Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
130 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 25.2%   15   17 - 9 12 - 5 19 - 10 14 - 6 +1.7      +1.7 119 0.0 177 70.8 108 +2.0 140 +1.3 3
153 Purdue Fort Wayne 17.6%   17 - 10 12 - 6 18 - 11 13 - 7 +0.6      +2.4 107 -1.8 223 74.1 47 +0.3 162 0.0 5
170 Cleveland St. 15.1%   16 - 9 13 - 4 18 - 10 15 - 5 -0.4      -2.2 231 +1.7 125 65.7 250 +0.5 158 +2.8 1
173 Robert Morris 15.7%   20 - 8 13 - 5 21 - 9 14 - 6 -0.6      -1.0 202 +0.4 162 70.3 124 +1.9 142 +2.1 2
186 Youngstown St. 11.8%   16 - 11 12 - 6 17 - 12 13 - 7 -1.5      -2.2 235 +0.7 152 71.6 84 -1.3 183 +0.8 4
198 Oakland 7.0%   11 - 16 9 - 8 13 - 17 11 - 9 -2.1      0.0 176 -2.0 229 60.2 354 -3.2 218 -3.3 6
220 Wright St. 4.3%   11 - 16 7 - 11 12 - 17 8 - 12 -3.2      +0.8 152 -4.0 297 69.0 154 -4.9 246 -6.6 8
241 Northern Kentucky 3.0%   11 - 15 8 - 9 13 - 16 10 - 10 -4.4      -3.4 267 -1.0 201 64.6 280 -4.1 232 -4.2 7
326 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   6 - 19 5 - 12 7 - 21 6 - 14 -10.0      -0.3 183 -9.7 361 64.0 291 -10.9 329 -8.6 9
334 Detroit Mercy 0.1%   7 - 21 4 - 14 7 - 23 4 - 16 -10.8      -7.7 345 -3.1 264 67.0 209 -9.1 310 -10.9 10
337 Green Bay 0.0%   3 - 24 1 - 16 4 - 26 2 - 18 -11.5      -5.2 312 -6.2 339 71.0 103 -14.1 349 -18.7 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2.0 39.5 29.1 21.2 7.9 2.4
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.5 7.4 20.6 15.0 28.3 28.7
Cleveland St. 1.6 62.4 25.7 3.0 5.8 3.1
Robert Morris 1.9 45.3 29.2 18.1 5.9 1.4
Youngstown St. 3.2 6.2 21.5 29.2 30.0 13.1
Oakland 6.1 0.0 0.2 2.4 89.1 8.3
Wright St. 7.8 1.5 20.3 77.0 1.2
Northern Kentucky 6.7 32.9 64.3 2.8
IU Indianapolis 8.9 0.9 8.6 89.4 1.1
Detroit Mercy 9.8 18.9 81.1
Green Bay 11.0 1.8 98.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 - 6 1.1 16.8 48.9 33.2
Purdue Fort Wayne 13 - 7 13.8 53.8 32.5
Cleveland St. 15 - 5 12.4 35.8 37.8 14.1
Robert Morris 14 - 6 13.0 48.2 38.8
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 6.0 49.7 44.3
Oakland 11 - 9 9.8 37.8 41.5 10.9
Wright St. 8 - 12 19.1 47.6 33.3
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 8.6 40.1 41.7 9.6
IU Indianapolis 6 - 14 38.0 42.5 17.0 2.5
Detroit Mercy 4 - 16 54.5 42.5 3.0
Green Bay 2 - 18 27.4 50.2 20.6 1.9




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 39.5% 15.9 13.5 3.9 4.9 1.4
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.4% 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.3 1.4
Cleveland St. 62.4% 24.6 28.3 3.7 4.5 1.4
Robert Morris 45.3% 18.5 16.0 4.4 5.0 1.4
Youngstown St. 6.2% 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 1.4
Oakland
Wright St.
Northern Kentucky
IU Indianapolis
Detroit Mercy
Green Bay


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 25.2% 25.2% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.4 8.9 11.7 3.1 0.0 74.9 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 0.1 3.3 9.0 5.0 0.2 82.4 0.0%
Cleveland St. 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0 1.1 5.6 7.3 1.1 84.9 0.0%
Robert Morris 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.1 2.0 7.7 5.6 0.4 84.3 0.0%
Youngstown St. 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.2 2.6 7.3 1.8 88.2 0.0%
Oakland 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 5.4 93.0 0.0%
Wright St. 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 1.1 3.2 95.7 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 97.0 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 25.2% 0.0% 25.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 17.6% 0.0% 17.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 15.1% 0.0% 15.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 15.7% 0.0% 15.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 11.8% 0.2% 11.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 7.0% 3.7% 5.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 4.3% 2.4% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 3.0% 1.9% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.8% 1.0 3.2 96.8
2nd Round 3.7% 0.0 96.4 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0