Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#333
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#283
Pace71.3#139
Improvement-4.5#359

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-5.5#323
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#133
Layup/Dunks-2.3#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#190
Freethrows-1.2#243
Improvement-4.0#365

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#344
First Shot-2.9#271
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#327
Layups/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-0.4#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 0.6% 2.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.6% 9.8% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.3% 32.4% 44.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 14.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 45 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 360 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 75%     1 - 0 +2.8 +14.7 -13.3
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @Wisconsin L 72-97 1%     1 - 1 -8.4 +3.1 -10.3
  Mon, Nov 10 99 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 5%     1 - 2 -20.8 -9.4 -10.7
  Tue, Nov 18 98 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.8 -1.4 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 21 260 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 22%     2 - 3 +14.6 +11.2 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 25 180 @Austin Peay L 59-77 14%     2 - 4 -16.5 -6.3 -11.7
  Tue, Dec 2 236 Lindenwood L 64-99 39%     2 - 5 -42.3 -14.7 -25.6
  Sat, Dec 6 115 @Bradley L 55-84 7%     2 - 6 -22.6 -15.4 -6.1
  Sat, Dec 13 184 @Elon L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Dec 20 309 Central Michigan W 75-74 53%    
  Tue, Dec 30 223 Buffalo L 74-78 38%    
  Sat, Jan 3 121 @Kent St. L 75-91 7%    
  Tue, Jan 6 163 Toledo L 76-83 27%    
  Tue, Jan 13 205 @Eastern Michigan L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 167 Massachusetts L 74-81 27%    
  Tue, Jan 20 190 @Ohio L 74-85 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 310 @Ball St. L 69-74 33%    
  Tue, Jan 27 245 Western Michigan L 75-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 112 @Miami (OH) L 71-88 6%    
  Wed, Feb 11 129 Bowling Green L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 309 @Central Michigan L 72-77 32%    
  Tue, Feb 17 223 @Buffalo L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 190 Ohio L 77-82 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 163 @Toledo L 73-86 13%    
  Sat, Feb 28 310 Ball St. W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 121 Kent St. L 78-88 19%    
  Fri, Mar 6 54 @Akron L 72-95 2%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 1.8 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.0 1.4 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.1 7.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 15.8 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 7.0 8.7 3.6 0.3 0.0 21.7 12th
13th 1.8 6.2 9.7 8.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 29.3 13th
Total 1.8 6.4 11.5 16.0 17.4 15.4 11.7 8.9 5.2 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 16.7% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 2.5% 2.5% 14.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
9-9 3.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9
8-10 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
7-11 8.9% 8.9
6-12 11.7% 11.7
5-13 15.4% 15.4
4-14 17.4% 17.4
3-15 16.0% 16.0
2-16 11.5% 11.5
1-17 6.4% 6.4
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%