Preseason Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#232
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.4#286
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#204
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 14.3% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 38.4% 64.6% 34.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.2% 76.6% 59.9%
Conference Champion 10.6% 18.5% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.8% 3.8%
First Four1.5% 0.7% 1.6%
First Round8.9% 14.3% 8.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 103   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-73 14%    
  Nov 10, 2025 71   @ Northwestern L 58-73 8%    
  Nov 15, 2025 126   Kent St. L 63-69 29%    
  Nov 16, 2025 150   Radford L 63-67 34%    
  Nov 19, 2025 261   Valparaiso W 71-67 65%    
  Nov 22, 2025 126   @ Kent St. L 62-71 21%    
  Nov 28, 2025 37   @ Missouri L 61-81 4%    
  Dec 03, 2025 266   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 06, 2025 309   Detroit Mercy W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 17, 2025 102   @ UAB L 66-78 16%    
  Dec 21, 2025 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 29, 2025 359   IU Indianapolis W 74-60 88%    
  Jan 04, 2026 192   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 09, 2026 197   @ Oakland L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 11, 2026 309   @ Detroit Mercy W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 15, 2026 314   Green Bay W 75-67 74%    
  Jan 17, 2026 179   Youngstown St. W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 21, 2026 191   @ Wright St. L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 30, 2026 314   @ Green Bay W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 01, 2026 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 04, 2026 197   Oakland W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 07, 2026 359   @ IU Indianapolis W 71-63 74%    
  Feb 12, 2026 207   Robert Morris W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 15, 2026 191   Wright St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 18, 2026 179   @ Youngstown St. L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 22, 2026 192   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 25, 2026 266   Northern Kentucky W 68-63 65%    
  Feb 28, 2026 207   @ Robert Morris L 66-70 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.8 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 3.1 4.2 2.5 0.6 0.1 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.6 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.8 1.5 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.7 2.4 0.9 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.4 7.1 8.2 9.5 10.5 10.4 10.3 9.0 7.8 5.7 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 99.3% 1.1    1.1 0.1
17-3 88.4% 2.3    1.9 0.4 0.0
16-4 67.7% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
15-5 40.1% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-6 14.2% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.7 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 63.3% 63.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.5% 46.4% 46.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.1% 41.3% 41.3% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.6% 34.2% 34.2% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.0% 29.7% 29.7% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8
15-5 5.7% 22.4% 22.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 4.4
14-6 7.8% 16.6% 16.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 6.5
13-7 9.0% 12.7% 12.7% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 7.9
12-8 10.3% 9.1% 9.1% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 9.4
11-9 10.4% 6.5% 6.5% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.7
10-10 10.5% 3.9% 3.9% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.1
9-11 9.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.3 0.0 0.2 9.3
8-12 8.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.1
7-13 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.1
6-14 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.6 2.6 91.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%