Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.2 337
Results Rating -13.4 346
Consistency 0.11 17
Pace 62.3 337
Improvement +2.2 107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 322 D- C- D D C-
Defense D- 331 F+ B- D+ D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 327 C- 57% 205 -3.8 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 225 C- 37% 212 -0.4 199
Three Pointers 47% 56 F 28% 361 -1.2 227
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 234 D- -5.0 338
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 335
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 156 D- 0.91 329 C- 0.28 241
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 247
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 327
Turnovers D 18.6% 301
Freethrows D+ 0.27 273 D+ 69% 279 D 0.19 296
Total Offense D -6.1 322

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 283 C 11.2% 186
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 282 C+ 4.6% 162
Three Pointers D+ 80% 271 C- 1.1% 248
Total D+ 50% 299 C+ 5.1% 120


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 211 D- 65% 334 +2.0 250
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 214 D+ 41% 289 +0.1 195
Three Pointers 43% 111 F 39% 359 +4.6 343
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 186 F +6.4 359
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 355
Second Chance B- 27.4% 76 B- 0.98 96 B- 0.27 68
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.9% 337
Other Turnovers B- 8.2% 75
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 282
Freethrows D+ 0.34 284 C 73% 193 D+ 0.24 281
Total Defense D- -6.1 331

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 163 F+ 5.3% 354
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 59 F+ 0.5% 362
Three Pointers B+ 77% 25 C 0.9% 153
Total C+ 53% 130 F+ 2.5% 359

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.6 355 16.7 69
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.06 364 0.18 195
Consistency 0.11 70 0.12 139
Improvement -1.0 243 +3.2 45

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 339 337 335
Results Rating Rank 347 346 345
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 138 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Iowa St. L 50 - 88 0% -24  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -13 F C D C -1 F A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 230 @St. Peter's L 83 - 93 15% -7  0% 0 - 2 D -11 B- +4 A+ A- F F -15 F B- D-
 Wed, Nov 12 31 @Texas L 58 - 93 1% -17  11% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F+ F B+ C +0 D A D
 Sat, Nov 15 333 @NJIT L 81 - 93 36% -11  0% 0 - 4 F -21 D+ -4 F+ D- B- F -16 F D+ A
 Mon, Nov 24 306 East Texas A&M L 65 - 70 48% +5  71% 0 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C+ D+ F D -6 F B- B-
 Wed, Nov 26 341 Army L 73 - 81 63% -2  31% 0 - 6 F -23 D- -7 F A A+ F -17 D- D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 72 @Providence L 64 - 94 2% -23  0% 0 - 7 F -19 D -6 C- C F F -15 F B- C+
 Wed, Dec 10 161 @Fordham L 54 - 75 9% -11  19% 0 - 8 F -18 F -13 C- F D D -6 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 137 @Boston College L 61 - 72 7% +2  59% 0 - 9 D+ -7 C +1 C- C- A+ F+ -10 F+ D- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 61 @Minnesota L 43 - 60 2% -7  6% 0 - 10 C- -5 F -20 F F F A+ +12 A+ C A-
 Fri, Jan 2 290 @Mercyhurst W 74 - 67 23% -0  44% 1 - 10 1 - 0 C+ +3 B- +5 A+ F+ F C -1 C C+ B+
 Sun, Jan 4 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 82 - 85 49% +0  46% 1 - 11 1 - 1 F+ -15 D+ -3 F C- A F -12 D- F F+
 Thu, Jan 8 348 Chicago St. W 70 - 63 66% +9  94% 2 - 11 2 - 1 D -9 F+ -10 F+ F+ D C+ +1 F A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 326 @New Haven L 55 - 65 33% -10  1% 2 - 12 2 - 2 F+ -18 F -14 F F B- D+ -5 F B- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 219 LIU Brooklyn L 59 - 66 29% -2  25% 2 - 13 2 - 3 D- -14 F -13 F F C C -1 F+ B+ B-
 Mon, Jan 19 314 Wagner W 68 - 61 50% +4  82% 3 - 13 3 - 3 D+ -5 C +1 C- A F D+ -4 C+ B+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 310 @Central Connecticut St. W 76 - 66 28% +4  50% 4 - 13 4 - 3 C+ +4 A- +11 A F+ A- D -5 D+ D- B-
 Mon, Jan 26 305 Le Moyne L 74 - 87 48% -13  0% 4 - 14 4 - 4 F -25 C- -2 F A A+ F -23 F A D+
 Thu, Jan 29 330 @Stonehill L 57 - 58 35% -1  41% 4 - 15 4 - 5 D -9 D- -8 F A- C C- -2 C+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 314 @Wagner L 72 - 75 OT 28% -1  37% 4 - 16 4 - 6 D -9 D -5 A F D D+ -5 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 5 330 Stonehill W 74 - 58 58% +10  98% 5 - 16 5 - 6 C+ +2 B- +4 C+ A C- C -1 B+ B- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 290 Mercyhurst W 55 - 52 43% +0  37% 6 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F+ -8 D+ D F C+ +2 C+ B+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 355 St. Francis (PA) W 66 - 59 71% +5  86% 7 - 16 7 - 6 D -11 F -15 F B+ F B +4 A+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 310 Central Connecticut St. L 57 - 63 50% -5  1% 7 - 17 7 - 7 F -18 F -12 F A+ F+ D- -8 B- C F
 Thu, Feb 19 348 @Chicago St. W 60 - 59 43% -0  44% 8 - 17 8 - 7 D -9 C- -1 F C+ B D- -8 F A- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 326 New Haven L 77 - 84 56% -13  0% 8 - 18 8 - 8 F -21 B +7 B+ C+ C F -28 F F F
 Thu, Feb 26 305 @Le Moyne L 59 - 76 26% -4  19% 8 - 19 8 - 9 F -23 F -13 F C- D- F -12 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 74 14% -6  7% 8 - 20 8 - 10 D- -15 D- -8 D- A- F F+ -8 F B F
 Wed, Mar 4 290 @Mercyhurst L 61 - 70 23% -7  0% 8 - 21 D- -13 F -10 F F+ D D+ -4 F A+ B-
Totals 8 - 21 8 - 10 -12 D -6 F D- C- D- -6 F D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C- F D- 33% 34% 47% C- D- C+ D- C- D D+ D+ D D- D- D+ F F 38% 19% 43% C F+ B- B- B- D+ D+ C D+
1.00 57% 37% 28% -5 0 0.91 31% 0.9 .28 19% .27 69% .19 1.17 65% 41% 39% +6 0 1.15 27% 1.0 .27 15% .34 73% .20
Nov
3		 Iowa St. F B- F F F 22% 24% 54% C- F D- A+ C D A F B- C F B+ F F 34% 27% 39% A F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+
0.71 60% 18% 20% -16 -2 0.67 20% 1.4 .28 25% .32 59% .19 1.25 85% 31% 52% +18 -1 1.36 26% 0.3 .09 13% .15 67% .10
Nov
8		 St. Peter's B- A- A+ A A+ 38% 10% 52% B- A+ D+ A+ A- F D- F F F F A+ F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F B- B- B- D- F D F
1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20 1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33
Nov
12		 Texas F F B- F+ F 41% 17% 41% B+ F+ D+ F F B+ F F F C F F A+ C- 50% 10% 40% F D C- A+ A D F A+ C
0.79 38% 40% 29% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.3 .06 12% .20 62% .12 1.27 81% 60% 24% +7 +2 1.21 39% 0.9 .34 12% .53 56% .30
Nov
15		 NJIT D+ D+ B- F F 30% 8% 62% B- F+ C F D- B- C B- C+ F F F F F 31% 11% 58% F F C D- D+ A F B+ F
1.05 56% 40% 26% -8 +1 0.89 35% 0.8 .28 13% .34 74% .25 1.21 86% 60% 46% +22 +1 1.47 26% 1.0 .26 23% .64 66% .42
Nov
24		 East Texas A&M F B+ D C C+ 40% 7% 53% B- C+ B- F D+ F B- F D D F+ A+ F F 29% 17% 54% B- F D+ A B- B- A- A+ A
0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19 1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09
Nov
26		 Army D- C- B+ F F 29% 17% 54% C- F C+ A+ A A+ B+ F+ C+ F F+ A+ D F+ 38% 10% 52% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F F C- F
1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28 1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41
Dec
2		 Providence D F F A+ D 42% 12% 46% A C- A+ F C F D A+ C- F D D+ F F 40% 13% 46% C- F D+ A- B- C+ A+ D- A+
0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19 1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16
Dec
10		 Fordham F C C D C- 32% 16% 52% B C- F F F D F C- F D B F F F 41% 15% 43% D F C- C+ C B C C+ C
0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11 1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17
Dec
22		 Boston College C F B- C C- 26% 20% 54% C- C- B F C- A+ F B F F+ F F B- F 23% 16% 60% C- F+ F C D- F+ F A+ F
1.01 38% 40% 33% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.7 .22 10% .18 70% .13 1.19 70% 71% 31% +5 -1 1.12 38% 1.0 .38 12% .47 56% .26
Dec
29		 Minnesota F A- F F F 21% 21% 57% C- F B F F F A- F C+ A+ B- A+ B- A+ 26% 15% 60% B+ A+ D- B+ C A- A A+ A+
0.71 67% 11% 25% -12 -1 0.76 33% 0.3 .10 23% .30 57% .17 0.99 58% 14% 32% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 20% .25 50% .12
Jan
2		 Mercyhurst B- C A+ A+ A+ 59% 9% 32% A A+ B- F F+ F D- B D+ C D- F A+ C+ 35% 28% 37% D C C B- C+ B+ F F F
1.16 58% 75% 50% +11 +3 1.30 36% 0.6 .23 23% .33 75% .24 1.05 63% 54% 18% -3 -1 0.93 26% 1.0 .26 19% .38 90% .35
Jan
4		 St. Francis (PA) D+ B A+ F F 33% 24% 43% F+ F F A+ C- A A+ A- A+ F A F F+ F+ 22% 24% 53% B+ D- B F F F+ F F F
1.14 69% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 13% .52 79% .41 1.18 45% 50% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.7 .40 15% .49 83% .41
Jan
8		 Chicago St. F+ B+ A+ F F+ 24% 10% 67% D+ F+ C- F F+ D A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ F F D- 40% 11% 49% F F A+ A+ A+ A- F+ F F
1.06 70% 50% 29% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.8 .29 21% .65 74% .48 0.95 39% 60% 41% 0 +1 1.04 10% 0.7 .07 20% .32 82% .26
Jan
10		 New Haven F D F F F 35% 6% 58% B F C- F F B- A- D- B D+ F A- D F 46% 18% 36% F+ F A F B- C- F A+ F
0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24 1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27
Jan
17		 LIU Brooklyn F C C- F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F C- F F C A+ F A- C F B- C F+ 57% 24% 20% D- F+ D+ A+ B+ B- A A+ A+
0.91 56% 38% 21% -9 0 0.84 33% 0.6 .21 19% .49 58% .29 1.02 69% 36% 33% +6 +1 1.15 37% 0.7 .27 22% .20 50% .10
Jan
19		 Wagner C F A+ B B 19% 44% 36% F C- A C+ A F A+ B A+ D+ D+ C+ B C- 36% 36% 29% A C+ A+ F B+ F D F F
1.17 43% 50% 38% +5 -4 1.03 41% 1.1 .45 24% .57 76% .43 1.05 56% 38% 31% -2 -2 0.93 19% 1.4 .27 14% .32 88% .28
Jan
23		 Central Connecticut St. A- A F A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% D A F C- F+ A- D- C+ D- D A- F B D+ 36% 34% 30% C- D+ F B- D- B- D+ F D
1.29 70% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 21% 1.0 .21 9% .20 82% .17 1.12 50% 60% 31% +3 -2 1.05 36% 0.9 .32 19% .27 85% .23
Jan
26		 Le Moyne C- D+ D F F 40% 13% 46% B- F B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 44% 10% 46% F+ F A+ C A D+ F F F
1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42 1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40
Jan
29		 Stonehill D- F B- F F 36% 34% 30% F F B A- A- C F A+ F C- A- F A+ C 40% 29% 31% A- C+ D- C D D- D+ F D-
0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04 0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20
Jan
31		 Wagner D D+ A+ A+ A- 52% 9% 39% B+ A F F F D F F F D+ A A D- B 46% 13% 40% F C+ B- B- B- F F F F
1.05 54% 60% 48% +8 +2 1.22 21% 0.4 .09 16% .19 36% .07 1.09 42% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 30% 1.0 .30 13% .39 83% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Stonehill B- B- C+ C- B- 37% 27% 37% D C+ B+ A A C- B- A+ A- C C- B- A+ B- 26% 35% 40% A+ B+ A- D B- D+ F A F
1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25 0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31
Feb
7		 Mercyhurst F+ A+ F F D+ 38% 15% 46% C D+ B+ F D F F+ A+ C C+ D- D+ A+ C 24% 39% 37% A- C+ A- B- B+ F A- B- A-
1.01 80% 17% 22% -3 +1 0.97 39% 0.7 .29 24% .32 85% .27 0.96 64% 44% 24% -2 -3 0.91 20% 1.0 .20 11% .15 71% .10
Feb
12		 St. Francis (PA) F A+ A+ F D- 28% 28% 44% F F D A+ B+ F A+ F A B B+ A A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A+ F A+ C+ F+ F C- F
1.01 80% 60% 19% +2 -2 1.03 28% 1.8 .48 23% .56 57% .32 0.90 50% 25% 22% -14 0 0.76 36% 0.7 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
14		 Central Connecticut St. F F F F F 38% 14% 48% C- F A+ B A+ F+ A+ B- A+ D- D+ D- A C 18% 49% 33% A+ B- F A+ C F F F F
1.01 44% 17% 10% -26 +1 0.52 44% 1.1 .49 16% .48 83% .40 1.12 63% 45% 27% +1 -5 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 12% .34 94% .32
Feb
19		 Chicago St. C- F A- B+ F 41% 27% 32% F+ F B D+ C+ B D+ F F+ D- B- F+ F F 39% 32% 29% D F A- B+ A- C- F C- F
1.14 41% 45% 38% -3 -1 0.95 41% 1.1 .44 17% .32 64% .21 1.12 50% 46% 42% +3 -1 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 15% .38 76% .29
Feb
21		 New Haven B A+ D- B- B+ 39% 18% 43% C B+ B+ D- C+ C C+ D C F F B- F F 30% 20% 50% C+ F A F F F F A+ C
1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21 1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18
Feb
26		 Le Moyne F F F A F 40% 22% 38% C- F C+ D+ C- D- A+ C- A F F D B F 45% 14% 41% D F B+ A A- F B- D C+
0.92 39% 0% 41% -12 0 0.78 32% 1.0 .32 17% .41 73% .30 1.19 86% 43% 30% +11 +1 1.27 20% 0.8 .16 16% .30 75% .22
Feb
28		 LIU Brooklyn D- A F F D- 41% 20% 39% C- D- B+ B+ A- F F C+ F F+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C F A+ F B F C C C
0.95 68% 22% 22% -6 0 0.91 40% 1.2 .47 30% .23 70% .16 1.18 76% 20% 50% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.4 .27 16% .28 67% .19
Mar
4		 Mercyhurst F A+ C- F D 13% 43% 43% F F D F F+ D B- D- C D+ D- F F+ F 35% 30% 35% D+ F A+ A+ A+ B- F F F
0.94 83% 35% 25% -4 -5 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 20% .41 67% .27 1.08 63% 57% 38% +9 -2 1.17 16% 0.5 .08 17% .30 88% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%