Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#316
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#309
Pace68.8#201
Improvement-1.8#301

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#295
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#307
Layup/Dunks-7.9#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#5
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#317
First Shot-4.2#312
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#190
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#330
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-2.0#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.7% 7.6% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.8% 43.9% 34.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.8% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 12.5% 17.8%
First Four3.2% 3.9% 2.7%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 46.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1211 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 296 Delaware W 78-70 57%     1 - 0 -2.5 -1.1 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 7 304 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 36%     2 - 0 +6.0 +3.3 +3.5
  Tue, Nov 11 250 @Princeton L 63-73 26%     2 - 1 -11.9 -7.5 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 14 139 Hofstra L 77-83 24%     2 - 2 -7.4 +1.0 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 17 95 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 7%     2 - 3 -25.7 -15.0 -13.5
  Thu, Nov 20 16 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.7 -17.9 -6.0
  Mon, Nov 24 129 Bowling Green L 66-71 16%     2 - 5 -2.9 -3.2 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 223 Buffalo L 71-73 32%     2 - 6 -5.8 +5.0 -11.1
  Sun, Nov 30 150 Cornell L 72-101 29%     2 - 7 -31.8 -9.8 -20.5
  Wed, Dec 3 54 @Akron L 77-97 3%     2 - 8 -6.8 +8.0 -15.3
  Sat, Dec 6 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 49%     2 - 9 -15.4 -6.6 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 9 336 @Rider L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Dec 20 25 Iowa L 59-82 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 286 @Holy Cross L 69-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 307 Lehigh W 73-71 59%    
  Wed, Jan 7 197 @Navy L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 321 Loyola Maryland W 75-72 63%    
  Wed, Jan 14 327 Lafayette W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 179 @Colgate L 67-77 18%    
  Wed, Jan 21 340 Army W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 321 @Loyola Maryland L 72-75 41%    
  Mon, Jan 26 327 @Lafayette L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 253 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 242 @American L 70-77 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 179 Colgate L 70-74 36%    
  Mon, Feb 9 197 Navy L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 253 @Boston University L 68-75 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 242 American L 73-74 46%    
  Sun, Feb 22 286 Holy Cross W 72-71 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 340 @Army L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 307 @Lehigh L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 5.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.4 3.0 0.3 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.4 3.6 0.3 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.9 3.8 0.4 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.3 9.1 12.6 14.1 14.0 12.8 10.3 7.1 4.5 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 90.6% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 67.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 39.5% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 24.3% 24.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 14.5% 14.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.2% 16.5% 16.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0
13-5 2.3% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.0
12-6 4.5% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.0
11-7 7.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.6 6.5
10-8 10.3% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.7 9.7
9-9 12.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.6 12.2
8-10 14.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 13.5
7-11 14.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.9
6-12 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
5-13 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.6 96.3 0.0%