Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#291
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#208
Pace65.4#290
Improvement-1.8#303

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#302
First Shot-3.7#280
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#255
Layup/Dunks+1.7#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows-4.2#344
Improvement+0.5#136

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot-4.5#318
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#66
Layups/Dunks-3.2#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement-2.3#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 6.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 17.1% 42.5% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 61.6% 40.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.2% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 3.4% 9.2%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.3%
First Round2.3% 6.5% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 72 - 12
Quad 411 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 32 @Miami (FL) L 69-86 2%     0 - 1 -0.6 +2.0 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 11 97 @High Point L 64-85 8%     0 - 2 -12.8 -7.0 -6.1
  Sat, Nov 15 341 @VMI W 69-67 54%     1 - 2 -6.3 -4.7 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 18 74 @George Mason L 57-79 6%     1 - 3 -11.3 -6.7 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 220 Bethune-Cookman W 69-64 36%     2 - 3 +1.3 -0.2 +1.9
  Tue, Nov 25 137 Pacific L 53-68 20%     2 - 4 -13.3 -10.4 -5.1
  Tue, Dec 2 343 Florida A&M W 85-82 OT 75%     3 - 4 -11.4 +1.4 -13.0
  Sat, Dec 6 189 @Florida International L 65-88 21%     3 - 5 -21.9 -5.3 -17.1
  Sun, Dec 14 39 @Texas A&M L 63-85 2%    
  Wed, Dec 17 343 @Florida A&M W 71-70 54%    
  Mon, Dec 22 101 @Florida St. L 67-82 8%    
  Thu, Jan 1 161 @Lipscomb L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Jan 3 180 @Austin Peay L 64-73 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 196 Queens L 74-76 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 318 West Georgia W 72-67 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 279 @Central Arkansas L 67-71 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 @North Alabama L 65-73 24%    
  Thu, Jan 22 292 Bellarmine W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 269 Eastern Kentucky W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Jan 29 161 Lipscomb L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 174 Florida Gulf Coast L 72-75 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 196 @Queens L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 @West Georgia L 69-70 45%    
  Thu, Feb 12 347 @Stetson W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 344 North Florida W 80-73 74%    
  Thu, Feb 19 174 @Florida Gulf Coast L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 180 Austin Peay L 67-70 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 347 Stetson W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 344 @North Florida W 77-76 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.1 0.9 0.1 7.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 4.5 1.5 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 5.7 2.6 0.2 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.9 4.4 0.7 0.0 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 3.8 0.9 0.1 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 2.6 0.7 0.1 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.8 8.9 11.6 13.8 14.3 13.0 10.6 7.4 4.9 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 84.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 62.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 24.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 22.0% 22.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 17.7% 17.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 18.9% 18.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.6% 9.8% 9.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.4
12-6 4.9% 8.6% 8.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.5
11-7 7.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.0
10-8 10.6% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.1 0.5 10.1
9-9 13.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.6
8-10 14.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.0
7-11 13.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.7
6-12 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 97.1 0.0%