Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#275
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#253
Pace73.4#54
Improvement-9.4#363

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#173
First Shot+1.4#125
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#270
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#80
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-5.1#355

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#343
First Shot-6.6#348
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#148
Layups/Dunks-1.4#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#360
Freethrows+3.1#17
Improvement-4.3#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 6.2% 33.9% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.2% 87.5% 98.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 30 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 611 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 54%     1 - 0 -4.4 -1.7 -3.0
  Nov 06, 2024 43   @ Villanova W 90-80 4%     2 - 0 +24.3 +25.2 -0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 303   Delaware St. W 83-62 66%     3 - 0 +10.4 -0.1 +9.1
  Nov 12, 2024 279   Lehigh W 76-75 61%     4 - 0 -8.1 +9.0 -17.0
  Nov 16, 2024 350   Mercyhurst W 77-63 81%     5 - 0 -1.4 +4.8 -4.7
  Nov 20, 2024 323   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 52%     6 - 0 +1.1 +8.7 -7.6
  Nov 23, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 82-63 71%     7 - 0 +7.1 +4.1 +3.6
  Nov 25, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 83-57 83%     8 - 0 +9.7 +2.5 +7.0
  Dec 04, 2024 267   @ Albany L 73-88 37%     8 - 1 -18.0 -5.2 -12.1
  Dec 28, 2024 328   Fairfield W 85-72 73%     9 - 1 +0.2 +12.6 -11.3
  Dec 30, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 64-91 6%     9 - 2 -16.1 -6.2 -9.0
  Jan 11, 2025 164   Cornell L 83-94 36%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -13.7 +7.7 -21.8
  Jan 18, 2025 70   Yale L 88-92 14%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +1.5 +7.4 -5.5
  Jan 20, 2025 162   @ Princeton L 67-71 20%     9 - 5 0 - 3 -1.5 -2.0 +0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 260   @ Penn L 78-93 37%     9 - 6 0 - 4 -17.8 -1.2 -16.0
  Jan 31, 2025 251   Harvard L 82-90 55%     9 - 7 0 - 5 -15.6 -3.7 -11.0
  Feb 01, 2025 206   Dartmouth L 89-95 45%     9 - 8 0 - 6 -11.0 +5.9 -16.3
  Feb 08, 2025 185   Brown W 74-72 41%     10 - 8 1 - 6 -2.0 -2.0 +0.0
  Feb 14, 2025 206   @ Dartmouth L 56-78 27%     10 - 9 1 - 7 -21.9 -11.5 -11.6
  Feb 15, 2025 251   @ Harvard L 75-87 35%     10 - 10 1 - 8 -14.5 +3.7 -18.6
  Feb 21, 2025 185   @ Brown L 61-86 24%     10 - 11 1 - 9 -23.9 -12.2 -11.2
  Feb 22, 2025 70   @ Yale L 73-90 5%    
  Feb 28, 2025 162   Princeton L 75-79 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 260   Penn W 80-78 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 164   @ Cornell L 82-91 19%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.5 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 6.4 4.1 0.2 10.7 7th
8th 22.0 43.1 22.3 1.3 88.7 8th
Total 22.0 43.1 28.6 5.9 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 0.3% 0.3
4-10 5.9% 5.9
3-11 28.6% 28.6
2-12 43.1% 43.1
1-13 22.0% 22.0
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3%
Lose Out 22.0%