IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#354
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#346
Pace65.0#280
Improvement+0.6#139

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#308
First Shot-2.8#259
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#292
Layup/Dunks-8.5#360
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#25
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-0.2#192

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#360
First Shot-8.5#364
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#136
Layups/Dunks-3.6#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#351
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 2.6% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 51.7% 43.7% 53.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 45 - 136 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 47   @ Xavier L 80-94 2%     0 - 1 -0.5 +16.3 -17.3
  Nov 14, 2024 317   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 46%     0 - 2 -14.8 -8.7 -6.1
  Nov 18, 2024 5   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 0.4%    0 - 3 -12.6 -11.3 -1.1
  Nov 22, 2024 268   Coastal Carolina L 57-71 25%     0 - 4 -19.7 -9.3 -12.5
  Nov 23, 2024 247   South Carolina St. L 62-72 22%     0 - 5 -14.8 -9.3 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M W 88-83 47%     1 - 5 -7.1 +11.1 -18.2
  Dec 04, 2024 333   Green Bay W 84-75 52%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -4.2 +7.4 -11.2
  Dec 07, 2024 214   Northern Kentucky L 64-66 24%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -7.5 -1.7 -6.1
  Dec 11, 2024 144   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-78 7%     2 - 7 1 - 2 +1.5 +4.3 -2.8
  Dec 14, 2024 351   @ Lindenwood L 63-81 37%     2 - 8 -27.4 -11.0 -17.1
  Dec 21, 2024 248   @ Florida International L 67-78 15%    
  Dec 29, 2024 137   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-84 5%    
  Jan 01, 2025 195   Youngstown St. L 66-74 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 224   @ Cleveland St. L 64-77 12%    
  Jan 09, 2025 323   Detroit Mercy L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 15, 2025 206   @ Oakland L 60-74 10%    
  Jan 19, 2025 224   Cleveland St. L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 22, 2025 333   @ Green Bay L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 144   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-83 17%    
  Jan 30, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Youngstown St. L 63-77 10%    
  Feb 05, 2025 137   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-81 16%    
  Feb 08, 2025 154   @ Wright St. L 67-83 8%    
  Feb 12, 2025 206   Oakland L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 323   @ Detroit Mercy L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 23, 2025 214   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 27, 2025 259   Robert Morris L 68-72 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 154   Wright St. L 70-80 19%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 5.1 6.1 3.2 0.7 0.0 17.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 6.8 11.2 8.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 33.1 10th
11th 4.7 11.1 11.9 7.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 37.2 11th
Total 4.8 12.8 18.9 20.3 16.5 11.8 7.5 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5
14-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0
13-7 27.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-10 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
9-11 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
8-12 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.1
7-13 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-14 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
5-15 16.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.5
4-16 20.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.2
3-17 18.9% 18.9
2-18 12.8% 12.8
1-19 4.8% 4.8
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.0%