Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#323
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#337
Pace73.5#87
Improvement-1.2#264

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#239
First Shot-1.4#216
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#251
Layup/Dunks-3.5#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#50
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement-2.8#352

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#352
First Shot-6.7#356
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-3.0#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#304
Freethrows+1.0#123
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.5% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 3.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 14.2% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 16.0% 26.8%
First Four0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 46 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 260 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 25%     0 - 1 -5.4 +10.4 -15.7
  Mon, Nov 10 61 @Northwestern L 63-110 3%     0 - 2 -35.0 -9.2 -23.4
  Sat, Nov 15 121 Kent St. L 95-102 13%     0 - 3 -4.2 +13.2 -16.8
  Sun, Nov 16 288 Radford W 87-82 41%     1 - 3 -2.1 -2.4 -0.5
  Wed, Nov 19 211 Valparaiso L 75-90 38%     1 - 4 -21.3 +2.3 -23.7
  Sat, Nov 22 121 @Kent St. L 71-91 9%     1 - 5 -14.2 -9.2 -2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 37 @Missouri L 59-86 2%     1 - 6 -11.2 -8.4 -2.6
  Wed, Dec 3 192 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 17%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -14.0 +5.8 -19.4
  Sat, Dec 6 293 Detroit Mercy L 59-71 54%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -22.4 -12.7 -10.9
  Wed, Dec 17 110 @UAB L 72-88 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-83 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 356 IU Indianapolis W 95-88 76%    
  Sun, Jan 4 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-86 23%    
  Fri, Jan 9 146 @Oakland L 80-93 11%    
  Sun, Jan 11 293 @Detroit Mercy L 75-80 32%    
  Thu, Jan 15 273 Green Bay L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 162 Youngstown St. L 73-79 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 159 @Wright St. L 70-82 14%    
  Fri, Jan 30 273 @Green Bay L 73-80 27%    
  Sun, Feb 1 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-86 22%    
  Wed, Feb 4 146 Oakland L 83-90 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 356 @IU Indianapolis W 92-91 55%    
  Thu, Feb 12 186 Robert Morris L 74-79 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 159 Wright St. L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 162 @Youngstown St. L 70-82 15%    
  Sun, Feb 22 238 Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-83 43%    
  Wed, Feb 25 192 Northern Kentucky L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 186 @Robert Morris L 71-82 17%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 4.3 1.4 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 6.8 6.2 2.2 0.2 20.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.0 9.4 10.2 6.7 1.8 0.2 34.6 10th
11th 0.5 2.2 4.4 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 17.0 11th
Total 0.5 2.3 5.8 10.0 13.8 15.7 15.3 12.9 9.6 6.5 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4
15-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 18.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 9.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.5% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 1.0% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0
11-9 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 2.1
10-10 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.7
9-11 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.5
8-12 9.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.5
7-13 12.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.8
6-14 15.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-15 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
4-16 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.8
3-17 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
2-18 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
1-19 2.3% 2.3
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%