Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#317
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#332
Pace73.5#72
Improvement+1.7#70

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#298
First Shot-8.6#356
After Offensive Rebound+4.2#21
Layup/Dunks-2.1#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#330
Freethrows-4.8#353
Improvement-0.2#204

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#310
First Shot-4.6#321
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks-6.0#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#167
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement+2.0#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 2.0% 5.1% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.8% 15.7% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 32.1% 25.7% 34.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 102 - 12
Quad 47 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 330   Buffalo L 82-83 64%     0 - 1 -13.6 -1.7 -11.9
  Nov 09, 2024 25   @ Arizona L 44-102 2%     0 - 2 -41.1 -24.0 -14.0
  Nov 12, 2024 191   @ Radford L 75-87 16%     0 - 3 -10.3 +1.1 -11.5
  Nov 15, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 81%     1 - 3 -16.2 -8.2 -8.0
  Nov 24, 2024 127   Boston College L 52-82 16%     1 - 4 -28.0 -16.5 -13.2
  Nov 25, 2024 152   High Point L 67-73 19%     1 - 5 -5.6 -1.3 -5.2
  Nov 26, 2024 220   Duquesne L 54-67 28%     1 - 6 -15.8 -17.8 +2.2
  Dec 02, 2024 221   William & Mary W 88-83 39%     2 - 6 -1.0 +3.9 -5.3
  Dec 07, 2024 140   George Washington L 75-82 24%    
  Dec 15, 2024 170   Northeastern L 69-74 30%    
  Dec 21, 2024 332   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 02, 2025 121   Arkansas St. L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 267   Southern Miss L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 09, 2025 263   @ Louisiana L 75-81 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 214   @ South Alabama L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 16, 2025 164   Appalachian St. L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 224   Georgia Southern L 78-81 41%    
  Jan 22, 2025 116   James Madison L 72-81 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 286   Coastal Carolina W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 164   @ Appalachian St. L 63-75 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 116   @ James Madison L 69-84 9%    
  Feb 05, 2025 145   Texas St. L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 228   @ Georgia St. L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 224   @ Georgia Southern L 75-84 22%    
  Feb 20, 2025 182   Marshall L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 228   Georgia St. L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 25, 2025 182   @ Marshall L 71-82 17%    
  Feb 28, 2025 286   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-71 32%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.5 0.3 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.7 1.8 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.6 3.1 0.3 14.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 6.2 7.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 19.5 13th
14th 1.1 3.9 6.5 6.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 20.8 14th
Total 1.1 4.1 8.3 13.2 15.0 14.7 13.7 11.2 7.9 5.3 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 68.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 5.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.3
8-10 7.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.7
4-14 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
3-15 13.2% 13.2
2-16 8.3% 8.3
1-17 4.1% 4.1
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%