Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.1 268
Expected Predictive Rating -6.3 265
Pace 69.6 154
Improvement -2.5 284

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #224 D C+ B D- D+
Defense D+ #294 D+ D+ C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 275 54% 285 -3.5 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 103 40% 96 +2.0 79
Three Pointers 41% 193 30% 315 -2.4 272
1st FG Attempt 0.94 303 -4.0 302
Second Chance 31.5% 153 1.07 115 0.34 116
Turnovers 15.1% 69
Freethrows 0.27 302 67% 331 0.18 329
Total Offense -2.1 224

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 35 61% 266 -4.7 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 262 38% 175 +1.0 115
Three Pointers 38% 271 35% 229 +1.1 133
1st FG Attempt 1.07 265 -2.6 265
Second Chance 30.1% 162 1.16 334 0.35 271
Turnovers 16.1% 227
Freethrows 0.33 274 74% 263 0.24 282
Total Defense -4.0 294

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.7 280 +0.8 309
Shot Type Accuracy -3.2 298 +1.8 245
Possession Length 16.6 102 17.9 283
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 83 0.22 332
Improvement -2.7 #314 +0.2 #180

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 4% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 3%
First Four2% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 49 - 711 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 248 Hampton W 90 - 86 56% +6  79% 1 - 0 C- -4 C+ +2 D B+ A+ D -6 F+ C A-
 Sat, Nov 8 212 @Wofford L 76 - 86 28% -12  0% 1 - 1 D -10 D- -7 F+ F A C- -2 B- F B
 Mon, Nov 10 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 69% +7  87% 2 - 1 B +9 A +12 B A+ B+ C- -3 D+ F+ B
 Wed, Nov 12 29 @Indiana L 70 - 101 2% -13  2% 2 - 2 D- -13 C +1 A- C F F -14 F F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 16 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 1% -4  29% 2 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +2 C- A+ D C+ +1 A F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 96 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 10% -1  37% 2 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 F B- C+ C -0 C A D-
 Sat, Nov 29 72 @Akron L 81 - 105 7% -13  1% 2 - 5 D- -13 C +1 F+ A- B F -11 F B- B+
 Sat, Dec 6 204 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 49% -1  39% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 D- -6 D+ F A B- +3 B+ A F+
 Sun, Dec 14 197 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 48% -1  40% 3 - 6 D+ -7 D -5 F A A+ C- -3 F D A-
 Fri, Dec 19 193 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 35% +1  52% 4 - 6 C -1 A +13 B+ A- C+ F -14 D- F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 299 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 45% -0  45% 5 - 6 2 - 0 B- +5 B +6 D B- A+ C +0 A- C F
 Mon, Dec 29 242 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 56% +19  91% 6 - 6 3 - 0 A- +14 C +0 F+ A+ F+ A+ +15 A A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 33 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 3% -14  0% 6 - 7 C- -3 F -13 F C- F+ A +11 B A+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 150 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 18% -7  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -2 C +0 D C- A+ C- -3 A- D- F+
 Mon, Jan 5 244 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 33% -8  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 C- -5 B- +4 A F+ D D- -9 F B+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 201 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 48% -13  4% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -24 D -5 F+ C- A+ F -21 C+ F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 332 IU Indianapolis W 95 - 83 77% -0  33% 7 - 10 4 - 3 C- -2 A +12 A A+ B F -14 D C- D-
 Thu, Jan 15 143 Oakland L 60 - 73 34% -9  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -15 F -23 F C D A- +9 A F A+
 Sun, Jan 18 242 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 100 33% -9  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -20 C+ +2 C+ F B F -21 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 204 @Robert Morris L 76 - 88 27% -7  14% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 C -0 B F B F -11 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 205 @Youngstown St. W 65 - 64 27% -1  47% 8 - 13 5 - 6 C +1 D- -8 D- C B+ A- +9 B+ A- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 150 Wright St. L 69 - 76 36% -5  15% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D -9 F -12 D- D+ A- B- +2 B- D- B
 Sun, Feb 1 299 Cleveland St. L 88 - 90 68% -4  0% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D- -13 B- +4 C+ B+ C+ F -16 F F D-
 Wed, Feb 4 271 Detroit Mercy L 63 - 76 62% -8  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 F -22 F -12 F+ D- D+ F -11 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 201 @Northern Kentucky L 62 - 67 27% -2  37% 8 - 17 5 - 10 C- -5 D -6 D D B C+ +1 C C- C
 Tue, Feb 10 332 @IU Indianapolis W 92 - 88 57% -2  36% 9 - 17 6 - 10 C- -4 C+ +2 F A B D -6 C- B- F
 Sun, Feb 15 244 Green Bay W 76 - 74 56%
 Fri, Feb 20 271 @Detroit Mercy L 76 - 79 40%
 Sun, Feb 22 143 @Oakland L 77 - 87 17%
 Wed, Feb 25 205 Youngstown St. L 74 - 75 49%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -6 C- -2 D C+ B D+ -4 D+ D+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C+ D D+ 35% 24% 41% D+ D C+ C+ C+ B D D- D- D+ D+ C C- D+ 44% 18% 38% D D+ C D- D+ C- D+ D+ D+
1.06 54% 40% 30% -3 -1 0.94 32% 1.1 .34 15% .27 67% .18 1.14 61% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.07 30% 1.2 .35 16% .33 74% .20
Nov
3		 Hampton C+ C+ F D+ D- 40% 18% 42% C+ D A+ D B+ A+ A+ F A- D B+ F F D- 40% 21% 38% F F+ D B C A- F C- F
1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33 1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41
Nov
8		 Wofford D- F F B+ F+ 45% 24% 31% D F+ F B+ F A C- C+ C C- C+ D A+ B 57% 13% 30% F+ B- F F+ F B F F F
1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22 1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40
Nov
10		 Arkansas Little Rock A A C A+ B+ 30% 16% 54% D B C- A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ C- B A+ F C 52% 20% 28% F D+ B+ F F+ B D C D
1.32 73% 38% 44% +13 0 1.28 33% 1.7 .56 16% .39 78% .31 1.04 54% 20% 43% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.5 .39 22% .28 67% .18
Nov
12		 Indiana C B- A+ F A+ 27% 47% 25% F A- A- F C F C+ F F F D A+ F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F F D F F+ F A D
0.99 57% 58% 23% +5 -4 1.04 35% 0.8 .30 21% .32 39% .13 1.43 68% 25% 50% +15 +2 1.37 38% 1.2 .45 10% .42 70% .30
Nov
14		 Texas Tech C+ B+ A- F C 23% 43% 34% F+ C- B A+ A+ D C+ A- B C+ D A C A 24% 26% 50% B+ A F+ D F C- C+ F D
0.97 64% 45% 19% -3 -4 0.87 30% 1.3 .40 20% .29 73% .21 1.23 67% 31% 36% +2 -2 1.02 42% 1.1 .47 14% .25 93% .23
Nov
22		 Wichita St. F+ D+ F F F 30% 32% 38% D F C- A B- C+ C F C- C A+ F F C 45% 24% 31% C+ C B A A D- F C F
0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18 1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32
Nov
29		 Akron C D- F D+ F 38% 11% 51% B F+ B A- A- B D+ F F+ F F F F F 52% 7% 41% F F A F B- B+ D+ F D-
1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15 1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24
Dec
6		 Robert Morris D- C F D+ D 37% 14% 49% C D+ D F F A B+ D B- B- B B C+ B+ 42% 29% 29% B- B+ A+ B- A F+ F+ F F
1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32 1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28
Dec
14		 Indiana St. D F A- F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F B- A+ A A+ A- A- A C- F F B+ F 38% 17% 45% A F B+ F D A- A+ B- A+
1.04 37% 50% 19% -13 -1 0.74 36% 1.3 .47 9% .32 79% .25 1.07 72% 88% 29% +10 0 1.23 20% 1.6 .32 23% .12 67% .08
Dec
19		 South Dakota St. A F A+ A+ A- 30% 28% 42% D- B+ A+ F A- C+ D A+ C F D+ D+ F+ F+ 38% 13% 50% D+ D- D- F F D- B- A+ A-
1.28 25% 67% 50% +8 -2 1.15 50% 0.8 .42 15% .26 87% .22 1.27 62% 43% 39% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.3 .42 13% .25 53% .13
Dec
21		 Cleveland St. B B+ D+ C- D+ 25% 25% 51% F+ D B+ D+ B- A+ F B- F C A+ B D A- 29% 25% 45% A- A- A+ F C F D B C-
1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -2 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13 1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28
Dec
29		 Purdue Fort Wayne C D- C D+ F+ 37% 22% 41% D F+ A+ A A+ F+ B- B B A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 54% D- A A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ A+ A
1.14 53% 36% 33% -3 0 0.96 54% 1.3 .69 24% .29 80% .23 0.82 62% 20% 23% -9 +1 0.88 11% 0.0 .00 13% .17 60% .10
Dec
30		 Wisconsin F F B+ F F 33% 29% 38% D+ F B F C- F+ A C A A F+ F A+ B+ 47% 14% 39% C- B A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D-
0.80 35% 47% 15% -16 -1 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 20% .35 71% .25 1.07 71% 57% 20% 0 +2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 12% .49 63% .30
Jan
1		 Wright St. C F C A- C- 35% 41% 24% F D D+ B- C- A+ F F F C- A C C A- 47% 28% 26% B- A- D- C- D- F+ F F F
1.08 47% 41% 38% -1 -3 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 9% .19 64% .12 1.17 45% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.2 .43 12% .44 84% .37
Jan
5		 Green Bay B- A+ C+ A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F A C F F+ D C- C- C- D- F C+ C+ F 60% 19% 21% D- F A+ F B+ D- F B+ F
1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22 1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36
Jan
9		 Northern Kentucky D B- C F F 37% 20% 43% C- F+ D B+ C- A+ C+ F D F D+ F A B- 39% 4% 57% F+ C+ F F F D- C F D+
1.05 61% 40% 24% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .37 14% .35 58% .20 1.33 63% 50% 25% -5 +2 0.96 49% 1.4 .68 14% .29 81% .24
Jan
11		 IU Indianapolis A A+ A+ C- A- 53% 6% 41% B+ A A+ B A+ B B F C- F C+ F C+ D+ 48% 14% 38% F D C- C- C- D- D- F F
1.37 78% 67% 33% +12 +3 1.31 48% 1.4 .66 17% .44 64% .28 1.20 57% 63% 32% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 13% .23 93% .22
Jan
15		 Oakland F F D- F F 46% 25% 30% C+ F C+ C- C D B+ F C- A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 16% 30% D- A C F F A+ F+ D- F
0.81 50% 36% 6% -17 0 0.68 36% 0.9 .32 17% .29 56% .16 0.98 56% 13% 20% -12 +2 0.82 31% 1.5 .44 21% .41 79% .32
Jan
18		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ F+ A+ A+ B- 45% 25% 30% D+ C+ D- F F B A B+ A+ F F B- F F 46% 21% 33% C F C- F F F D- F F+
1.12 50% 62% 44% +7 0 1.15 29% 0.7 .21 18% .35 81% .28 1.37 69% 33% 53% +14 0 1.30 23% 1.6 .35 10% .29 79% .23
Jan
22		 Robert Morris C C- D A+ B+ 33% 22% 44% D B F+ F F B D- F F F F B F F 49% 14% 37% F F F+ F+ F A F B+ F
1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22 1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Youngstown St. D- F A+ F F 56% 8% 36% A+ D- D- A C B+ F F+ F A- B F A A 47% 4% 49% F B+ D+ A+ A- A- F D- F
0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19 0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29
Jan
30		 Wright St. F C A F F+ 43% 14% 43% B D- C F+ D+ A- F F F B- F A+ A+ B+ 47% 8% 45% F B- B- F D- B F+ A+ C+
0.95 58% 50% 21% -7 +1 0.91 32% 0.9 .27 14% .19 50% .10 1.04 72% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 30% 1.5 .43 19% .39 57% .22
Feb
1		 Cleveland St. B- C+ A+ B B 23% 21% 56% D- C+ C- A+ B+ C+ A+ C A+ F C- F F F 31% 4% 64% F+ F D- F F D- F C- F
1.26 64% 60% 37% +9 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35 1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34
Feb
4		 Detroit Mercy F B A+ F D- 35% 25% 40% D- F+ D- D+ D- D+ F C F+ F F B F F 43% 33% 24% F+ F C+ F F C+ D+ D- D
0.99 65% 50% 16% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 16% .28 73% .20 1.19 70% 33% 45% +8 -1 1.15 31% 1.4 .42 17% .30 81% .25
Feb
7		 Northern Kentucky D D- F B+ D- 43% 17% 39% C+ D F A+ D B F D- F C+ D+ D+ B C 31% 12% 57% C+ C B F C- C F C- F
0.99 50% 25% 39% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.4 .32 18% .21 64% .14 1.07 62% 40% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 1.3 .32 18% .45 74% .33
Feb
10		 IU Indianapolis C+ C F F F 50% 17% 33% C- F C+ A+ A B A+ C A+ D F A+ D C- 38% 21% 41% D+ C- B C B- F F D- F
1.19 61% 25% 20% -8 +1 0.89 39% 1.6 .61 17% .64 76% .48 1.14 74% 8% 36% +1 0 1.03 24% 1.1 .26 9% .28 75% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.4 4th
5th 0.8 0.8 1.6 5th
6th 0.3 5.2 0.8 6.4 6th
7th 4.8 7.6 0.2 12.6 7th
8th 3.1 17.7 2.4 23.3 8th
9th 1.3 16.1 11.1 0.2 28.8 9th
10th 10.3 15.2 1.5 26.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 11.8 34.4 35.4 16.2 2.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
9-11 16.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 15.7
8-12 35.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.7 34.7
7-13 34.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.4 34.1
6-14 11.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 7.0%