Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#190
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#233
Pace74.1#72
Improvement+1.3#93

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#152
First Shot+1.2#148
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+2.5#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#254
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot+1.1#129
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#343
Layups/Dunks-1.4#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
Freethrows+3.0#32
Improvement+0.4#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.6% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 28.7% 44.2% 22.6%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 67.6% 56.6%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.2% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.5% 3.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.5% 3.5% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Neutral) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 48 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 149 Arkansas St. L 85-89 53%     0 - 1 -6.7 +4.5 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 6 92 Illinois St. W 72-68 33%     1 - 1 +6.8 +0.2 +6.5
  Tue, Nov 11 41 @St. Mary's L 60-90 7%     1 - 2 -15.1 -3.8 -11.5
  Sat, Nov 15 13 @Louisville L 81-106 3%     1 - 3 -3.7 +9.7 -11.3
  Wed, Nov 19 220 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 68%     1 - 4 -9.7 -0.7 -9.1
  Mon, Nov 24 74 George Mason L 69-92 18%     1 - 5 -15.3 +2.3 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 25 140 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 37%     1 - 6 -10.6 -12.9 +2.7
  Wed, Dec 3 328 Maine W 79-57 85%     2 - 6 +9.1 +9.3 +1.4
  Sat, Dec 6 172 Marshall W 88-81 58%     3 - 6 +2.9 +9.8 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 13 108 St. Bonaventure L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Dec 20 129 Bowling Green L 76-77 45%    
  Tue, Dec 30 309 @Central Michigan W 78-75 62%    
  Sat, Jan 3 205 @Eastern Michigan L 74-76 42%    
  Tue, Jan 6 167 Massachusetts W 81-79 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 223 Buffalo W 81-76 68%    
  Tue, Jan 13 163 @Toledo L 80-84 34%    
  Fri, Jan 16 310 @Ball St. W 75-72 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 333 Northern Illinois W 85-74 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 54 Akron L 81-90 20%    
  Tue, Jan 27 121 @Kent St. L 81-89 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 223 @Buffalo L 78-79 46%    
  Tue, Feb 3 245 Western Michigan W 82-76 69%    
  Sat, Feb 14 112 @Miami (OH) L 77-86 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 310 Ball St. W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 333 @Northern Illinois W 82-77 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 163 Toledo W 83-81 56%    
  Tue, Mar 3 167 @Massachusetts L 78-82 35%    
  Fri, Mar 6 112 Miami (OH) L 80-83 40%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 6.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.9 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.8 0.9 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.2 1.3 0.1 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.5 0.1 6.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.3 0.2 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.7 7.5 10.6 13.6 14.5 14.1 12.0 8.6 5.6 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 75.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 46.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 20.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 23.7% 23.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 18.6% 18.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 9.3% 9.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
14-4 2.9% 10.6% 10.6% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6
13-5 5.6% 7.4% 7.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.2
12-6 8.6% 4.4% 4.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.2
11-7 12.0% 3.7% 3.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.6
10-8 14.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.7
9-9 14.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.1 0.2 14.2
8-10 13.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
7-11 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 7.5% 7.5
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 97.4 0.0%