Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
137 Oakland 26.4%   14   5 - 7 2 - 0 18 - 12 15 - 5 +1.7      +4.7 68 -3.0 276 75.8 39 +3.5 122 +13.0 1
153 Wright St. 18.9%   4 - 7 1 - 1 16 - 13 13 - 7 +0.4      -0.4 174 +0.8 139 67.4 239 -4.4 239 -3.5 7
163 Youngstown St. 16.5%   6 - 5 2 - 1 17 - 11 13 - 7 -0.4      -1.8 217 +1.4 124 68.7 208 -0.2 166 +0.4 5
185 Robert Morris 10.8%   8 - 4 2 - 1 18 - 11 12 - 8 -1.7      -0.6 177 -1.2 205 64.8 307 +2.4 135 +1.3 3
199 Purdue Fort Wayne 9.1%   5 - 6 2 - 1 15 - 13 12 - 8 -2.4      +0.3 158 -2.7 260 73.7 70 +0.6 156 +0.7 4
208 Northern Kentucky 6.8%   6 - 5 1 - 2 15 - 13 10 - 10 -3.1      -2.0 221 -1.2 207 72.6 98 -2.3 198 -9.3 9
210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.5%   5 - 6 2 - 0 15 - 15 11 - 9 -3.2      +0.4 154 -3.6 296 70.9 141 -1.2 181 +9.2 2
283 Green Bay 1.8%   4 - 8 1 - 2 11 - 18 8 - 12 -6.6      -0.8 185 -5.8 341 62.8 336 -3.0 214 -8.7 8
296 Detroit Mercy 1.8%   3 - 7 2 - 1 9 - 18 8 - 12 -7.2      -3.3 260 -3.9 306 68.5 213 -7.5 278 -2.7 6
334 Cleveland St. 0.3%   1 - 10 0 - 3 6 - 22 5 - 15 -10.5      -2.6 238 -7.9 356 71.9 112 -14.8 345 -22.1 11
354 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   2 - 10 0 - 3 5 - 24 3 - 17 -13.7      -5.5 320 -8.3 357 91.1 1 -12.7 336 -21.6 10




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 16 Michigan St. 79 137 Oakland 70   
Sat, Dec 20 264 South Carolina Upstate 65 163 Youngstown St. 74   
Sat, Dec 20 185 Robert Morris 79 361 St. Francis (PA) 70   
Sun, Dec 21 169 College of Charleston 85 208 Northern Kentucky 74   
Sun, Dec 21 64 Notre Dame 69 199 Purdue Fort Wayne 72   
Sun, Dec 21 334 Cleveland St. 71 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 81   
Mon, Dec 22 216 Eastern Michigan 64 153 Wright St. 70   
Mon, Dec 22 87 Grand Canyon 91 354 IU Indianapolis 78   
Tue, Dec 23 225 Campbell 102 283 Green Bay 79   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 2.1 50.1 20.4 11.9 7.9 4.8 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wright St. 3.4 21.1 20.5 17.0 13.4 10.9 7.7 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
Youngstown St. 3.5 19.0 20.2 17.8 13.9 11.1 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0
Robert Morris 4.0 12.4 16.1 16.5 15.9 13.5 11.4 8.0 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.5 9.3 13.0 14.3 14.7 14.6 13.5 10.2 6.5 3.1 0.7 0.1
Northern Kentucky 5.8 2.9 6.3 8.9 11.3 13.4 16.0 16.3 13.7 8.4 2.4 0.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.6 9.4 12.3 13.5 13.9 14.3 13.3 11.1 7.6 3.8 0.7 0.1
Green Bay 7.5 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.5 6.9 10.7 15.5 22.6 23.2 10.2 1.7
Detroit Mercy 7.3 0.9 2.1 3.5 5.1 7.7 10.9 15.9 21.7 22.6 8.3 1.2
Cleveland St. 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.3 8.1 19.1 43.4 23.3
IU Indianapolis 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 8.1 29.1 59.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 15 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.6 7.9 11.6 14.9 16.8 16.0 12.6 7.4 3.2 0.7
Wright St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.5 7.3 11.0 13.9 16.0 15.2 12.3 8.7 4.6 1.8 0.4
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.8 8.1 11.3 14.3 16.2 15.3 12.3 7.8 4.0 1.5 0.3
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 7.1 10.9 13.9 16.0 16.0 12.9 9.0 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.8 9.1 12.8 14.6 15.7 13.7 10.2 7.0 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.8 10.6 14.4 15.4 15.0 11.9 8.7 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.3 10.1 12.8 14.4 14.9 12.9 9.9 6.6 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.7 8.1 12.3 15.4 15.9 14.4 11.1 7.7 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Detroit Mercy 8 - 12 0.3 1.4 3.7 8.0 11.6 14.5 15.5 14.5 11.5 8.2 5.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 5 - 15 1.1 5.0 10.5 15.7 17.8 17.0 13.4 8.9 5.6 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5.5 15.2 21.1 21.2 15.9 10.7 5.7 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 50.1% 37.0 10.2 2.5 0.4 0.1
Wright St. 21.1% 12.9 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
Youngstown St. 19.0% 11.0 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
Robert Morris 12.4% 6.6 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 9.3% 4.7 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.0
Northern Kentucky 2.9% 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9.4% 5.1 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
Green Bay 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 26.4% 26.4% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.3 2.1 8.2 10.3 4.9 0.6 73.6 0.0%
Wright St. 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 2.8 6.5 6.5 2.5 81.1 0.0%
Youngstown St. 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.7 4.8 0.9 83.6 0.0%
Robert Morris 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.0 1.0 89.2 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 3.3 1.0 90.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.0 1.7 93.2 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.3 1.9 92.5 0.0%
Green Bay 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 98.2 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.2 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 26.4% 0.2% 26.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 18.9% 0.8% 18.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 16.5% 0.2% 16.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 10.8% 0.2% 10.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 9.1% 0.4% 8.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 6.8% 0.6% 6.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.5% 1.0% 7.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 1.8% 0.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.8% 0.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.7% 1.0 2.3 97.7
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0