Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#268
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#256
Pace61.6#347
Improvement-0.4#204

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#271
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#227
Layup/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#208
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+0.9#105

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#246
First Shot-3.2#285
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#105
Layups/Dunks+5.3#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#35
Freethrows-4.9#362
Improvement-1.3#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.3% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 28.1% 49.1% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 33.5% 56.1% 30.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 3.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 3.0% 10.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 296   Western Michigan W 60-56 67%     1 - 0 -6.2 -12.3 +6.6
  Nov 09, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 59-63 21%     1 - 1 -1.2 -0.6 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 78   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 8%     1 - 2 -1.9 +1.6 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2024 167   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 42%     1 - 3 -21.6 -12.5 -12.7
  Nov 22, 2024 354   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 75%     2 - 3 +1.2 +1.2 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 73%     2 - 4 -19.1 -7.0 -12.3
  Nov 30, 2024 338   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 79%     3 - 4 +7.8 -3.6 +12.3
  Dec 04, 2024 295   @ Campbell W 58-57 44%     4 - 4 -3.2 -8.9 +5.9
  Dec 07, 2024 187   @ Winthrop L 89-96 24%     4 - 5 -5.3 +16.7 -21.9
  Dec 17, 2024 321   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 51%     5 - 5 -1.0 -1.4 +0.5
  Dec 21, 2024 109   @ Arkansas St. L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 291   Louisiana W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 329   Louisiana Monroe W 69-62 75%    
  Jan 08, 2025 173   @ Appalachian St. L 59-67 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 263   @ Georgia St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 16, 2025 234   Georgia Southern W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 190   Marshall L 69-70 44%    
  Jan 22, 2025 234   @ Georgia Southern L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 315   @ Old Dominion L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 30, 2025 115   @ James Madison L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 190   @ Marshall L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 202   South Alabama L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 13, 2025 173   Appalachian St. L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 115   James Madison L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 283   @ Southern Miss L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   @ Troy L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 26, 2025 263   Georgia St. W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 28, 2025 315   Old Dominion W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.2 0.1 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.6 4.8 1.4 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.4 2.6 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.3 4.4 0.5 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.3 1.2 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.3 2.9 5.4 1.9 0.1 10.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 2.7 0.3 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.9 7.0 10.7 13.8 14.6 14.3 12.0 9.4 6.0 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 71.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 9.6% 9.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 9.3% 9.3% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 6.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.8
10-8 9.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.2
9-9 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.9
8-10 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.2
7-11 14.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%