Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#243
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#201
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 10.8% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.1 14.1
.500 or above 33.1% 67.1% 32.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.1% 77.0% 53.6%
Conference Champion 5.1% 13.6% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 1.4% 6.9%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round4.9% 10.8% 4.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 30   @ Mississippi L 60-82 2%    
  Nov 07, 2025 234   @ Louisiana L 67-70 38%    
  Nov 10, 2025 83   @ Georgia Tech L 64-78 10%    
  Nov 15, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 61-82 3%    
  Nov 26, 2025 118   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-74 18%    
  Nov 28, 2025 307   Gardner-Webb W 73-69 63%    
  Nov 29, 2025 224   Navy L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 07, 2025 255   Northwestern St. W 67-64 62%    
  Dec 13, 2025 289   @ Houston Christian L 66-67 49%    
  Dec 15, 2025 333   East Texas A&M W 73-64 78%    
  Dec 19, 2025 52   @ LSU L 62-80 6%    
  Dec 30, 2025 209   @ Incarnate Word L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 03, 2026 212   Stephen F. Austin W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 05, 2026 218   Lamar W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 10, 2026 96   @ McNeese St. L 61-74 14%    
  Jan 12, 2026 312   New Orleans W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 17, 2026 221   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 19, 2026 270   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-75 45%    
  Jan 24, 2026 233   Nicholls St. W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 26, 2026 96   McNeese St. L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 31, 2026 212   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 02, 2026 218   @ Lamar L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 07, 2026 289   Houston Christian W 70-64 68%    
  Feb 09, 2026 209   Incarnate Word W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 14, 2026 255   @ Northwestern St. L 64-67 42%    
  Feb 16, 2026 333   @ East Texas A&M W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 21, 2026 270   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 23, 2026 221   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2026 233   @ Nicholls St. L 68-72 38%    
  Mar 02, 2026 312   @ New Orleans W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.1 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.9 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.2 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.7 5.1 6.4 7.9 9.0 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.7 7.8 6.4 4.9 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
20-2 95.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
19-3 75.3% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
18-4 57.3% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
17-5 34.7% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-6 14.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 55.9% 55.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.2% 45.1% 45.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
20-2 0.6% 39.2% 39.2% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
19-3 1.2% 36.1% 36.1% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.8
18-4 2.2% 28.9% 28.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
17-5 3.3% 22.3% 22.3% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.6
16-6 4.9% 14.4% 14.4% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.2
15-7 6.4% 10.4% 10.4% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.8
14-8 7.8% 6.5% 6.5% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.3
13-9 8.7% 4.4% 4.4% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.3
12-10 9.1% 2.4% 2.4% 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.9
11-11 9.5% 1.2% 1.2% 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.4
10-12 9.5% 1.1% 1.1% 17.2 0.0 0.1 9.4
9-13 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
8-14 7.9% 7.9
7-15 6.4% 6.4
6-16 5.1% 5.1
5-17 3.7% 3.7
4-18 2.3% 2.3
3-19 1.3% 1.3
2-20 0.6% 0.6
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.3 0.8 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%