Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#286
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#285
Pace66.3#230
Improvement+3.7#43

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#258
First Shot-7.3#347
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#12
Layup/Dunks-3.6#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#315
Freethrows-2.1#300
Improvement+2.0#86

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#291
First Shot-3.9#303
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#184
Layups/Dunks-4.1#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-1.4#279
Improvement+1.6#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 36.4% 58.8% 10.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 53.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 82 - 10
Quad 48 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 352   Buffalo L 82-83 80%     0 - 1 -16.7 -0.6 -16.0
  Nov 09, 2024 8   @ Arizona L 44-102 1%     0 - 2 -36.7 -19.7 -14.0
  Nov 12, 2024 177   @ Radford L 75-87 21%     0 - 3 -10.4 +1.3 -11.7
  Nov 15, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 90%     1 - 3 -19.0 -9.5 -9.5
  Nov 24, 2024 174   Boston College L 52-82 27%     1 - 4 -30.6 -18.0 -14.3
  Nov 25, 2024 96   High Point L 67-73 13%     1 - 5 -1.0 +0.3 -2.1
  Nov 26, 2024 132   Duquesne L 54-67 21%     1 - 6 -11.4 -16.9 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2024 216   William & Mary W 88-83 44%     2 - 6 -0.5 +5.2 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 117   George Washington L 70-78 25%     2 - 7 -7.8 +1.9 -10.1
  Dec 15, 2024 212   Northeastern L 71-75 43%     2 - 8 -9.2 -5.1 -4.0
  Dec 21, 2024 336   @ Louisiana Monroe W 80-75 OT 58%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -3.9 +1.9 -6.0
  Jan 02, 2025 97   Arkansas St. L 59-78 19%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -16.5 -8.9 -8.5
  Jan 04, 2025 280   Southern Miss W 74-71 59%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -6.1 +0.9 -6.9
  Jan 09, 2025 289   @ Louisiana W 71-60 41%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +6.5 +3.7 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 133   @ South Alabama W 71-63 OT 15%     6 - 9 4 - 1 +12.1 +3.7 +8.6
  Jan 16, 2025 141   Appalachian St. L 43-62 30%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -20.4 -16.8 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2025 248   Georgia Southern L 63-67 52%     6 - 11 4 - 3 -11.4 -4.7 -7.3
  Jan 22, 2025 138   James Madison L 60-74 29%     6 - 12 4 - 4 -15.3 -7.6 -9.4
  Jan 25, 2025 312   Coastal Carolina W 74-52 67%     7 - 12 5 - 4 +10.4 +2.2 +10.4
  Jan 29, 2025 141   @ Appalachian St. W 78-77 16%     8 - 12 6 - 4 +4.7 +14.6 -9.9
  Feb 01, 2025 138   @ James Madison L 54-68 16%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -10.2 -11.4 -0.7
  Feb 05, 2025 202   Texas St. W 75-64 42%     9 - 13 7 - 5 +6.2 +9.5 -1.5
  Feb 08, 2025 291   @ Eastern Michigan L 70-76 41%     9 - 14 -10.6 +0.0 -11.1
  Feb 13, 2025 252   @ Georgia St. L 75-97 33%     9 - 15 7 - 6 -24.5 -3.3 -20.6
  Feb 15, 2025 248   @ Georgia Southern L 75-78 33%     9 - 16 7 - 7 -5.3 -2.6 -2.5
  Feb 20, 2025 190   Marshall L 77-81 40%     9 - 17 7 - 8 -8.2 +1.2 -9.4
  Feb 22, 2025 252   Georgia St. W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 190   @ Marshall L 69-77 22%    
  Feb 28, 2025 312   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 3.3 5.5 8.9 6th
7th 10.4 23.1 0.5 34.0 7th
8th 1.0 20.0 3.9 24.8 8th
9th 6.4 11.4 0.1 17.9 9th
10th 9.4 1.3 10.7 10th
11th 3.6 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 20.5 43.1 30.4 6.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 6.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.0
9-9 30.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 30.3
8-10 43.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 43.1
7-11 20.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 12.1%