Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#297
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#288
Pace69.4#165
Improvement+3.9#34

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#285
First Shot-8.2#353
After Offensive Rebound+4.2#10
Layup/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#321
Freethrows-2.2#307
Improvement+1.7#84

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#280
First Shot-3.6#295
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows-1.3#278
Improvement+2.3#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 2.7% 8.0% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 34.5% 61.1% 32.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 12
Quad 49 - 710 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 334   Buffalo L 82-83 72%     0 - 1 -14.6 -1.7 -12.8
  Nov 09, 2024 12   @ Arizona L 44-102 1%     0 - 2 -37.3 -21.9 -12.3
  Nov 12, 2024 209   @ Radford L 75-87 21%     0 - 3 -11.1 +1.3 -12.4
  Nov 15, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 83%     1 - 3 -15.7 -9.0 -6.7
  Nov 24, 2024 175   Boston College L 52-82 26%     1 - 4 -30.7 -18.6 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2024 129   High Point L 67-73 18%     1 - 5 -3.7 -1.4 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2024 145   Duquesne L 54-67 21%     1 - 6 -12.2 -17.9 +5.9
  Dec 02, 2024 183   William & Mary W 88-83 37%     2 - 6 +0.8 +3.6 -3.1
  Dec 07, 2024 112   George Washington L 70-78 24%     2 - 7 -7.9 +0.7 -9.0
  Dec 15, 2024 208   Northeastern L 71-75 41%     2 - 8 -9.1 -4.4 -4.7
  Dec 21, 2024 344   @ Louisiana Monroe W 80-75 OT 55%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -3.7 +1.4 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 103   Arkansas St. L 59-78 21%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -18.0 -10.3 -8.6
  Jan 04, 2025 274   Southern Miss W 74-71 57%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -6.2 -1.0 -5.2
  Jan 09, 2025 306   @ Louisiana W 71-60 40%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +6.0 +1.7 +5.3
  Jan 11, 2025 109   @ South Alabama L 61-75 9%    
  Jan 16, 2025 159   Appalachian St. L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 280   Georgia Southern W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 126   James Madison L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 287   Coastal Carolina W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 29, 2025 159   @ Appalachian St. L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 126   @ James Madison L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 158   Texas St. L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 13, 2025 276   @ Georgia St. L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 280   @ Georgia Southern L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 199   Marshall L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 276   Georgia St. W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 199   @ Marshall L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 28, 2025 287   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-70 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.4 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.2 4th
5th 0.5 2.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 4.3 1.2 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 3.3 6.2 2.1 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 8.4 4.3 0.4 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 6.9 5.4 0.5 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.8 6.7 1.0 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.6 6.0 1.8 0.1 10.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.2 0.2 8.0 12th
13th 0.5 2.2 1.5 0.3 4.5 13th
14th 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 14th
Total 0.8 3.9 9.0 14.9 18.5 18.4 14.8 10.1 5.8 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3 69.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 2.4
11-7 5.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.7
10-8 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
9-9 14.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.7
8-10 18.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.4
7-11 18.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.5
6-12 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-13 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 3.9% 3.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%