East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#241
Pace68.1#219
Improvement+1.8#66

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#332
First Shot-3.6#275
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#321
Layup/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#64
Freethrows-4.7#355
Improvement+0.8#112

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#217
First Shot-3.0#275
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#88
Layups/Dunks-4.5#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#152
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement+0.9#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.1
.500 or above 8.7% 12.6% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 18.6% 22.5% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 29.5% 24.7% 35.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 12
Quad 49 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 84 @New Mexico L 54-76 6%     0 - 1 -12.5 -18.4 +8.0
  Sun, Nov 9 104 @Hawaii L 74-100 9%     0 - 2 -18.6 +1.1 -17.2
  Fri, Nov 14 213 @Rice L 64-71 24%     0 - 3 -7.3 -5.3 -2.4
  Mon, Nov 24 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-65 66%     1 - 3 -6.8 -6.8 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 340 Army W 84-67 64%     2 - 3 +5.7 +6.5 -0.5
  Fri, Dec 5 6 @Connecticut L 59-83 1%     2 - 4 -0.3 +1.7 -3.6
  Sun, Dec 7 279 Central Arkansas W 71-69 56%    
  Fri, Dec 12 80 @McNeese St. L 59-77 5%    
  Mon, Dec 15 246 @SE Louisiana L 64-70 29%    
  Sun, Dec 21 39 @Texas A&M L 63-86 2%    
  Mon, Dec 29 142 Stephen F. Austin L 65-71 30%    
  Wed, Dec 31 214 Lamar L 64-65 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 254 @Nicholls St. L 67-72 31%    
  Mon, Jan 5 244 @New Orleans L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 209 UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-74 44%    
  Mon, Jan 12 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-68 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 @Houston Christian L 66-71 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 188 @Incarnate Word L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 302 @Northwestern St. L 67-70 40%    
  Mon, Jan 26 214 @Lamar L 61-68 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 254 Nicholls St. W 70-69 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 244 New Orleans L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 302 Northwestern St. W 70-67 61%    
  Mon, Feb 9 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-74 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 80 McNeese St. L 62-74 15%    
  Mon, Feb 16 246 SE Louisiana W 67-66 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 188 Incarnate Word L 68-71 40%    
  Mon, Feb 23 263 Houston Christian W 69-68 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-77 26%    
  Mon, Mar 2 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-71 26%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.7 0.8 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.7 1.1 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.0 2.6 0.3 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 5.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 13.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.6 5.5 3.3 0.6 0.0 16.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.6 4.5 5.5 4.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 20.9 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.7 5.0 7.6 10.0 11.6 12.0 12.0 10.6 8.7 6.6 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-4 60.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 45.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 25.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-7 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.1% 15.2% 15.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-6 0.5% 13.5% 13.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-7 1.0% 7.3% 7.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
14-8 1.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
13-9 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
12-10 4.8% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
11-11 6.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.5
10-12 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.6
9-13 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.6
8-14 12.0% 12.0
7-15 12.0% 12.0
6-16 11.6% 11.6
5-17 10.0% 10.0
4-18 7.6% 7.6
3-19 5.0% 5.0
2-20 2.7% 2.7
1-21 1.1% 1.1
0-22 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%