Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#214
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#215
Pace64.1#315
Improvement-1.3#275

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#321
First Shot-7.5#354
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#73
Layup/Dunks-5.5#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#330
Freethrows-5.1#358
Improvement-1.4#295

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#105
First Shot+3.4#70
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#274
Layups/Dunks+1.9#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+0.8#130
Improvement+0.1#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.7% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 46.5% 72.9% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.9% 64.5% 46.9%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.9% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 3.1% 8.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.4% 5.7% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 47 @TCU L 65-78 6%     0 - 1 +0.8 +6.1 -6.4
  Mon, Nov 17 360 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 77%     1 - 1 +1.8 -0.8 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 23 206 @Montana W 68-63 36%     2 - 1 +5.3 -8.5 +13.6
  Mon, Nov 24 146 Oakland L 68-83 34%     2 - 2 -14.1 -10.0 -4.0
  Wed, Dec 3 319 Louisiana W 65-55 79%     3 - 2 -1.9 -1.7 +1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-57 61%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -14.3 -15.9 +0.4
  Wed, Dec 10 56 @San Diego St. L 59-76 6%    
  Tue, Dec 16 209 UT Rio Grande Valley W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Dec 20 233 Nebraska Omaha W 70-66 64%    
  Mon, Dec 29 302 @Northwestern St. W 66-65 55%    
  Wed, Dec 31 300 @East Texas A&M W 65-64 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 80 @McNeese St. L 57-71 11%    
  Mon, Jan 5 246 @SE Louisiana L 62-64 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 188 Incarnate Word W 66-65 55%    
  Mon, Jan 12 263 Houston Christian W 68-63 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 254 @Nicholls St. L 65-66 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 244 @New Orleans L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 142 Stephen F. Austin L 64-66 44%    
  Mon, Jan 26 300 East Texas A&M W 68-61 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 80 McNeese St. L 60-68 25%    
  Mon, Feb 2 246 SE Louisiana W 65-61 65%    
  Sat, Feb 7 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 61-69 25%    
  Mon, Feb 9 302 Northwestern St. W 69-62 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 62-65 39%    
  Mon, Feb 16 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-71 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 244 New Orleans W 71-67 64%    
  Mon, Feb 23 254 Nicholls St. W 68-63 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 @Incarnate Word L 63-68 35%    
  Mon, Mar 2 263 @Houston Christian L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.3 4.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.2 2.6 0.4 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.5 5.4 7.6 9.6 11.1 11.7 11.9 10.6 8.8 6.8 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 92.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-4 70.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-5 40.5% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
16-6 20.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 5.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 54.2% 54.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 34.3% 34.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.7% 30.6% 30.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-5 1.5% 23.9% 23.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1
16-6 2.6% 16.3% 16.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2
15-7 4.7% 12.5% 12.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.1
14-8 6.8% 8.9% 8.9% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.2
13-9 8.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.3
12-10 10.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.3
11-11 11.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
10-12 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
9-13 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-14 9.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.6
7-15 7.6% 7.6
6-16 5.4% 5.4
5-17 3.5% 3.5
4-18 1.8% 1.8
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.3 96.6 0.0%