IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#326
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#329
Pace64.0#291
Improvement+1.7#114

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.1#177
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#200
Layup/Dunks-7.2#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#18
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+2.7#59

Defense
Total Defense-9.7#361
First Shot-10.2#363
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#132
Layups/Dunks-3.1#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#357
Freethrows-2.3#327
Improvement-1.0#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 91 - 12
Quad 46 - 107 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 42   @ Xavier L 80-94 2%     0 - 1 +0.5 +17.6 -17.6
  Nov 14, 2024 291   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 49%     0 - 2 -12.6 -8.5 -4.1
  Nov 18, 2024 9   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 1%     0 - 3 -13.8 -9.7 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 312   Coastal Carolina L 57-71 46%     0 - 4 -23.0 -12.2 -12.9
  Nov 23, 2024 210   South Carolina St. L 62-72 24%     0 - 5 -12.6 -6.9 -6.1
  Nov 25, 2024 359   @ Alabama A&M W 88-83 58%     1 - 5 -7.1 +12.3 -19.3
  Dec 04, 2024 337   Green Bay W 84-75 65%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -5.0 +7.8 -12.4
  Dec 07, 2024 241   Northern Kentucky L 64-66 38%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -9.0 -3.2 -6.0
  Dec 11, 2024 153   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-78 11%     2 - 7 1 - 2 +1.1 +5.4 -4.3
  Dec 14, 2024 335   @ Lindenwood L 63-81 44%     2 - 8 -26.4 -8.8 -18.4
  Dec 21, 2024 268   @ Florida International L 69-75 25%     2 - 9 -9.0 -0.2 -9.0
  Dec 29, 2024 130   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-88 10%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -2.7 +11.5 -14.4
  Jan 01, 2025 186   Youngstown St. L 61-77 28%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -20.1 -8.2 -12.9
  Jan 04, 2025 170   @ Cleveland St. L 61-67 13%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -3.9 +2.0 -6.9
  Jan 09, 2025 334   Detroit Mercy W 95-61 63%     3 - 12 2 - 5 +20.6 +24.0 -1.2
  Jan 15, 2025 198   @ Oakland L 59-72 16%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -12.5 -8.4 -5.6
  Jan 19, 2025 170   Cleveland St. L 62-73 25%     3 - 14 2 - 7 -14.0 -4.7 -10.3
  Jan 22, 2025 337   @ Green Bay W 86-77 46%     4 - 14 3 - 7 +0.1 +14.5 -13.8
  Jan 25, 2025 153   Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-91 22%     4 - 15 3 - 8 -12.9 +3.0 -15.8
  Jan 30, 2025 173   @ Robert Morris L 53-106 13%     4 - 16 3 - 9 -51.0 -17.7 -33.8
  Feb 01, 2025 186   @ Youngstown St. W 84-79 15%     5 - 16 4 - 9 +6.0 +17.2 -10.9
  Feb 05, 2025 130   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-84 OT 19%     5 - 17 4 - 10 -4.8 +1.3 -5.9
  Feb 08, 2025 220   @ Wright St. L 73-91 19%     5 - 18 4 - 11 -18.7 +2.5 -22.4
  Feb 12, 2025 198   Oakland L 67-82 30%     5 - 19 4 - 12 -19.6 -0.6 -21.0
  Feb 19, 2025 334   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-71 43%     6 - 19 5 - 12 +0.7 +9.5 -8.4
  Feb 23, 2025 241   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-75 21%    
  Feb 27, 2025 173   Robert Morris L 71-78 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 220   Wright St. L 75-79 36%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.9 0.9 7th
8th 7.1 1.5 8.6 8th
9th 36.9 42.5 10.0 89.4 9th
10th 1.1 1.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 38.0 42.5 17.0 2.5 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
7-13 17.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.0
6-14 42.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 42.4
5-15 38.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 38.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 29.6%