Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#219
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#195
Pace73.9#80
Improvement+0.8#126

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#193
First Shot-2.0#226
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#129
Layup/Dunks-3.0#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#133
Freethrows-1.2#246
Improvement-1.2#281

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#256
First Shot-3.9#303
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#98
Layups/Dunks-3.3#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement+2.1#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 8.4% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 38.2% 48.2% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.4% 73.3% 62.2%
Conference Champion 9.0% 10.7% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.0% 1.7%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.4%
First Round6.7% 7.9% 5.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 412 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 208 Hampton W 90-86 60%     1 - 0 -2.2 +3.2 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 8 247 @Wofford L 76-86 43%     1 - 1 -11.7 -3.1 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 10 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 92-72 78%     2 - 1 +8.4 +14.6 -6.1
  Wed, Nov 12 28 @Indiana L 70-101 4%     2 - 2 -14.1 +4.9 -18.7
  Fri, Nov 14 29 @Texas Tech L 63-80 4%     2 - 3 -0.3 +2.4 -4.1
  Sat, Nov 22 91 @Wichita St. L 58-75 12%     2 - 4 -8.2 -7.9 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 29 54 @Akron L 81-105 7%     2 - 5 -10.8 +2.3 -10.8
  Sat, Dec 6 186 Robert Morris W 74-72 54%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -2.7 -2.1 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 14 198 Indiana St. W 80-78 56%    
  Fri, Dec 19 153 South Dakota St. L 75-79 36%    
  Sun, Dec 21 323 @Cleveland St. W 83-80 59%    
  Mon, Dec 29 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-79 64%    
  Tue, Dec 30 30 @Wisconsin L 71-91 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 159 @Wright St. L 72-78 28%    
  Mon, Jan 5 273 @Green Bay L 75-76 47%    
  Fri, Jan 9 192 Northern Kentucky W 78-77 55%    
  Sun, Jan 11 356 IU Indianapolis W 96-83 88%    
  Thu, Jan 15 146 Oakland L 85-87 44%    
  Sun, Jan 18 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-82 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 186 @Robert Morris L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 162 @Youngstown St. L 72-78 29%    
  Fri, Jan 30 159 Wright St. L 74-75 49%    
  Sun, Feb 1 323 Cleveland St. W 86-77 78%    
  Wed, Feb 4 293 Detroit Mercy W 80-73 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 192 @Northern Kentucky L 75-80 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 273 Green Bay W 78-73 68%    
  Fri, Feb 20 293 @Detroit Mercy W 77-76 52%    
  Sun, Feb 22 146 @Oakland L 82-90 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 162 Youngstown St. L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 @IU Indianapolis W 93-86 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.6 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.2 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.9 2.7 0.3 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 3.0 5.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 5.6 8.5 11.1 12.7 13.6 12.7 10.8 8.4 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 98.8% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 95.6% 1.3    1.1 0.2
16-4 77.3% 2.3    1.7 0.6 0.1
15-5 49.8% 2.6    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
14-6 19.9% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 34.8% 34.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.4% 25.1% 25.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 3.0% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.3
15-5 5.2% 18.9% 18.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 4.2
14-6 8.4% 15.5% 15.5% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 7.1
13-7 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 9.7
12-8 12.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 11.7
11-9 13.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 12.8
10-10 12.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.3
9-11 11.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.9
8-12 8.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.5
7-13 5.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.6
6-14 3.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.5
5-15 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 2.3 92.8 0.0%