Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#203
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#172
Pace70.4#129
Improvement-3.1#320

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#118
First Shot+3.3#87
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#64
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement-1.0#247

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#298
First Shot-4.9#322
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#131
Layups/Dunks-0.6#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#357
Freethrows+3.2#16
Improvement-2.1#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.8% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 13.8
.500 or above 87.2% 94.6% 78.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 44.3% 17.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 20.1% 9.4% 32.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 4.8% 1.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 315 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 315   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 65%     1 - 0 -3.0 -1.8 -1.4
  Nov 06, 2024 44   @ Villanova W 90-80 8%     2 - 0 +24.0 +24.0 +0.4
  Nov 09, 2024 323   Delaware St. W 83-62 83%     3 - 0 +8.9 -1.3 +8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 298   Lehigh W 76-75 79%     4 - 0 -9.4 +7.5 -16.8
  Nov 16, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 77-63 92%     5 - 0 -3.4 +4.3 -6.2
  Nov 20, 2024 313   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 65%     6 - 0 +2.1 +7.8 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 82-63 82%     7 - 0 +7.1 +5.4 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2024 351   New Hampshire W 83-57 89%     8 - 0 +10.3 +4.7 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 258   @ Albany L 73-88 53%     8 - 1 -17.8 -6.0 -11.1
  Dec 28, 2024 318   Fairfield W 85-72 82%     9 - 1 +1.3 +11.9 -9.5
  Dec 30, 2024 67   @ Rutgers L 64-91 12%     9 - 2 -16.0 -5.9 -9.3
  Jan 11, 2025 143   Cornell L 83-94 47%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -12.4 +7.6 -20.3
  Jan 18, 2025 87   Yale L 88-92 29%     9 - 4 0 - 2 -0.3 +7.5 -7.4
  Jan 20, 2025 127   @ Princeton L 67-71 25%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +1.0 -1.8 +2.7
  Jan 25, 2025 267   @ Penn W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 31, 2025 235   Harvard W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 82-75 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 207   Brown W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 14, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth W 79-77 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 235   @ Harvard L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 21, 2025 207   @ Brown L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 87   @ Yale L 73-84 15%    
  Feb 28, 2025 127   Princeton L 76-78 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 267   Penn W 79-72 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 143   @ Cornell L 82-88 27%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.5 5.5 2.3 0.2 11.9 3rd
4th 0.6 6.7 9.7 3.2 0.2 20.4 4th
5th 0.4 7.1 11.2 2.6 0.1 21.3 5th
6th 0.3 5.1 9.8 2.5 0.1 17.7 6th
7th 0.3 3.5 7.6 2.5 0.0 13.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 3.1 4.6 1.7 0.1 10.6 8th
Total 0.2 0.8 3.4 8.4 14.8 20.1 20.8 15.9 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 64.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-4 17.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 1.3% 19.7% 19.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
9-5 4.4% 18.5% 18.5% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.6
8-6 9.8% 11.8% 11.8% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 8.7
7-7 15.9% 6.6% 6.6% 14.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 14.9
6-8 20.8% 0.5% 0.5% 14.4 0.1 0.0 20.7
5-9 20.1% 20.1
4-10 14.8% 14.8
3-11 8.4% 8.4
2-12 3.4% 3.4
1-13 0.8% 0.8
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 0.5 96.6 0.0%