George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#88
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#54
Pace63.9#319
Improvement-4.0#351

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#95
First Shot+5.3#53
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#296
Layup/Dunks+0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#133
Freethrows+4.3#12
Improvement-1.0#255

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#93
First Shot+1.3#127
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#66
Layups/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#207
Freethrows+0.0#180
Improvement-2.9#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 8.8% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.3
.500 or above 99.3% 99.6% 97.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 81.3% 68.6%
Conference Champion 7.9% 8.2% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.1%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
First Round7.6% 8.0% 4.2%
Second Round1.9% 2.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 39 - 312 - 9
Quad 411 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 220 Wofford W 70-46 88%     1 - 0 +17.2 -1.1 +20.1
  Fri, Nov 7 125 Winthrop W 96-90 75%     2 - 0 +5.3 +10.8 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 15 335 New Hampshire W 61-44 96%     3 - 0 +3.4 -12.0 +16.4
  Tue, Nov 18 317 Jacksonville W 79-57 95%     4 - 0 +9.9 +6.4 +5.1
  Mon, Nov 24 189 Ohio W 92-69 78%     5 - 0 +21.1 +21.0 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 114 Florida Atlantic W 74-65 61%     6 - 0 +12.4 +14.6 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 29 198 James Madison W 82-66 86%     7 - 0 +10.6 +8.3 +3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 159 Cornell W 99-81 81%     8 - 0 +15.1 +16.1 -1.6
  Sat, Dec 6 74 @Virginia Tech L 62-73 34%     8 - 1 -0.3 -0.9 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 13 217 Old Dominion W 73-61 88%     9 - 1 +5.5 -4.3 +9.6
  Sun, Dec 21 329 Loyola Maryland W 86-79 95%     10 - 1 -6.0 +8.3 -14.0
  Sun, Dec 28 240 Penn W 81-67 91%    
  Wed, Dec 31 233 @La Salle W 72-64 77%    
  Sat, Jan 3 119 Rhode Island W 73-67 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 193 @Fordham W 69-64 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 72-74 44%    
  Tue, Jan 13 270 @Loyola Chicago W 76-67 81%    
  Mon, Jan 19 77 George Washington W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 119 @Rhode Island W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 140 Davidson W 73-65 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 116 @St. Bonaventure W 70-69 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 121 Duquesne W 79-72 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 188 Saint Joseph's W 74-63 84%    
  Tue, Feb 10 104 @Richmond L 71-72 46%    
  Fri, Feb 13 77 @George Washington L 74-78 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 68 Dayton W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 188 @Saint Joseph's W 71-66 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 116 St. Bonaventure W 73-67 71%    
  Tue, Mar 3 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 37 Saint Louis L 74-78 37%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.7 4.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 5.7 4.7 1.1 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.7 5.1 1.0 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.5 1.3 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.6 1.8 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.7 2.4 0.2 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.6 8.7 11.6 14.3 15.0 14.0 11.1 7.5 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 91.9% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 64.7% 2.7    1.4 1.2 0.2
14-4 28.6% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 3.9 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 84.0% 44.0% 40.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71.4%
17-1 0.6% 60.5% 25.7% 34.7% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 46.8%
16-2 1.8% 43.8% 23.3% 20.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.0 26.7%
15-3 4.2% 31.2% 20.2% 10.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.1 2.9 13.7%
14-4 7.5% 16.8% 13.0% 3.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.2 4.4%
13-5 11.1% 13.7% 11.8% 1.9% 11.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 9.6 2.2%
12-6 14.0% 8.8% 8.4% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 12.7 0.4%
11-7 15.0% 6.3% 6.2% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 14.1 0.1%
10-8 14.3% 3.3% 3.2% 0.0% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.8 0.0%
9-9 11.6% 2.1% 2.1% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 11.3
8-10 8.7% 1.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.6
7-11 5.6% 0.9% 0.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 5.6
6-12 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 6.7% 1.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 4.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 91.6 1.8%