North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#350
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#352
Pace78.6#15
Improvement-1.6#286

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#255
First Shot-2.6#243
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#219
Layup/Dunks-5.1#335
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#18
Freethrows-4.2#356
Improvement-0.5#211

Defense
Total Defense-9.4#365
First Shot-4.8#332
After Offensive Rebounds-4.6#364
Layups/Dunks-4.8#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-1.2#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.5% 11.9% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 40.7% 32.1% 42.3%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 15.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 45 - 125 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 12 @Florida L 64-104 1%     0 - 1 -19.0 -5.7 -8.4
  Wed, Nov 12 14 @Tennessee L 66-99 1%     0 - 2 -12.4 -1.0 -8.7
  Wed, Nov 19 220 @Wofford L 78-86 14%     0 - 3 -8.8 +1.6 -10.1
  Sat, Nov 22 207 Southern Miss L 83-92 18%     0 - 4 -12.0 +6.8 -18.6
  Sun, Nov 23 320 Prairie View L 82-85 38%     0 - 5 -12.5 +1.5 -13.8
  Tue, Dec 2 249 SIU Edwardsville L 63-72 33%     0 - 6 -17.0 -6.2 -11.5
  Sun, Dec 7 6 @Gonzaga L 58-109 0.3%    0 - 7 -26.5 -9.8 -11.8
  Sat, Dec 13 68 @Dayton L 61-84 2%     0 - 8 -11.9 -4.1 -8.2
  Thu, Dec 18 239 @Charleston Southern L 90-113 15%     0 - 9 -24.6 +5.6 -27.2
  Sun, Dec 21 35 @Miami (FL) L 67-105 1%     0 - 10 -21.8 -2.1 -17.1
  Sun, Dec 28 142 Columbia L 76-87 16%    
  Thu, Jan 1 195 @Austin Peay L 72-85 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 144 @Lipscomb L 75-92 6%    
  Thu, Jan 8 316 West Georgia L 82-83 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 211 Queens L 85-91 28%    
  Thu, Jan 15 244 @North Alabama L 74-85 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 282 @Central Arkansas L 77-86 20%    
  Thu, Jan 22 259 Eastern Kentucky L 81-85 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 267 Bellarmine L 81-85 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 349 Stetson W 83-80 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 144 Lipscomb L 78-89 17%    
  Thu, Feb 5 316 @West Georgia L 79-86 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 211 @Queens L 82-94 13%    
  Wed, Feb 11 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 78-92 11%    
  Sat, Feb 14 317 @Jacksonville L 75-81 28%    
  Thu, Feb 19 195 Austin Peay L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 @Stetson L 80-83 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 186 Florida Gulf Coast L 81-89 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 Jacksonville L 77-78 48%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.0 1.9 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.9 5.3 0.9 0.0 16.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 5.0 8.8 6.0 1.4 0.1 22.4 11th
12th 1.2 4.5 8.3 8.7 4.6 1.1 0.1 28.5 12th
Total 1.2 4.5 9.4 14.1 16.6 16.2 13.9 10.0 6.5 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 29.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.9% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
9-9 4.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.0
8-10 6.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
7-11 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 13.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-14 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-15 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.1
2-16 9.4% 9.4
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%