Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#129
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#150
Pace71.0#147
Improvement-1.5#286

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#172
First Shot+2.1#119
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#323
Layup/Dunks+1.7#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+0.3#155

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#95
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#71
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#81
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-1.8#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 9.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.5
.500 or above 90.1% 91.0% 69.8%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 83.8% 69.1%
Conference Champion 8.6% 8.8% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.1% 9.3% 5.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 95.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 32 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 411 - 218 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 237 Texas St. W 83-48 81%     1 - 0 +27.7 +7.9 +19.5
  Sun, Nov 9 306 Le Moyne W 83-60 89%     2 - 0 +11.9 +0.7 +11.1
  Sat, Nov 15 138 @Davidson L 87-91 40%     2 - 1 +0.6 +6.5 -5.4
  Wed, Nov 19 119 William & Mary L 74-82 58%     2 - 2 -7.9 -6.2 -0.9
  Mon, Nov 24 316 Bucknell W 71-66 84%     3 - 2 -3.6 -4.8 +1.2
  Wed, Nov 26 341 VMI W 81-48 89%     4 - 2 +21.7 +6.2 +17.1
  Mon, Dec 1 82 @Kansas St. W 82-66 23%     5 - 2 +25.7 +20.4 +6.8
  Sat, Dec 6 83 Utah Valley L 71-82 44%     5 - 3 -7.4 -0.6 -6.5
  Tue, Dec 16 352 Chicago St. W 84-66 95%    
  Sat, Dec 20 190 @Ohio W 77-76 55%    
  Tue, Dec 30 112 Miami (OH) W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 167 @Massachusetts L 74-75 50%    
  Tue, Jan 6 121 @Kent St. L 78-82 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 54 Akron L 79-84 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 205 Eastern Michigan W 75-67 76%    
  Tue, Jan 20 245 @Western Michigan W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 163 @Toledo L 77-78 49%    
  Tue, Jan 27 223 Buffalo W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 309 @Central Michigan W 76-69 75%    
  Tue, Feb 3 310 Ball St. W 76-63 89%    
  Wed, Feb 11 333 @Northern Illinois W 79-70 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 163 Toledo W 80-74 70%    
  Tue, Feb 17 121 Kent St. W 81-79 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 112 @Miami (OH) L 74-79 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 245 Western Michigan W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Feb 28 167 Massachusetts W 78-72 70%    
  Fri, Mar 6 205 @Eastern Michigan W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.7 6.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.8 4.5 1.1 0.1 16.7 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 6.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.0 0.4 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.6 7.4 10.6 12.7 14.5 14.2 12.5 9.2 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 95.8% 1.0    0.8 0.2
16-2 77.6% 2.1    1.5 0.7 0.0
15-3 49.0% 2.7    1.3 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 19.9% 1.8    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 4.4 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 42.9% 38.1% 4.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7%
17-1 1.0% 37.5% 37.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6
16-2 2.8% 26.3% 26.3% 11.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0
15-3 5.6% 20.9% 20.9% 12.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.4
14-4 9.2% 17.1% 17.1% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.6
13-5 12.5% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.8
12-6 14.2% 9.6% 9.6% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 12.9
11-7 14.5% 6.7% 6.7% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 13.5
10-8 12.7% 5.8% 5.8% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.0
9-9 10.6% 3.6% 3.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.2
8-10 7.4% 1.7% 1.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
7-11 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 90.9 0.0%