Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#340
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#310
Pace69.0#195
Improvement+0.8#127

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#314
First Shot-2.7#253
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#328
Layup/Dunks-5.0#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#29
Freethrows-1.1#242
Improvement-0.6#228

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#346
First Shot-4.7#322
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#273
Layups/Dunks-1.8#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#164
Freethrows-3.6#339
Improvement+1.4#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.5% 8.3% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 17.2% 24.1% 15.5%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 36.2% 28.9% 38.0%
First Four1.2% 1.7% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 169 @St. Thomas L 76-83 11%     0 - 1 -4.8 +5.4 -10.3
  Tue, Nov 11 3 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -35.5 -9.2 -21.2
  Sat, Nov 15 202 Harvard L 52-75 29%     0 - 3 -28.6 -18.2 -12.7
  Tue, Nov 18 150 @Cornell L 73-86 9%     0 - 4 -9.8 -9.8 +1.4
  Fri, Nov 21 158 @Marist L 65-76 10%     0 - 5 -8.4 +3.1 -12.0
  Tue, Nov 25 300 East Texas A&M L 67-84 36%     0 - 6 -24.7 -6.4 -18.6
  Wed, Nov 26 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 52%     1 - 6 -3.8 +5.0 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 29 308 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 50%     2 - 6 -8.2 -5.2 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 59 George Washington L 70-84 6%     2 - 7 -7.5 -1.4 -6.7
  Fri, Dec 12 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-78 20%    
  Tue, Dec 23 354 Binghamton W 73-68 67%    
  Wed, Dec 31 307 @Lehigh L 69-75 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 179 Colgate L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 321 Loyola Maryland W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 253 @Boston University L 68-77 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 286 @Holy Cross L 68-75 26%    
  Sun, Jan 18 242 American L 73-77 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 316 @Bucknell L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 197 @Navy L 66-78 14%    
  Wed, Jan 28 307 Lehigh L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 286 Holy Cross L 71-72 46%    
  Wed, Feb 4 179 @Colgate L 67-80 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 327 Lafayette W 73-71 55%    
  Wed, Feb 11 253 Boston University L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 242 @American L 70-80 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 321 @Loyola Maryland L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 197 Navy L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 316 Bucknell W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 327 @Lafayette L 70-74 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.4 1.0 0.1 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 1.7 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.7 3.7 0.4 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.1 7.2 4.1 0.6 0.0 19.1 9th
10th 0.5 2.2 5.2 7.4 6.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 25.3 10th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.4 9.2 12.5 14.2 14.6 13.5 10.7 7.5 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 70.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 44.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 17.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
12-6 1.5% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 2.7% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.2 2.5
10-8 4.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.2 4.5
9-9 7.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 7.2
8-10 10.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.5
7-11 13.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.4
6-12 14.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-13 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-14 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.5
3-15 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
2-16 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%