Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.8 319
Results Rating -8.4 300
Consistency 0.14 140
Pace 72.8 65
Improvement +3.1 68

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 159 C+ D+ C- C+ C
Defense F 362 F D- D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 350 C- 56% 217 -5.5 344
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 288 D 34% 311 -2.3 288
Three Pointers 53% 8 B+ 38% 26 +9.7 4
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 200 B- +2.0 102
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 111
Second Chance D 24.9% 325 C+ 1.06 125 D+ 0.26 282
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 160
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 321
Turnovers C- 17.8% 256
Freethrows C 0.31 165 B- 75% 85 C+ 0.23 129
Total Offense C +0.2 159

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 155 F 17.9% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 184 C- 6.1% 260
Three Pointers D+ 80% 273 F 2.0% 352
Total B- 61% 72 D- 7.5% 340


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 255 F 69% 363 +2.6 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 297 D 42% 317 -0.7 129
Three Pointers 47% 30 D- 38% 345 +5.9 353
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 234 F +7.2 362
1st FG Attempt F 1.18 362
Second Chance F+ 36.2% 351 C- 1.07 254 D- 0.39 339
Turnovers from Steals D 7.9% 299
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 176
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 276
Freethrows C- 0.32 221 D- 76% 343 D+ 0.24 267
Total Defense F -10.0 362

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 325 D 7.4% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 241 C- 3.7% 243
Three Pointers D+ 87% 290 C- 0.7% 215
Total D 63% 331 D 3.6% 325

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 124 16.7 71
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 67 0.21 322
Consistency 0.12 151 0.12 145
Improvement +1.9 96 +1.2 122

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 324 318 312
Results Rating Rank 310 307 285
Conference Record 6 - 14 6 - 14 6 - 14
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 103 - 13
Quad 46 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 279 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 28% -2  25% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B+ +9 B- A F F -16 D+ C F
 Mon, Nov 10 69 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 3% -24  1% 0 - 2 F -35 F -10 C C- F F -23 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 152 Kent St. L 95 - 102 17% -2  22% 0 - 3 D+ -7 A- +11 A A+ F+ F -17 D F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 243 Radford W 87 - 82 31% -9  10% 1 - 3 C +0 D+ -4 C+ F D+ B +4 A D- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 155 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 25% -12  0% 1 - 4 F+ -18 C -0 C D A F -18 F F D
 Sat, Nov 22 152 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 11% -14  1% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -12 D D- F C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 46 @Missouri L 59 - 86 2% -19  0% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -12 C- F+ F C -0 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 188 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 15% -8  2% 1 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 B- +4 A- B- F F -17 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 237 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 41% -4  24% 1 - 8 0 - 2 F -19 F -15 F C- F D -6 C B- F
 Wed, Dec 17 123 @UAB L 77 - 101 8% -7  18% 1 - 9 F -18 C+ +2 A F D F -19 F D- D
 Sun, Dec 21 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 46% +0  49% 1 - 10 0 - 3 F -19 D+ -4 F D A+ F -16 D F+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 327 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 65% +10  94% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -1 B +7 B- C+ B- F+ -9 B F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 257 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 24% +4  70% 2 - 11 1 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -2 F+ A+ D- C- -3 C D D-
 Fri, Jan 9 170 @Oakland L 72 - 97 13% -13  6% 2 - 12 1 - 5 F -23 F -10 F C+ C- F -11 B- F B-
 Sun, Jan 11 237 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 21% -11  1% 2 - 13 1 - 6 D -11 C +0 A F F F -11 F+ F A
 Thu, Jan 15 209 Green Bay L 73 - 88 35% -2  43% 2 - 14 1 - 7 F -21 C+ +2 B+ F+ C- F -25 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 217 Youngstown St. W 80 - 78 36% +1  52% 3 - 14 2 - 7 C- -4 C+ +4 A+ C- F+ D- -8 C A- F
 Wed, Jan 21 161 @Wright St. W 85 - 79 12% -0  33% 4 - 14 3 - 7 B +9 A- +11 B+ D A- C- -2 B F F
 Fri, Jan 30 209 @Green Bay W 89 - 82 17% +5  80% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +7 A+ +17 A+ A+ D- F+ -9 D F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 261 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90 - 88 25% +4  96% 6 - 14 5 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ A- C+ F -13 F F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 170 Oakland W 91 - 78 28% -2  25% 7 - 14 6 - 7 B +9 B+ +8 A+ F+ C C+ +1 C B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 327 @IU Indianapolis L 74 - 82 42% -13  1% 7 - 15 6 - 8 F+ -16 F -12 F+ F D+ D+ -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 158 Robert Morris L 68 - 85 26% -10  12% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -20 C- -2 C- F A- F -20 F F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 161 Wright St. L 90 - 102 26% -10  2% 7 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -15 B +6 A D- B+ F -21 F C+ C+
 Wed, Feb 18 217 @Youngstown St. L 82 - 106 18% -14  0% 7 - 18 6 - 11 F -24 B +7 B+ F A+ F -31 F F D-
 Sun, Feb 22 257 Purdue Fort Wayne L 86 - 92 45% -6  12% 7 - 19 6 - 12 D- -14 C- -1 B D C+ F -13 F B B-
 Wed, Feb 25 188 Northern Kentucky L 70 - 81 32% -14  0% 7 - 20 6 - 13 F+ -16 F+ -10 F C B+ D -6 F D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 158 @Robert Morris L 64 - 83 12% -3  43% 7 - 21 6 - 14 F+ -16 D -5 D- A B F -13 F D- C+
 Mon, Mar 2 327 IU Indianapolis W 101 - 93 65% +5  78% 8 - 21 D+ -6 C +1 A+ F D+ F+ -8 F+ B+ D+
 Wed, Mar 4 161 @Wright St. L 76 - 89 12%
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 14 -10 C +0 A+ B- C F -10 B+ B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D B+ B- 30% 28% 53% C C+ D C+ D+ C- C B- C+ F F D D- F 36% 17% 47% C- F F+ C- D- D+ C- D- D+
1.09 56% 34% 38% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .26 18% .31 75% .23 1.23 69% 42% 38% +7 0 1.18 36% 1.1 .39 15% .32 76% .24
Nov
3		 Loyola Chicago B+ D A+ C B- 32% 21% 46% C- B- A+ F A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F D D+ 34% 7% 59% C- D+ C+ D+ C F F+ F F
1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36 1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29
Nov
10		 Northwestern F B F B- C+ 26% 22% 52% D+ C D- A- C- F D- F F F D- D- F F 47% 19% 34% D- F F F F D- C D+ C-
0.85 62% 18% 35% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 23% .23 38% .09 1.49 67% 45% 50% +14 +1 1.31 39% 1.7 .68 9% .33 77% .25
Nov
15		 Kent St. A- B D+ A+ A 22% 12% 66% C- A A+ B- A+ F+ A+ A A+ F F B- A- D+ 46% 12% 42% F+ D F+ F F F+ F C F
1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39 1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52
Nov
16		 Radford D+ D+ A+ B- C 39% 9% 52% B C+ D F F D+ A+ F A+ B A- F A+ A 40% 19% 41% C A F B D- C+ F A- D-
1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45 1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
19		 Valparaiso C A D- F C- 40% 14% 46% B C F A+ D A A- A+ A+ F F F C- F 35% 29% 36% D+ F F C F D B- D C
1.08 70% 29% 26% -2 +1 1.00 16% 1.4 .23 13% .38 83% .32 1.30 74% 50% 35% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.1 .45 13% .33 75% .25
Nov
22		 Kent St. F F A+ C+ D- 48% 14% 39% B+ D F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C- A+ F F 30% 7% 63% D F F+ A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+
0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37 1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19
Nov
28		 Missouri F C- F B- D+ 29% 18% 53% B- C- D F F+ F F F F C F D+ C C- 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F C+ F A A+ F A-
0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11 1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20
Dec
3		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A+ A 29% 15% 56% C- A- C- A B- F A+ A A+ F F+ F+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F B B- F D
1.12 42% 0% 57% +9 0 1.20 32% 1.4 .44 28% .54 79% .43 1.32 68% 44% 46% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.3 .56 20% .26 93% .24
Dec
6		 Detroit Mercy F F F B- F 37% 15% 48% C F A F C- F B+ D+ B- D F B- A- D 24% 49% 27% A+ C B C B- F D- B D
0.93 41% 0% 36% -10 +1 0.83 43% 0.8 .33 21% .40 70% .28 1.12 83% 36% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 9% .33 74% .24
Dec
17		 UAB C+ F F A+ A- 47% 8% 45% A A F F F D C+ A+ A- F F B- F F 56% 11% 33% F F D- D D- D F B+ F
1.04 44% 25% 54% +6 +2 1.19 16% 0.0 .00 19% .25 93% .23 1.37 71% 33% 39% +9 +3 1.25 36% 1.1 .39 9% .43 66% .28
Dec
21		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F F+ A- F+ 29% 25% 45% F F F A+ D A+ B+ C- B F F C C F+ 25% 25% 51% B+ D F B F+ F A+ F B+
1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28 1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13
Dec
29		 IU Indianapolis B A+ B F+ B- 44% 15% 42% C- B- C- B+ C+ B- A+ A+ A+ F+ F C- A+ B 31% 17% 53% D+ B F+ F+ F D- F B- F
1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48 1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23
Jan
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F B- F+ 13% 13% 74% F+ F+ A- A A+ D- F+ A D C- F A+ B C 27% 8% 65% C C D C- D D- F F F
1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17 1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29
Jan
9		 Oakland F A C- F F 34% 28% 38% D F B D+ C+ C- F A D- F C- F A+ B 42% 14% 44% D B- F C- F B- F F F
0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13 1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39
Jan
11		 Detroit Mercy C C+ F A+ A 34% 9% 57% C+ A F F F F B F C- F F A+ F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F+ F C F A F F+ F
1.11 61% 0% 47% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.8 .16 19% .39 63% .24 1.24 71% 24% 47% +7 -2 1.11 51% 0.9 .46 21% .52 84% .44
Jan
15		 Green Bay C+ A B- B+ B+ 24% 12% 63% C+ B+ F A+ F+ C- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 26% 13% 61% B- F C- F F D B- F D+
1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36 1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
17		 Youngstown St. C+ C D+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F A+ C- F+ A+ B- A+ D- F F A+ C 29% 7% 64% C- C F A+ A- F C F D-
1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55 1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23
Jan
21		 Wright St. A- D+ F+ A+ B 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F A+ D A- B+ A+ A+ C- B F A+ B+ 45% 20% 36% D+ B C+ F F F C+ A- B
1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33 1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19
Jan
30		 Green Bay A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 23% 23% 53% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+ F+ A+ C F D+ 40% 10% 50% D D F C- F F+ C F D
1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39 1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30
Feb
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 4% 64% B- A+ B- A+ A- C+ A+ B A+ F D- F D- F 23% 21% 56% B- F D F F D+ F F F
1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34 1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Oakland B+ D- A- A+ A+ 27% 11% 63% B- A+ B+ F F+ C B+ B+ A- C+ F F+ A+ C- 36% 22% 42% B C C B B- A- D F+ F+
1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23 1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29
Feb
7		 IU Indianapolis F A A+ F F+ 34% 6% 60% C F+ F F F D+ D+ C- D+ D+ C- A F F 46% 13% 41% F F B- A+ A C+ F B F
0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27 1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19
Feb
12		 Robert Morris C- B- B+ D C 29% 20% 51% D C- F C+ F A- B A- A- F F C- F+ F 22% 20% 59% B F F C+ F+ F C C C
1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33 1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16
Feb
15		 Wright St. B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C- A F A+ D- B+ F A+ F F F A+ F F 50% 15% 35% F F F+ A C+ C+ F D+ F
1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16 1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36
Feb
18		 Youngstown St. B A+ A+ C B+ 16% 9% 75% C- B+ F+ F F A+ F C- F F F+ A+ F F 48% 9% 43% F+ F D- F F D- F D- F
1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13 1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44
Feb
22		 Purdue Fort Wayne C- A- F A B+ 23% 9% 68% C- B F A+ D C+ B+ D- B- F D- F F F 38% 4% 58% F+ F C A+ B B- F A+ D
1.13 69% 20% 42% +9 0 1.21 19% 1.5 .29 18% .32 70% .23 1.21 65% 100% 48% +18 +2 1.42 22% 0.7 .16 17% .36 57% .21
Feb
25		 Northern Kentucky F+ D F F F 43% 13% 44% B F F A+ C B+ C+ A+ B+ D F A+ D+ F 33% 11% 57% C F A- F D+ B F D+ F
0.97 52% 14% 21% -14 +1 0.76 21% 1.9 .38 17% .35 81% .28 1.12 80% 20% 35% +6 +1 1.15 24% 1.4 .34 19% .45 73% .33
Feb
28		 Robert Morris D A F D+ D+ 20% 31% 49% F D- C A+ A B F F F F F D F F 35% 25% 40% B- F D D+ D- C+ F C- F
1.00 70% 25% 32% -3 -3 0.90 30% 1.5 .43 14% .15 50% .07 1.30 88% 42% 42% +16 -1 1.33 39% 1.2 .46 19% .33 71% .23
Mar
2		 IU Indianapolis C A- A+ A+ A+ 44% 20% 36% D A+ F C+ F D+ D D- D- F+ D- C+ F F 37% 29% 34% B- F+ B A- B+ D+ F D+ F
1.22 71% 55% 55% +20 0 1.44 20% 1.2 .24 20% .35 70% .24 1.12 67% 37% 41% +6 -1 1.12 24% 0.9 .21 14% .27 74% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.2 99.8
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 78.1%