71.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 411 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 266 East Carolina W 87-72 88%     1 - 0 +6.4 +6.4 -0.8
  Tue, Nov 11 119 William & Mary W 90-86 66%     2 - 0 +4.1 +9.0 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 341 VMI W 87-54 95%     3 - 0 +18.7 +11.8 +8.8
  Sat, Nov 22 359 Gardner-Webb W 102-67 97%     4 - 0 +17.8 +13.9 +1.6
  Thu, Nov 27 148 Furman L 72-73 64%     4 - 1 -0.4 -0.5 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 28 181 Charlotte W 71-66 72%     5 - 1 +3.4 +0.4 +3.4
  Wed, Dec 3 90 @Belmont W 84-76 33%     6 - 1 +16.9 +11.8 +4.7
  Sat, Dec 6 212 Old Dominion W 86-77 84%     7 - 1 +2.7 +3.0 -1.0
  Sat, Dec 13 143 Southern Illinois W 79-73 72%    
  Wed, Dec 17 184 @Elon W 80-77 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 363 The Citadel W 84-62 98%    
  Sun, Dec 28 285 Charleston Southern W 83-69 91%    
  Wed, Dec 31 59 George Washington L 81-83 42%    
  Sun, Jan 4 229 @Fordham W 73-68 69%    
  Wed, Jan 7 108 @St. Bonaventure L 71-74 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 178 Saint Joseph's W 78-69 79%    
  Wed, Jan 14 225 La Salle W 77-66 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 45 @Saint Louis L 74-84 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 116 Rhode Island W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 59 @George Washington L 78-86 23%    
  Tue, Jan 27 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 71-81 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 138 Davidson W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 116 @Rhode Island L 74-76 43%    
  Tue, Feb 10 74 George Mason L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 74-78 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 138 @Davidson L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 108 St. Bonaventure W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 260 @Loyola Chicago W 77-70 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 70 Dayton L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 133 @Duquesne L 79-80 49%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.8 1.1 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.1 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 6.1 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.6 1.1 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 0.9 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.9 7.7 10.5 13.3 14.3 14.2 11.7 8.8 5.8 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 72.0% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.0% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.8% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 84.6% 26.9% 57.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.9%
16-2 0.4% 58.3% 27.3% 31.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 42.7%
15-3 1.3% 33.2% 20.2% 13.1% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 16.4%
14-4 2.9% 20.7% 15.2% 5.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.3 6.4%
13-5 5.8% 11.7% 9.9% 1.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.1 2.0%
12-6 8.8% 7.9% 7.4% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.1 0.5%
11-7 11.7% 5.0% 4.9% 0.1% 11.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.1 0.1%
10-8 14.2% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.9 0.0%
9-9 14.3% 1.4% 1.4% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.1
8-10 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.2
7-11 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
6-12 7.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 3.4% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 95.9 0.7%