IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#227
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.5	#55
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#244

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#213

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	3.6%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.8	14.4

.500 or above	42.8%	46.9%	20.7%
.500 or above in Conference	43.3%	46.1%	27.9%
Conference Champion	3.8%	4.2%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	10.8%	9.4%	18.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	3.2%	3.5%	1.4%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 84.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 5	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	337	Buffalo	W	81-70	84%
Nov 09, 2024	11	@ Arizona	L	69-91	2%
Nov 12, 2024	269	@ Radford	L	68-69	46%
Nov 15, 2024	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	77-62	91%
Nov 24, 2024	114	Boston College	L	69-76	28%
Dec 02, 2024	247	William & Mary	W	74-70	64%
Dec 07, 2024	150	George Washington	L	78-79	47%
Dec 15, 2024	220	Northeastern	W	73-70	59%
Dec 21, 2024	296	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	73-72	52%
Jan 02, 2025	134	Arkansas St.	L	75-77	43%
Jan 04, 2025	236	Southern Miss	W	75-72	61%
Jan 09, 2025	156	@ Louisiana	L	70-77	29%
Jan 11, 2025	223	@ South Alabama	L	73-76	39%
Jan 16, 2025	139	Appalachian St.	L	70-72	45%
Jan 18, 2025	209	Georgia Southern	W	77-75	57%
Jan 22, 2025	107	James Madison	L	73-77	36%
Jan 25, 2025	291	Coastal Carolina	W	79-73	70%
Jan 29, 2025	139	@ Appalachian St.	L	67-75	26%
Feb 01, 2025	107	@ James Madison	L	70-80	19%
Feb 05, 2025	185	Texas St.	W	71-70	52%
Feb 13, 2025	204	@ Georgia St.	L	73-77	36%
Feb 15, 2025	209	@ Georgia Southern	L	74-78	37%
Feb 20, 2025	194	Marshall	W	77-76	54%
Feb 22, 2025	204	Georgia St.	W	76-74	56%
Feb 25, 2025	194	@ Marshall	L	74-79	35%
Feb 28, 2025	291	@ Coastal Carolina	W	76-75	52%
Projected Record						12 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.1		3.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1				4.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.0					5.8	3rd
4th										0.1	1.1	2.9	1.9	0.3	0.0						6.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.1	2.5	0.5	0.0	0.0						6.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.8	3.4	0.8	0.0								7.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.1	4.2	1.5	0.1									8.1	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	4.3	2.3	0.2	0.0									8.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	3.9	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	3.0	4.1	1.0	0.0											8.7	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	2.5	4.0	1.6	0.1												8.6	11th
12th			0.0	0.5	2.2	3.7	2.0	0.2	0.0												8.5	12th
13th		0.1	0.6	2.1	3.1	1.7	0.3	0.0													7.9	13th
14th	0.3	1.0	1.9	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0														6.4	14th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.5	4.6	6.7	8.7	10.3	11.3	11.3	10.7	9.4	7.6	5.9	4.4	2.7	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	93.2%	0.8		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	70.9%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	36.7%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.7%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.8%	3.8		2.1	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		73.3%	68.3%	5.0%	9.2					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		15.6%
17-1	0.2%		48.2%	46.3%	1.8%	11.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		3.4%
16-2	0.8%		26.8%	26.8%		12.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6
15-3	1.5%		20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2		0.2%
14-4	2.7%		17.6%	17.6%		13.4													0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1		2.2
13-5	4.4%		12.3%	12.3%		13.8													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	3.8
12-6	5.9%		9.8%	9.8%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	5.3
11-7	7.6%		5.1%	5.1%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	7.2
10-8	9.4%		2.7%	2.7%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.2
9-9	10.7%		1.4%	1.4%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.5
8-10	11.3%		0.9%	0.9%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.2
7-11	11.3%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.2
6-12	10.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
5-13	8.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
4-14	6.7%																							6.7
3-15	4.6%																							4.6
2-16	2.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	13.8					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.3	96.8		0.0%