George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#74
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#55
Pace63.1#335
Improvement-0.9#245

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#80
First Shot+5.5#42
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#271
Layup/Dunks-0.4#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#94
Freethrows+4.1#16
Improvement+0.5#131

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#74
First Shot+0.9#144
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#38
Layups/Dunks+3.2#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement-1.4#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 15.2% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.8% 5.1% 1.6%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 11.0
.500 or above 99.5% 99.7% 97.7%
.500 or above in Conference 85.3% 86.1% 77.4%
Conference Champion 12.7% 13.2% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four2.6% 2.8% 1.1%
First Round13.1% 13.7% 6.9%
Second Round4.2% 4.4% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 39 - 213 - 8
Quad 410 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 247 Wofford W 70-46 92%     1 - 0 +16.3 -1.6 +19.7
  Fri, Nov 7 118 Winthrop W 96-90 76%     2 - 0 +6.2 +11.9 -6.2
  Sat, Nov 15 335 New Hampshire W 61-44 97%     3 - 0 +3.4 -12.8 +17.2
  Tue, Nov 18 291 Jacksonville W 79-57 94%     4 - 0 +11.7 +7.9 +5.4
  Mon, Nov 24 190 Ohio W 92-69 82%     5 - 0 +21.1 +20.3 +1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 122 Florida Atlantic W 74-65 69%     6 - 0 +11.6 +13.9 -0.7
  Sat, Nov 29 177 James Madison W 82-66 87%     7 - 0 +11.6 +8.7 +3.8
  Tue, Dec 2 150 Cornell W 99-81 84%     8 - 0 +15.2 +17.5 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 6 67 @Virginia Tech L 62-73 36%     8 - 1 +0.5 -0.3 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 13 212 Old Dominion W 78-64 91%    
  Sun, Dec 21 321 Loyola Maryland W 81-61 97%    
  Sun, Dec 28 248 Penn W 81-65 93%    
  Wed, Dec 31 225 @La Salle W 72-63 79%    
  Sat, Jan 3 116 Rhode Island W 74-67 75%    
  Wed, Jan 7 229 @Fordham W 71-62 79%    
  Sat, Jan 10 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 70-71 46%    
  Tue, Jan 13 260 @Loyola Chicago W 74-64 82%    
  Mon, Jan 19 59 George Washington W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 116 @Rhode Island W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 Davidson W 73-64 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 108 @St. Bonaventure W 68-67 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 133 Duquesne W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 178 Saint Joseph's W 75-63 86%    
  Tue, Feb 10 105 @Richmond W 72-71 51%    
  Fri, Feb 13 59 @George Washington L 75-80 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 70 Dayton W 72-69 59%    
  Wed, Feb 25 178 @Saint Joseph's W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 108 St. Bonaventure W 71-64 72%    
  Tue, Mar 3 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67-74 27%    
  Sat, Mar 7 45 Saint Louis L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.4 2.7 1.2 0.2 12.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.9 5.5 1.8 0.2 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.3 5.6 1.4 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.0 1.6 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.4 3.6 5.8 1.9 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 2.3 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.0 2.6 0.3 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.2 4.3 6.6 9.5 12.7 14.4 15.0 13.1 10.1 6.2 2.9 1.2 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
16-2 91.9% 2.7    2.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 70.5% 4.4    2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 31.7% 3.2    0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 6.9 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 90.8% 33.8% 56.9% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.0%
17-1 1.2% 81.4% 30.9% 50.4% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 73.0%
16-2 2.9% 60.6% 27.9% 32.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.1 45.4%
15-3 6.2% 41.2% 23.4% 17.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 0.1 3.7 23.3%
14-4 10.1% 26.7% 18.6% 8.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 0.2 7.4 10.0%
13-5 13.1% 18.7% 14.9% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.6 4.4%
12-6 15.0% 12.0% 10.9% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 13.2 1.3%
11-7 14.4% 7.3% 7.0% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 13.4 0.3%
10-8 12.7% 4.0% 4.0% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.2
9-9 9.5% 2.8% 2.8% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.2
8-10 6.6% 1.8% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5
7-11 4.3% 2.0% 2.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
6-12 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.5% 10.2% 4.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.2 7.8 2.1 0.1 0.0 85.5 4.8%