Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#146
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#122
Pace76.3#39
Improvement-0.9#243

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#63
First Shot+5.7#38
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#204
Layup/Dunks+5.1#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#231
Freethrows+1.5#97
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#323
First Shot-3.7#296
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#232
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#289
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#303
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement-1.0#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.4% 27.4% 22.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 80.9% 92.4% 77.2%
.500 or above in Conference 94.4% 96.7% 93.6%
Conference Champion 37.6% 45.9% 34.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round23.3% 27.3% 22.0%
Second Round1.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 24.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 35 - 55 - 11
Quad 413 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78-121 1%     0 - 1 -13.6 +13.5 -22.9
  Fri, Nov 7 7 @Purdue L 77-87 3%     0 - 2 +13.3 +12.7 +0.6
  Wed, Nov 12 8 @Houston L 45-78 3%     0 - 3 -10.3 -9.7 -4.9
  Mon, Nov 17 62 @Central Florida L 83-87 15%     0 - 4 +7.8 +10.7 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 205 @Eastern Michigan L 91-97 52%     0 - 5 -5.7 +14.1 -19.4
  Mon, Nov 24 214 Lamar W 83-68 66%     1 - 5 +11.5 +11.3 +0.0
  Tue, Nov 25 206 @Montana W 95-87 52%     2 - 5 +8.3 +11.6 -4.1
  Wed, Dec 3 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101-92 78%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +1.6 +13.9 -13.1
  Sat, Dec 6 163 Toledo W 98-97 67%     4 - 5 -2.6 +9.7 -12.4
  Sat, Dec 13 98 @Northern Iowa L 70-77 24%    
  Wed, Dec 17 192 @Northern Kentucky L 82-83 49%    
  Sat, Dec 20 12 Michigan St. L 69-87 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 159 @Wright St. L 79-81 43%    
  Thu, Jan 1 162 @Youngstown St. L 79-81 44%    
  Sun, Jan 4 186 Robert Morris W 83-77 70%    
  Fri, Jan 9 323 Cleveland St. W 93-80 89%    
  Sun, Jan 11 159 Wright St. W 82-78 65%    
  Thu, Jan 15 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-85 56%    
  Sun, Jan 18 273 @Green Bay W 82-78 63%    
  Wed, Jan 21 356 IU Indianapolis W 105-87 95%    
  Sat, Jan 24 293 @Detroit Mercy W 84-79 68%    
  Wed, Jan 28 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-85 58%    
  Sun, Feb 1 192 Northern Kentucky W 86-80 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 323 @Cleveland St. W 90-83 74%    
  Thu, Feb 12 162 Youngstown St. W 82-78 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 186 @Robert Morris L 79-80 49%    
  Fri, Feb 20 273 Green Bay W 85-75 80%    
  Sun, Feb 22 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-82 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 356 @IU Indianapolis W 102-90 85%    
  Sat, Feb 28 293 Detroit Mercy W 87-76 84%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.6 7.9 10.0 8.2 4.8 1.9 0.4 37.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.0 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 3.4 1.9 0.2 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.9 7.8 11.0 13.5 15.1 14.3 12.2 8.6 4.8 1.9 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.0
18-2 99.4% 4.8    4.7 0.1
17-3 95.8% 8.2    7.3 0.9 0.0
16-4 82.1% 10.0    7.5 2.3 0.2
15-5 55.2% 7.9    3.9 3.2 0.8 0.0
14-6 24.2% 3.6    0.8 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-7 5.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 37.6% 37.6 26.5 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 55.5% 55.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.9% 50.8% 50.8% 12.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9
18-2 4.8% 44.0% 44.0% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.7
17-3 8.6% 36.7% 36.7% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 5.4
16-4 12.2% 33.9% 33.9% 13.7 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.5 8.1
15-5 14.3% 27.5% 27.5% 13.9 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.0 10.4
14-6 15.1% 22.9% 22.9% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.2 0.0 11.6
13-7 13.5% 19.1% 19.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.1 10.9
12-8 11.0% 13.4% 13.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 9.5
11-9 7.8% 11.2% 11.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 6.9
10-10 4.9% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.1 0.2 4.5
9-11 3.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.9
8-12 1.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.1 1.4
7-13 0.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
6-14 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.4% 23.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.9 8.7 5.7 1.2 76.6 0.0%