Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.1 253
Expected Predictive Rating -7.4 287
Pace 70.7 122
Improvement +0.6 159

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #249 D+ D+ B- C- D
Defense C- #244 C C D D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 285 57% 194 -2.5 270
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 66 33% 336 +1.0 122
Three Pointers 38% 237 34% 179 -1.4 232
1st FG Attempt 0.96 265 -2.9 265
Second Chance 24.7% 331 1.07 116 0.26 283
Turnovers 15.8% 114
Freethrows 0.28 256 73% 161 0.21 234
Total Offense -2.8 249

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 39 64% 327 -5.9 349
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 170 35% 70 +0.6 142
Three Pointers 35% 333 31% 51 +4.8 21
1st FG Attempt 1.03 196 -0.5 194
Second Chance 30.2% 167 1.02 175 0.31 171
Turnovers 14.6% 317
Freethrows 0.35 299 74% 299 0.26 310
Total Defense -2.2 244

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.1 314 +0.4 239
Shot Type Accuracy -1.8 233 +0.1 188
Possession Length 17.2 158 16.7 84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 225 0.22 320
Improvement +0.4 #151 +0.2 #178

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 4% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 73 - 14
Quad 46 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 87 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  63% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -6 B- D- F C+ +1 C- A C
 Tue, Nov 11 307 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 74% +1  58% 1 - 1 D -9 F+ -9 F D- B C+ +0 A F+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 84 @George Washington L 73 - 96 9% -11  15% 1 - 2 D- -13 D+ -4 D- C+ F+ D- -8 C+ D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 83 @Xavier L 69 - 99 9% -20  1% 1 - 3 F -20 D -6 D- C+ C- F -13 D+ F C
 Fri, Nov 21 352 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 86% +18  98% 2 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 C D- A A- +9 B B D
 Sun, Nov 23 217 @Drexel L 71 - 75 31% -1  37% 2 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ C- B D- -7 D+ F D
 Tue, Nov 25 32 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  16% 2 - 5 C+ +3 A +12 B A- A+ D- -9 D- D F+
 Sun, Nov 30 145 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 19% -7  7% 2 - 6 D -9 F+ -8 D F+ C- C+ +1 D+ A D
 Sat, Dec 6 128 @Richmond L 77 - 86 17% -4  8% 2 - 7 C- -4 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ C -1 B F+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 89 @George Mason L 61 - 73 10% -10  0% 2 - 8 C- -3 F -11 D B- F B+ +8 A- B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 222 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  82% 3 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +3 C +0 C- F A- B- +3 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 238 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 59% -1  24% 3 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D- -6 C C F C- -3 B- A F
 Sun, Dec 28 104 @Maryland L 58 - 73 12% -18  0% 3 - 10 D+ -8 F -13 F D+ D B +5 C A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 161 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 43% -13  0% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D- -11 C+ +2 A- F+ B F -14 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 274 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 66% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 F D A+ D- -8 F+ D+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 238 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 36% +7  99% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 C- B- F B +6 B+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 222 @James Madison L 69 - 70 31% +9  88% 4 - 13 2 - 4 C -1 D- -7 F D- B B+ +6 D A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 274 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 43% +2  57% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D+ -6 B- +4 B+ D- B+ F+ -10 F C C
 Sat, Jan 17 161 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 23% +10  98% 5 - 14 3 - 5 C+ +5 A- +9 A+ D+ C- D+ -4 C F F
 Wed, Jan 21 135 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 36% +1  65% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -11 F+ F B+ B +4 A+ D C-
 Wed, Jan 28 141 @Arkansas St. W 75 - 71 19% +5  96% 6 - 15 4 - 6 B +8 C- -1 D+ C- B+ A- +9 B- A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 234 @Texas St. L 64 - 81 35% -12  0% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -18 F+ -9 F C D F+ -9 D- B- F
 Wed, Feb 4 356 Louisiana Monroe L 79 - 85 88% -6  0% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F -24 F+ -9 F D+ B F -14 D- C+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 199 Ohio W 78 - 72 52% -0  57% 7 - 17 C +0 B- +5 D+ B- A+ D+ -4 D C+ F+
 Wed, Feb 11 164 Marshall L 79 - 81 43% +7  86% 7 - 18 4 - 9 D+ -5 C +0 B- C+ A D -6 F A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 276 Georgia St. W 76 - 72 67%
 Mon, Feb 16 290 Louisiana W 71 - 66 70%
 Sat, Feb 21 241 @Southern Miss L 72 - 76 38%
 Tue, Feb 24 164 @Marshall L 73 - 81 24%
 Fri, Feb 27 276 @Georgia St. L 73 - 75 43%
Totals 9 - 21 6 - 12 -5 C- -3 D+ D+ B- C- -2 C C D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D C C- 35% 27% 38% D D+ D- C+ D+ B- D+ C+ C- C- D B B C 44% 21% 35% C- C C C C D D D+ D
1.05 57% 33% 34% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .26 16% .28 73% .21 1.12 64% 35% 31% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .21
Nov
3		 Miami (OH) D D+ C- A+ B 33% 27% 41% D B- F B+ D- F C B+ C+ C+ D- B B+ C+ 55% 6% 39% F C- C- A+ A C F D F
0.96 56% 38% 45% +6 -1 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 25% .29 81% .23 1.16 71% 33% 30% +5 +3 1.18 25% 0.6 .16 16% .43 81% .35
Nov
11		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ C- F F 35% 19% 47% D F D+ F D- B C+ B- B- C+ A D+ A+ A 42% 27% 31% C- A F C+ F+ C+ A- F C
1.01 80% 38% 15% -6 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .23 15% .38 74% .28 0.96 42% 42% 21% -12 -1 0.78 42% 0.9 .39 20% .27 85% .23
Nov
15		 George Washington D+ F F A+ D 35% 24% 41% D+ D- A F C+ F+ A D+ A- D- D F A+ B- 51% 10% 39% C- C+ B- F D+ F F C+ F
0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26 1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41
Nov
18		 Xavier D B+ F F D- 37% 31% 31% D D- D+ A- C+ C- C+ D+ C F C- C+ D- C- 29% 15% 56% D- D+ F F F C F C F
0.93 65% 29% 24% -5 -1 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 19% .30 67% .20 1.33 63% 38% 39% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.2 .61 12% .37 71% .26
Nov
21		 Morgan St. B+ C+ D+ A B- 28% 22% 50% F C C F D- A C B- C+ A- C+ B+ A+ A 52% 20% 28% F B D+ A B D C- A+ A-
1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34 0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20
Nov
23		 Drexel C+ F C- A+ B- 40% 36% 25% D- C+ C D C- B D+ F F D- B- B+ F D+ 46% 22% 33% D+ D+ D- F F D F F F
1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16 1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29
Nov
25		 Villanova A F+ F A+ B+ 28% 24% 48% C- B D- A+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ D- F D- C+ F+ 35% 18% 47% C+ D- A F D F+ F C- F
1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28 1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32
Nov
30		 William & Mary F+ B- C- F D- 36% 13% 51% C D F A+ F+ C- F A+ C- C+ F F A+ D+ 43% 16% 41% B- D+ C A+ A D F F F
0.95 64% 38% 26% -4 +1 0.95 14% 1.4 .19 20% .21 92% .19 1.11 73% 63% 24% +4 +1 1.12 27% 0.8 .20 15% .45 83% .37
Dec
6		 Richmond D+ B+ D- F D- 30% 27% 43% C- D- D+ F F+ A+ C A+ B- C D+ A+ B+ A- 49% 28% 23% F+ B C- F F+ F F A+ C-
1.02 67% 31% 23% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.8 .23 9% .29 80% .23 1.14 64% 25% 31% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 9% .41 64% .26
Dec
13		 George Mason F D- D- C D 36% 34% 30% D D F+ A+ B- F C A- B- B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ 54% 18% 28% F+ A- A C B+ C- F D+ F
0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20 1.03 59% 11% 29% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38
Dec
17		 James Madison C D+ F+ C+ C- 33% 16% 51% C C- F F F A- A+ A+ A+ B- F F+ A+ C 40% 15% 45% D+ C A B- A- C+ D+ D+ D+
1.15 53% 29% 35% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.8 .16 9% .54 82% .44 1.01 79% 43% 19% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.0 .22 18% .33 72% .24
Dec
20		 Coastal Carolina D- C- D+ A C+ 33% 37% 29% D+ C F A+ C F C+ A B C- D C- A+ B 42% 31% 27% D+ B- B+ A+ A F F F F
1.01 53% 37% 40% +1 -3 0.98 16% 1.8 .29 18% .32 79% .25 1.04 60% 39% 19% -5 -1 0.90 20% 0.6 .13 7% .35 88% .31
Dec
28		 Maryland F B- F F F 29% 37% 33% F F C F+ D+ D B+ F+ B- B B+ A+ F C- 33% 20% 47% B- C A+ C- A+ F A F B
0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22 1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23
Dec
31		 Appalachian St. C+ A+ F A+ A 33% 21% 46% D+ A- D F F+ B A+ F B F F B+ A- D 46% 22% 33% C D F F F C+ F B- F
1.10 71% 18% 42% +5 0 1.12 25% 0.7 .18 12% .38 59% .22 1.22 71% 30% 27% +1 0 1.04 42% 1.5 .65 17% .51 61% .31
Jan
3		 Georgia Southern D- D- F F F 38% 28% 34% F F F B D A+ C- B+ C+ D- D- C C- F 46% 21% 32% B- F+ D C D+ D F F F
1.06 52% 28% 27% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28 1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34
Jan
8		 Coastal Carolina D+ F+ B- C+ C- 40% 29% 31% B- C- B+ C- B- F F+ F F B C+ A+ D+ A- 33% 25% 42% D+ B+ A F B- C- D- D- F+
1.02 45% 44% 35% -3 -1 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 17% .23 38% .09 0.96 53% 8% 36% -8 -1 0.85 18% 1.1 .21 15% .31 78% .24
Jan
10		 James Madison D- F C+ C+ F+ 33% 30% 37% F+ F F B D- B D+ D+ D B+ F B A+ D 52% 23% 25% C- D C+ A+ A- A+ F F F
1.00 33% 38% 35% -8 -2 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 10% .32 70% .23 1.01 78% 30% 18% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.8 .21 23% .47 80% .38
Jan
15		 Georgia Southern B- D+ D+ A+ A- 40% 15% 45% C- B+ D+ D- D- B+ F F F F+ C F+ F F 44% 12% 44% D+ F D- A- C C F B F
1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17 1.22 55% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32
Jan
17		 Appalachian St. A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F+ A+ F A+ D+ C- A+ F A- D+ D- A+ A+ C+ 53% 10% 37% F C B- F F F F B- F+
1.16 64% 50% 45% +13 -2 1.24 18% 1.4 .25 15% .42 61% .26 1.12 65% 20% 22% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.5 .41 11% .43 60% .26
Jan
21		 Troy F B C F F+ 39% 31% 30% D F+ F F+ F B+ A- B- A- B A+ F A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ B+ F D C- F F F
0.94 63% 42% 17% -5 -1 0.90 17% 0.9 .14 15% .36 72% .26 1.02 38% 60% 18% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.3 .38 16% .50 85% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Arkansas St. C- C- C C- C- 32% 31% 37% D- D+ F A+ C- B+ F A F+ A- F A+ B- B- 32% 19% 49% B+ B- A+ B A C+ B- A+ B+
1.04 58% 39% 32% -1 -2 0.97 14% 1.8 .25 12% .22 79% .17 0.98 71% 10% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 21% .30 65% .19
Jan
31		 Texas St. F+ C+ F F F 41% 14% 45% C+ F B D- C D A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B- F F+ 39% 33% 27% B D- C- A- B- F F D F
0.93 60% 14% 23% -10 +1 0.84 33% 0.8 .27 20% .40 82% .33 1.17 60% 35% 43% +4 -2 1.06 32% 0.7 .24 12% .41 80% .33
Feb
4		 Louisiana Monroe F+ C F F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F D- C+ D+ B A+ D- A+ F F F A+ F+ 40% 27% 33% B- D- F A+ C+ C F D- F
1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30 1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46
Feb
7		 Ohio B- A+ F A+ C 34% 45% 21% F D+ C- A- B- A+ C- A+ B D+ F C+ B- D- 30% 24% 46% B- D B- C- C+ F+ B+ B B+
1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -3 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27 1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18
Feb
11		 Marshall C B+ A- C B+ 32% 36% 32% F+ B- F A+ C+ A F F F D F+ C+ F F 38% 25% 36% D+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A C
1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13 1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.5 0.5 6th
7th 0.7 1.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.1 4.3 0.9 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 6.5 0.1 8.3 9th
10th 0.2 8.0 2.5 10.7 10th
11th 2.4 12.1 0.3 14.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 12.8 6.8 20.6 12th
13th 3.6 16.2 17.6 0.9 38.2 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.6 17.2 33.1 29.5 14.2 2.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 2.4
8-10 14.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.1
7-11 29.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 29.5
6-12 33.1% 33.1
5-13 17.2% 17.2
4-14 3.6% 3.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.8 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 3.6%