Preseason Rankings
Marshall
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#44
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#198
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 7.1% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 51.7% 63.6% 36.0%
.500 or above in Conference 53.3% 60.8% 43.5%
Conference Champion 6.3% 8.5% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 4.7% 9.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round5.4% 7.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 410 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 168   Toledo W 80-78 57%    
  Nov 11, 2024 328   Southern Indiana W 81-70 85%    
  Nov 16, 2024 299   Bellarmine W 76-67 78%    
  Nov 23, 2024 12   @ Purdue L 65-85 4%    
  Nov 27, 2024 307   South Carolina St. W 80-71 79%    
  Nov 30, 2024 115   @ Western Kentucky L 79-87 25%    
  Dec 04, 2024 224   Morehead St. W 72-67 65%    
  Dec 07, 2024 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 11, 2024 196   @ Wright St. L 81-84 40%    
  Dec 14, 2024 121   Ohio L 75-76 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 236   @ Southern Miss L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 28, 2024 288   @ Elon W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 02, 2025 185   Texas St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 04, 2025 129   Troy L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 09, 2025 107   James Madison L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 209   Georgia Southern W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 16, 2025 107   @ James Madison L 72-81 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 291   @ Coastal Carolina W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 204   @ Georgia St. L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 209   @ Georgia Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 30, 2025 204   Georgia St. W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 291   Coastal Carolina W 80-72 75%    
  Feb 05, 2025 134   Arkansas St. L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 223   @ South Alabama L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 156   @ Louisiana L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 227   @ Old Dominion L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 139   @ Appalachian St. L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 25, 2025 227   Old Dominion W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 28, 2025 139   Appalachian St. W 73-72 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.2 1.7 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.6 1.0 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.3 1.4 0.1 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.2 4.7 6.7 8.7 10.0 10.9 10.8 10.7 9.4 7.9 6.1 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 92.2% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.5% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.5% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.8% 39.6% 9.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.2%
17-1 0.5% 43.8% 41.1% 2.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.6%
16-2 1.3% 30.6% 29.2% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.0%
15-3 2.5% 26.7% 26.7% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8
14-4 4.2% 20.5% 20.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3
13-5 6.1% 15.9% 15.9% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.1
12-6 7.9% 11.1% 11.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.0
11-7 9.4% 6.9% 6.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 8.7
10-8 10.7% 3.9% 3.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.3
9-9 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.6
8-10 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.7
4-14 4.7% 4.7
3-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-16 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.3 94.5 0.0%