Preseason Rankings
IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.5#360
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#176
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#358
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#356
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 n/a 15.8
.500 or above 1.1% 7.8% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 6.7% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.4% 30.7% 61.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 45 - 145 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 28   @ Xavier L 60-90 0.2%   
  Nov 14, 2024 287   Eastern Michigan L 65-71 28%    
  Nov 18, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 50-85 0.1%   
  Nov 22, 2024 291   Coastal Carolina L 68-77 21%    
  Nov 23, 2024 307   South Carolina St. L 67-75 24%    
  Nov 25, 2024 338   @ Alabama A&M L 67-75 25%    
  Dec 04, 2024 310   Green Bay L 64-69 34%    
  Dec 07, 2024 174   Northern Kentucky L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 11, 2024 180   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 64-82 6%    
  Dec 14, 2024 349   @ Lindenwood L 66-72 30%    
  Dec 21, 2024 275   @ Florida International L 67-80 13%    
  Dec 29, 2024 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-84 8%    
  Jan 01, 2025 198   Youngstown St. L 66-77 18%    
  Jan 04, 2025 213   @ Cleveland St. L 62-78 9%    
  Jan 09, 2025 342   Detroit Mercy L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 15, 2025 146   @ Oakland L 60-79 5%    
  Jan 19, 2025 213   Cleveland St. L 65-75 20%    
  Jan 22, 2025 310   @ Green Bay L 61-72 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 180   Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-79 16%    
  Jan 30, 2025 295   @ Robert Morris L 64-76 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 198   @ Youngstown St. L 63-80 8%    
  Feb 05, 2025 200   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-81 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 196   @ Wright St. L 69-86 8%    
  Feb 12, 2025 146   Oakland L 63-76 14%    
  Feb 19, 2025 342   @ Detroit Mercy L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 23, 2025 174   @ Northern Kentucky L 60-78 7%    
  Feb 27, 2025 295   Robert Morris L 67-73 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 196   Wright St. L 72-83 19%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.0 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.5 3.3 6.8 7.9 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 25.1 10th
11th 8.2 14.2 13.9 9.1 3.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 50.3 11th
Total 8.2 14.7 17.2 16.4 13.9 10.2 7.2 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 37.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.8% 0.0    0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 20.3% 20.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 11.9% 11.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
9-11 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0
8-12 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
7-13 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-14 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-16 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-17 16.4% 16.4
2-18 17.2% 17.2
1-19 14.7% 14.7
0-20 8.2% 8.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.8%