Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
145 Purdue Fort Wayne 20.7%   15   10 - 6 5 - 2 18 - 11 13 - 7 +0.8      +2.7 107 -1.9 232 74.3 55 +0.3 160 -0.5 4
160 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 17.2%   9 - 6 4 - 2 18 - 11 13 - 7 0.0      +0.1 173 -0.1 171 73.1 75 +1.4 147 0.0 3
179 Wright St. 13.0%   6 - 8 2 - 3 15 - 14 11 - 9 -0.8      +2.5 110 -3.3 272 68.3 197 -3.0 213 -6.6 9
185 Youngstown St. 14.5%   10 - 6 6 - 1 18 - 11 14 - 6 -1.1      -4.2 294 +3.1 93 72.3 88 -0.3 169 +7.2 1
193 Oakland 10.3%   4 - 11 2 - 3 13 - 17 11 - 9 -1.7      +0.4 169 -2.0 234 59.1 358 -3.7 230 -4.7 6
206 Cleveland St. 10.6%   8 - 6 5 - 1 16 - 12 13 - 7 -2.1      -2.2 228 +0.1 168 67.5 219 -0.5 171 +5.0 2
207 Northern Kentucky 9.8%   7 - 8 4 - 2 14 - 15 11 - 9 -2.1      -3.7 279 +1.6 123 63.6 309 -2.7 210 -1.4 5
251 Robert Morris 3.2%   9 - 7 2 - 4 16 - 14 9 - 11 -4.9      -3.4 262 -1.5 218 70.9 122 -2.6 206 -6.6 8
316 Detroit Mercy 0.6%   5 - 11 2 - 4 10 - 20 7 - 13 -8.8      -6.1 330 -2.6 253 67.6 214 -5.7 261 -6.2 7
336 Green Bay 0.2%   2 - 14 0 - 6 6 - 24 4 - 16 -10.6      -3.9 283 -6.8 348 71.7 103 -12.9 338 -18.9 11
343 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   2 - 12 1 - 5 5 - 23 4 - 16 -11.4      -2.9 245 -8.5 359 63.6 308 -14.9 351 -13.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Purdue Fort Wayne 2.9 26.9 22.6 17.4 12.8 9.3 6.3 3.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 3.3 22.9 19.3 16.9 14.0 11.5 7.7 5.1 2.2 0.4 0.0
Wright St. 4.9 7.2 10.5 11.9 13.8 15.2 15.3 13.7 9.0 3.0 0.5 0.1
Youngstown St. 2.5 38.8 21.9 15.6 10.6 6.7 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oakland 5.1 5.2 8.7 11.2 13.4 15.7 16.9 15.7 9.1 3.5 0.6 0.1
Cleveland St. 3.4 21.9 17.9 15.7 14.6 12.2 9.1 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.0
Northern Kentucky 4.6 8.8 11.5 13.4 14.7 15.3 14.5 13.2 6.8 1.8 0.1 0.0
Robert Morris 7.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.6 8.0 12.7 20.4 30.1 14.9 3.9 0.8
Detroit Mercy 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.2 9.7 20.9 41.2 15.4 5.1
Green Bay 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.4 13.7 35.9 44.5
IU Indianapolis 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 6.3 17.9 41.7 31.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Purdue Fort Wayne 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 5.5 10.1 15.6 19.4 18.9 15.2 8.5 3.3 0.7
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.5 7.3 12.2 16.6 18.6 17.2 12.4 6.9 2.6 0.5
Wright St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.4 10.4 15.4 17.4 16.9 13.4 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3
Youngstown St. 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.3 7.0 12.6 17.6 19.6 17.9 12.0 6.1 2.2 0.3
Oakland 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 7.2 12.1 16.2 18.2 16.7 12.3 7.3 3.2 0.9 0.1
Cleveland St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.5 8.4 13.3 16.7 17.8 15.7 11.6 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.1
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 5.2 9.6 14.5 17.8 17.7 14.5 9.8 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
Robert Morris 9 - 11 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.3 8.5 13.8 18.0 18.8 15.8 10.3 5.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
Detroit Mercy 7 - 13 0.5 3.0 8.4 14.8 19.9 19.4 15.0 10.4 5.4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 4 - 16 1.8 7.3 15.7 20.7 20.5 16.0 9.8 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 3.7 11.6 18.9 21.7 18.4 12.4 7.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Purdue Fort Wayne 26.9% 15.1 8.3 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 22.9% 12.9 6.9 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 7.2% 3.0 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Youngstown St. 38.8% 25.1 9.9 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
Oakland 5.2% 2.0 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 21.9% 12.4 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
Northern Kentucky 8.8% 4.0 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
Robert Morris 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Green Bay
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Purdue Fort Wayne 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.7 3.9 8.3 6.7 1.1 79.3 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 3.3 7.0 5.4 0.8 82.8 0.0%
Wright St. 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 5.4 2.1 87.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 6.4 2.1 85.5 0.0%
Oakland 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 4.0 4.5 89.8 0.0%
Cleveland St. 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.8 2.1 89.4 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.8 2.7 90.2 0.0%
Robert Morris 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 96.8 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%
Green Bay 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Purdue Fort Wayne 20.7% 0.1% 20.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 17.2% 0.1% 17.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 13.0% 0.7% 12.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 14.5% 0.4% 14.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 10.3% 2.8% 9.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 10.6% 0.5% 10.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.8% 1.0% 9.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 3.2% 0.7% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.0% 1.0 3.0 97.0
2nd Round 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0