Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.1 161
Results Rating +0.1 155
Consistency 0.14 137
Pace 67.4 211
Improvement -2.1 258

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 124 C B- C C+ C
Defense C- 223 C- C C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 C 59% 148 +3.1 74
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 100 C- 37% 202 +0.6 146
Three Pointers 34% 313 C 34% 192 -3.5 295
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 183 C +0.1 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 164
Second Chance C+ 31.6% 142 B- 1.11 77 B- 0.35 90
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 237
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 112
Turnovers C 16.6% 172
Freethrows C 0.31 164 C+ 74% 155 C+ 0.23 148
Total Offense C+ +1.7 124

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 280 C- 11.6% 223
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 295 C+ 4.6% 165
Three Pointers F+ 75% 341 C+ 0.8% 157
Total D- 46% 338 D+ 6.3% 269


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 35 C- 60% 237 +4.4 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 118 D- 43% 338 +1.8 316
Three Pointers 33% 356 B- 32% 87 -4.8 13
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 210 C- +1.1 219
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 223
Second Chance C 30.6% 200 C- 1.05 218 C 0.32 225
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 79
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 342
Turnovers C 16.7% 179
Freethrows C 0.31 201 C 73% 210 C 0.22 203
Total Defense C- -1.8 223

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 54 C+ 12.9% 93
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 36 C 5.3% 131
Three Pointers B- 80% 73 C- 0.8% 182
Total A- 45% 17 B 7.2% 66

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 271 17.0 124
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 286 0.17 166
Consistency 0.12 118 0.12 127
Improvement +2.3 78 -4.4 344

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 172 163 146
Results Rating Rank 190 169 127
Conference Record 15 - 5 15 - 5 15 - 5
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21% 32% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round21% 32% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 414 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 73 @California L 67 - 77 15% -6  7% 0 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D- B A+ B- +3 B- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 151 Toledo L 71 - 81 59% -4  36% 0 - 2 D- -13 D -4 B B- F F+ -9 D F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 243 Radford W 92 - 59 67% +13  92% 1 - 2 A+ +28 A- +11 A- B B- A+ +17 B+ A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 16 152 Kent St. L 72 - 76 OT 48% +2  65% 1 - 3 C- -4 F+ -8 D+ C B- B +5 A F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 320 @Stetson W 79 - 62 74% +15  87% 2 - 3 B +10 B- +5 A B F B+ +6 B F+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 79 @Butler L 69 - 94 16% -5  43% 2 - 4 D- -14 D- -8 D+ C C D+ -5 F+ F C
 Wed, Dec 3 217 @Youngstown St. L 68 - 69 50% -0  47% 2 - 5 0 - 1 C -1 D -5 C D+ C- B +4 B F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 209 Green Bay W 86 - 58 70% +12  95% 3 - 5 1 - 1 A +22 B+ +8 C- A+ B A+ +16 A D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 189 @Marshall L 74 - 76 45% +1  45% 3 - 6 C -1 B- +4 B- F A+ D+ -5 C F C
 Tue, Dec 16 90 Miami (OH) L 76 - 83 37% -8  2% 3 - 7 C- -4 C- -2 D D+ A- C- -2 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 248 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 64 77% +1  47% 4 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 C+ F F+ B- +3 B- A- D+
 Mon, Dec 29 170 Oakland W 88 - 73 64% +14  97% 5 - 7 2 - 1 B +11 B +6 A+ C- D- B+ +5 A- A- A-
 Thu, Jan 1 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76 - 70 79% +7  86% 6 - 7 3 - 1 C- -3 C +1 F B+ A- C- -3 C B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 327 @IU Indianapolis W 81 - 77 77% +5  82% 7 - 7 4 - 1 C- -4 C+ +4 D+ A+ F D- -7 D D+ C
 Fri, Jan 9 237 @Detroit Mercy W 84 - 82 55% +6  73% 8 - 7 5 - 1 C +1 B +6 B D D- D -5 C F D+
 Sun, Jan 11 170 @Oakland W 94 - 84 41% +17  99% 9 - 7 6 - 1 B+ +12 A +12 A+ D- F C +0 C A- F
 Thu, Jan 15 217 Youngstown St. W 93 - 83 72% +5  90% 10 - 7 7 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +22 C A+ A+ F -17 C F F+
 Wed, Jan 21 319 Cleveland St. L 79 - 85 88% +0  55% 10 - 8 7 - 2 F -19 D- -7 F B A F -12 D- C F
 Sat, Jan 24 188 Northern Kentucky W 88 - 80 68% +9  88% 11 - 8 8 - 2 C+ +3 A- +10 B C- A D- -7 F C B+
 Fri, Jan 30 261 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76 - 69 60% +5  79% 12 - 8 9 - 2 C+ +4 D -5 D- B+ D- A +9 B- B+ D+
 Sun, Feb 1 209 @Green Bay W 83 - 75 48% +9  100% 13 - 8 10 - 2 B +8 A +14 C+ C+ A+ D+ -4 C F C
 Wed, Feb 4 158 @Robert Morris L 66 - 72 38% -5  21% 13 - 9 10 - 3 C- -3 D- -7 F C- B- B +4 D A D+
 Sat, Feb 7 257 Purdue Fort Wayne W 73 - 68 79% +8  91% 14 - 9 11 - 3 C- -3 C+ +3 C- A D+ D -5 D- B- B
 Thu, Feb 12 237 Detroit Mercy L 74 - 77 76% -0  53% 14 - 10 11 - 4 D -10 C- -2 D D+ A- F+ -8 F C- C-
 Sun, Feb 15 319 @Cleveland St. W 102 - 90 74% +10  95% 15 - 10 12 - 4 B- +5 A +12 A+ D+ D D- -8 F C+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 327 IU Indianapolis W 85 - 73 89% +4  82% 16 - 10 13 - 4 C- -2 C- -0 B- F D C- -1 D+ A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 22 158 Robert Morris L 68 - 81 61% -8  0% 16 - 11 13 - 5 F+ -16 D- -7 C- F+ F F+ -9 F B D-
 Wed, Feb 25 257 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 74 - 70 59% +4  72% 17 - 11 14 - 5 C +2 D+ -3 F B+ B B +5 A+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 28 188 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 91 45% -9  11% 18 - 11 15 - 5 C+ +2 A+ +18 C+ A+ A- F -15 F D- F
 Wed, Mar 4 319 Cleveland St. W 89 - 76 88%
Totals 19 - 11 15 - 5 +0 C+ +2 C+ C C C- -2 C C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C C- C C 43% 45% 34% C C C+ B- B- C C C+ C+ C- C- D- B- C- 44% 22% 33% C- C- C C- C C C C C
1.11 59% 37% 34% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 17% .31 74% .23 1.11 60% 43% 32% +1 0 1.05 31% 1.1 .32 17% .31 73% .23
Nov
6		 California C- F A+ F F+ 31% 17% 52% C D- D+ A+ B A+ C F D B- F+ F A+ B- 36% 23% 41% C- B- C- A+ A+ C F F+ F
0.96 35% 67% 21% -12 0 0.78 25% 1.4 .34 11% .29 56% .16 1.11 69% 60% 22% +2 0 1.05 29% 0.5 .15 14% .52 84% .44
Nov
11		 Toledo D A+ C- B A- 36% 26% 38% F+ B D A+ B- F A A+ A+ F+ F B F F+ 44% 36% 20% B+ D F D- F A+ F B- F
1.07 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 29% 1.3 .38 29% .32 87% .27 1.22 70% 38% 44% +8 -2 1.16 46% 1.2 .54 23% .37 74% .27
Nov
15		 Radford A- F A+ A+ A 40% 24% 36% D A- C A B B- A+ D+ A A+ B A A A 49% 14% 37% F+ B+ A- A+ A+ B+ C- A- C+
1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31 0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24
Nov
16		 Kent St. F+ A B- F D+ 37% 28% 35% D- D+ D- A+ C B- D F F+ B C+ C A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% D- A F C F+ A+ F F+ F
0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19 1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38
Nov
25		 Stetson B- F A A+ A 39% 16% 45% C A C+ B+ B F F F F B+ B+ D- A- B+ 40% 18% 42% D B D F F+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06 0.96 50% 44% 29% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10
Nov
28		 Butler D- D- C- D- D- 54% 18% 28% A- D+ D+ B- C C F D F D+ F+ F A- F+ 52% 17% 31% C- F+ C F F C D+ A+ B
0.92 52% 36% 29% -6 +1 0.93 25% 1.0 .25 17% .05 67% .03 1.25 68% 67% 29% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 15% .40 58% .23
Dec
3		 Youngstown St. D C+ A+ F C- 56% 19% 26% B+ C F A+ D+ C- A+ F B- B C+ B- A B+ 52% 14% 34% D- B F F F A+ F A+ D-
0.99 63% 63% 18% +1 +1 1.07 17% 1.6 .27 19% .50 54% .27 1.00 57% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.95 44% 1.2 .53 25% .39 60% .23
Dec
7		 Green Bay B+ A+ F F D 39% 8% 53% A- C- C+ A+ A+ B A A- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 58% 16% 27% F+ A C F D A+ C- B C
1.27 80% 25% 22% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.9 .59 12% .42 80% .33 0.86 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.87 23% 1.3 .30 27% .36 72% .26
Dec
13		 Marshall B- B D- A+ B 24% 29% 47% F+ B- B+ F F A+ F F+ F D+ F F+ B+ C 25% 27% 48% B- C F C- F C D- F F
1.17 64% 29% 43% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.5 .20 8% .10 67% .07 1.20 75% 46% 30% +4 -2 1.06 39% 1.2 .45 17% .31 81% .25
Dec
16		 Miami (OH) C- A- D F D- 46% 21% 32% B- D C+ F+ D+ A- A+ B+ A+ C- F A+ F F 48% 15% 38% D- F A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D
1.05 69% 33% 17% -4 0 0.95 31% 0.8 .23 14% .38 79% .30 1.15 74% 14% 56% +16 +1 1.38 10% 0.0 .00 15% .46 61% .28
Dec
22		 Eastern Michigan D+ B+ C- F C 49% 18% 33% B C+ B- F F F+ A+ F A+ B- B+ A+ F+ B+ 57% 19% 25% F B- B A+ A- D+ D+ B C
1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36 0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19
Dec
29		 Oakland B C D+ A+ A+ 48% 21% 31% B- A+ D+ C+ C- D- A+ B+ A+ B+ A F+ A A- 41% 22% 37% B- A- F A+ A- A- F C+ F
1.24 61% 40% 60% +14 +1 1.31 32% 1.0 .32 18% .38 77% .29 1.03 45% 45% 28% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 18% .52 73% .38
Jan
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C F C C- F 47% 28% 26% D F A- C B+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- B+ C- F+ D+ 35% 41% 24% A+ C B C B- F A B A
1.17 45% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.2 .43 12% .44 84% .37 1.08 47% 41% 38% -1 -3 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 9% .19 64% .12
Jan
4		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ A+ A D- 62% 5% 32% A D+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ D- A+ F F F+ 35% 33% 33% A- D F B+ D+ C C- A C
1.21 52% 50% 42% +1 +4 1.11 38% 2.2 .83 25% .50 80% .40 1.15 42% 56% 44% +5 -2 1.09 35% 0.9 .32 16% .20 64% .12
Jan
9		 Detroit Mercy B C+ D- A+ B 47% 20% 33% C B D- C+ D D- A+ A+ A+ D F C- A+ C 34% 42% 25% B- C F F F D+ F B F
1.19 61% 30% 44% +4 +1 1.12 25% 1.1 .29 17% .48 82% .39 1.16 67% 41% 23% 0 -3 0.96 40% 1.2 .49 14% .51 74% .38
Jan
11		 Oakland A B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% D- A+ B+ F D- F B- A+ A+ C C D- C D+ 40% 31% 29% A C A+ F A- F F B- F
1.28 68% 59% 53% +19 -2 1.38 42% 0.6 .25 25% .27 100% .27 1.15 57% 44% 33% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.3 .24 8% .48 72% .34
Jan
15		 Youngstown St. A+ A+ F A+ B- 46% 42% 12% F C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A F D+ C 39% 10% 51% D+ C F F F F+ C+ F C-
1.42 74% 24% 50% +4 -2 1.06 52% 1.3 .69 11% .48 86% .41 1.27 47% 60% 36% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.6 .58 15% .25 79% .20
Jan
21		 Cleveland St. D- F A+ F F 45% 20% 36% C+ F D- A+ B A D+ F D- F C+ B- F D 44% 12% 44% F D- A+ F C F D- F F
1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19 1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33
Jan
24		 Northern Kentucky A- B+ D B+ B 51% 20% 29% B- B B+ F C- A A+ A+ A+ D- F F A+ F 44% 20% 36% B- F B- D C B+ C+ B- C+
1.25 65% 33% 38% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.9 .37 14% .60 81% .48 1.14 77% 70% 22% +8 0 1.20 28% 1.1 .31 20% .28 69% .20
Jan
30		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D A F F F 47% 8% 45% B+ D- C A+ B+ D- A- F D+ A C- F A+ B 43% 14% 43% F B- C A+ B+ D+ A A+ A+
1.04 72% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 30% 1.5 .43 19% .39 57% .22 0.95 58% 50% 21% -7 +1 0.91 32% 0.9 .27 14% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Green Bay A A+ F C- C+ 33% 20% 47% C C+ B- C C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A- C F C 48% 23% 30% C+ C F+ F F C F F F
1.31 80% 22% 33% +4 0 1.09 33% 1.1 .37 8% .48 89% .43 1.18 48% 40% 46% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.3 .37 16% .49 85% .41
Feb
4		 Robert Morris D- F F D- F 55% 12% 33% A F B+ F C- B- C+ F D+ B C- A+ F D 41% 22% 37% C- D A+ F A D+ B- A+ B+
0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26 1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12
Feb
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ A+ C+ F C- 44% 19% 37% C- C- A+ D+ A D+ A+ F A+ D C- F C+ F 32% 23% 45% A D- C- A+ B- B C F D+
1.17 74% 38% 25% +2 +1 1.07 48% 1.0 .48 21% .49 58% .28 1.09 60% 64% 33% +6 -1 1.13 23% 0.7 .17 18% .25 77% .19
Feb
12		 Detroit Mercy C- D+ A+ F D 44% 19% 37% C D C+ F D+ A- D+ A- C F+ F+ F D+ F 33% 46% 21% A- F D+ C C- C- A+ F A
1.12 54% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .30 11% .32 79% .25 1.16 65% 54% 36% +10 -4 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 15% .16 89% .14
Feb
15		 Cleveland St. A A F A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% B+ A+ C+ F D+ D A+ C A+ D- F B F F 36% 21% 43% C+ F A F C+ F A+ F A
1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36 1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16
Feb
19		 IU Indianapolis C- C+ A+ B+ B 54% 24% 22% D+ B- C+ F F D A A+ A+ C- F F A+ D 38% 29% 33% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D F D-
1.19 64% 55% 40% +9 +1 1.22 37% 0.6 .22 21% .48 85% .41 1.02 71% 50% 22% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.8 .13 13% .22 79% .18
Feb
22		 Robert Morris D- A F D+ C 41% 27% 33% D C- C- F F+ F D A+ C F+ D F+ F F 42% 26% 32% C F A+ F B D- D- F F
1.01 70% 23% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 21% .32 88% .28 1.20 62% 46% 44% +8 0 1.18 25% 1.3 .33 15% .30 94% .28
Feb
25		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F A+ F 46% 23% 31% D+ F C- A+ B+ B C F+ D+ B B- A+ A+ A+ 53% 8% 39% F A+ F F F B- F A- F
1.04 42% 25% 44% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 17% .27 69% .19 0.99 54% 25% 16% -14 +3 0.80 33% 1.3 .42 17% .51 63% .32
Feb
28		 Northern Kentucky A+ A+ F B+ C+ 53% 23% 25% C+ C+ A A+ A+ A- C D- D+ F F F A- F 54% 6% 41% F F C+ F D- F D+ F F+
1.31 71% 8% 38% +2 +1 1.08 44% 2.0 .88 16% .34 65% .22 1.30 72% 67% 27% +5 +3 1.19 28% 1.3 .38 11% .32 80% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 21.3% 21.3% 14.1 0.1 3.2 12.6 5.3 0.1 78.7
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.3% 21.3% 0.0% 14.1 78.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.3% 100.0% 14.1 0.6 15.0 59.2 24.8 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.5%
Lose Out 34.2%