Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#273
Pace69.4#186
Improvement+1.0#113

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#186
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks-2.0#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#102
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement+0.9#105

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot+1.6#116
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#350
Layups/Dunks-5.0#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#11
Freethrows-2.0#296
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 9.9% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 22.5% 45.2% 20.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 79.2% 67.7%
Conference Champion 7.5% 11.8% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four1.0% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round5.5% 9.7% 5.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 32 - 63 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 112 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 17%     0 - 1 -8.3 -3.0 -4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 218 Norfolk St. W 60-57 63%     1 - 1 -3.6 -2.2 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 15 59 @George Washington L 73-96 8%     1 - 2 -10.5 -1.4 -8.1
  Tue, Nov 18 77 @Xavier L 69-99 10%     1 - 3 -19.5 -2.4 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 358 Morgan St. W 88-56 89%     2 - 3 +15.0 +10.7 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 23 267 @Drexel L 71-75 47%     2 - 4 -6.6 +2.2 -9.1
  Tue, Nov 25 38 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.6 +12.8 -11.9
  Sun, Nov 30 119 @William & Mary L 75-88 19%     2 - 6 -6.9 -3.3 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 105 @Richmond L 77-86 16%     2 - 7 -1.6 +1.9 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 13 74 @George Mason L 64-78 9%    
  Wed, Dec 17 177 James Madison W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Dec 20 235 Coastal Carolina W 76-72 64%    
  Sun, Dec 28 93 @Maryland L 69-81 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 282 Appalachian St. W 71-65 72%    
  Sat, Jan 3 232 Georgia Southern W 80-76 64%    
  Thu, Jan 8 235 @Coastal Carolina L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 177 @James Madison L 72-77 32%    
  Thu, Jan 15 232 @Georgia Southern L 77-79 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 282 @Appalachian St. W 69-68 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 147 Troy L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 319 Louisiana W 73-64 78%    
  Wed, Jan 28 149 @Arkansas St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 237 @Texas St. L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 360 Louisiana Monroe W 82-68 89%    
  Wed, Feb 11 172 Marshall W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 338 Georgia St. W 78-67 83%    
  Sat, Feb 21 224 @Southern Miss L 74-77 41%    
  Tue, Feb 24 172 @Marshall L 75-80 32%    
  Fri, Feb 27 338 @Georgia St. W 75-70 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.6 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 4.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.5 1.4 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.3 2.6 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.0 0.5 8.9 8th
9th 0.3 2.5 4.1 1.0 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 3.6 1.7 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.7 8.8 11.4 13.7 14.3 13.5 10.8 7.7 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.6% 0.9    0.7 0.1
15-3 80.7% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1
14-4 50.1% 2.4    1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.9% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 3.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 36.7% 36.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 32.5% 32.5% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.6% 28.8% 28.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.8
14-4 4.8% 23.9% 23.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.7
13-5 7.7% 16.6% 16.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 6.4
12-6 10.8% 9.8% 9.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 9.8
11-7 13.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 12.8
10-8 14.3% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 14.0
9-9 13.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.6
8-10 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.3
7-11 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 2.0 94.1 0.0%