Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#130
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#32
Pace69.7#177
Improvement+1.7#67

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#115
First Shot+1.6#137
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#146
Layup/Dunks+2.1#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#89
Freethrows-3.5#337
Improvement+2.7#19

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#165
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#86
Layups/Dunks-4.3#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#114
Freethrows+0.6#145
Improvement-0.9#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 20.5% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 12.9
.500 or above 99.1% 99.8% 98.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 88.2% 81.6%
Conference Champion 20.7% 23.1% 17.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.5% 2.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round18.4% 20.5% 15.2%
Second Round1.7% 2.0% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 35 - 6
Quad 414 - 219 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 332 @New Haven W 71-53 81%     1 - 0 +10.7 +1.8 +10.1
  Mon, Nov 10 6 @Connecticut L 62-89 3%     1 - 1 -3.3 +4.0 -8.6
  Thu, Nov 13 317 Umass Lowell W 86-72 90%     2 - 1 +2.3 +7.7 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 18 253 Boston University W 54-49 83%     3 - 1 -3.1 -17.2 +14.9
  Fri, Nov 21 307 @Lehigh W 82-67 75%     4 - 1 +9.9 +8.8 +1.4
  Sun, Nov 23 287 Longwood W 95-70 87%     5 - 1 +14.9 +13.8 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 290 @Fairfield W 106-77 73%     6 - 1 +24.8 +29.7 -5.4
  Wed, Dec 3 139 Hofstra W 72-70 63%     7 - 1 +0.6 +5.1 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 6 330 Albany W 93-65 91%     8 - 1 +14.9 +14.8 +0.5
  Tue, Dec 9 221 @Stony Brook W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Dec 21 76 @California L 71-80 21%    
  Sun, Dec 28 344 @North Florida W 87-76 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 150 @Cornell L 84-85 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 Harvard W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 226 @Brown W 70-67 61%    
  Mon, Jan 19 73 @Yale L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 268 @Dartmouth W 80-75 66%    
  Fri, Jan 30 248 Penn W 83-73 82%    
  Sat, Jan 31 250 Princeton W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Feb 7 150 Cornell W 87-82 67%    
  Fri, Feb 13 248 @Penn W 80-76 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 250 @Princeton W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 268 Dartmouth W 83-72 83%    
  Fri, Feb 27 226 Brown W 73-64 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 73 Yale L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Mar 7 202 @Harvard W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 19 - 7 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.6 6.1 2.9 0.6 20.7 1st
2nd 0.3 3.6 10.7 11.7 6.2 1.3 33.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.4 8.7 6.2 1.6 0.1 20.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 5.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 7.5 11.3 15.6 17.9 16.9 12.8 7.4 2.9 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 2.9    2.7 0.3
12-2 82.5% 6.1    4.4 1.7 0.0
11-3 51.2% 6.6    3.3 3.0 0.2
10-4 21.5% 3.6    1.1 1.8 0.7 0.0
9-5 4.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 20.7% 20.7 12.2 7.2 1.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 56.1% 54.0% 2.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4.6%
13-1 2.9% 44.1% 43.4% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 1.2%
12-2 7.4% 35.9% 35.9% 12.2 0.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 4.8
11-3 12.8% 28.3% 28.3% 12.5 0.1 1.9 1.5 0.2 9.2
10-4 16.9% 24.4% 24.4% 12.7 0.0 1.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 12.8
9-5 17.9% 19.5% 19.5% 13.0 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 14.4
8-6 15.6% 13.9% 13.9% 13.3 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.0 13.4
7-7 11.3% 5.7% 5.7% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 10.7
6-8 7.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-9 4.2% 4.2
4-10 1.8% 1.8
3-11 0.7% 0.7
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 7.1 7.6 2.6 0.2 81.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.8 7.1 3.6 21.4 25.0 35.7 7.1