Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#192
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#170
Pace73.1#84
Improvement+3.2#6

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#126
First Shot-0.9#211
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#44
Layup/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#292
Freethrows+1.6#100
Improvement+2.1#12

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#283
First Shot+0.0#165
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#342
Layups/Dunks-0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#249
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+1.2#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.6% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 68.7% 78.0% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 80.7% 70.4%
Conference Champion 14.2% 17.1% 10.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round11.4% 13.4% 8.4%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 413 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 112   @ Northern Iowa L 68-87 23%     0 - 1 -12.5 -0.3 -12.8
  Nov 13, 2024 156   @ Longwood L 62-76 33%     0 - 2 -10.8 -16.0 +7.0
  Nov 19, 2024 214   @ Duquesne W 80-74 43%     1 - 2 +6.5 +9.8 -3.3
  Nov 22, 2024 241   Portland St. W 91-74 71%     2 - 2 +9.8 +14.0 -4.3
  Nov 23, 2024 175   Wofford W 78-76 59%    
  Nov 24, 2024 194   St. Thomas W 78-75 62%    
  Nov 27, 2024 84   @ Central Florida L 72-83 14%    
  Nov 30, 2024 253   @ Southern Miss W 84-83 52%    
  Dec 05, 2024 218   Cleveland St. W 77-73 66%    
  Dec 11, 2024 277   @ Green Bay W 83-81 56%    
  Dec 15, 2024 143   Akron L 77-79 42%    
  Dec 29, 2024 361   IU Indianapolis W 84-67 94%    
  Jan 02, 2025 215   @ Oakland L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 327   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 08, 2025 134   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-85 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 277   Green Bay W 86-78 75%    
  Jan 17, 2025 226   Youngstown St. W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 19, 2025 249   Robert Morris W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 22, 2025 141   @ Wright St. L 78-84 31%    
  Jan 24, 2025 203   @ Northern Kentucky L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 02, 2025 134   Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-81 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 81-70 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 218   @ Cleveland St. L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 14, 2025 141   Wright St. W 82-81 52%    
  Feb 16, 2025 203   Northern Kentucky W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 21, 2025 226   @ Youngstown St. L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 23, 2025 249   @ Robert Morris W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 215   Oakland W 75-71 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 327   Detroit Mercy W 81-70 82%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.8 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 14.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.2 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 3.3 0.9 0.1 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.4 4.1 6.3 8.3 10.3 12.3 12.3 11.9 10.4 8.0 5.5 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.1% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 90.9% 3.0    2.5 0.5 0.0
16-4 68.7% 3.8    2.4 1.2 0.1
15-5 39.6% 3.2    1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 14.1% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 9.0 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 60.0% 60.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 48.6% 48.6% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.7% 40.0% 40.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
17-3 3.3% 31.7% 31.7% 13.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 2.3
16-4 5.5% 25.5% 25.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1
15-5 8.0% 22.8% 22.8% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 6.2
14-6 10.4% 17.4% 17.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 8.6
13-7 11.9% 13.0% 13.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 10.4
12-8 12.3% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 11.1
11-9 12.3% 7.1% 7.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 11.4
10-10 10.3% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.8
9-11 8.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.0
8-12 6.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.2
7-13 4.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.0
6-14 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-15 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-16 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.5 3.5 1.8 88.4 0.0%