IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#258
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.0	#230

Pace	70.0	#163
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.5	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.6	#187

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.7%	8.4%	5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.4

.500 or above	41.9%	57.6%	32.5%
.500 or above in Conference	58.4%	67.6%	52.8%
Conference Champion	6.9%	9.7%	5.3%
Last Place in Conference	5.0%	2.6%	6.4%

First Four	1.8%	1.7%	1.9%
First Round	5.8%	7.6%	4.7%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 37.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 8	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	116	@ Rhode Island	L	58-96	15%	0 - 1			-31.8	-17.5	-11.5
Nov 09, 2024	105	@ Georgetown	L	57-69	12%	0 - 2			-4.3	-12.8	+8.3
Nov 12, 2024	326	@ New Hampshire	W	62-56	55%	1 - 2			-0.4	-7.9	+7.9
Nov 19, 2024	137	Drexel	L	64-67	37%
Nov 23, 2024	110	Yale	L	67-76	20%
Nov 24, 2024	139	Vermont	L	61-67	29%
Dec 01, 2024	348	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-74	65%
Dec 04, 2024	227	Rider	W	71-70	54%
Dec 08, 2024	256	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	69-72	39%
Dec 18, 2024	235	Central Connecticut St.	W	68-67	55%
Dec 21, 2024	285	@ Monmouth	L	71-73	44%
Dec 28, 2024	182	@ Columbia	L	71-78	27%
Jan 03, 2025	206	@ Merrimack	L	62-68	31%
Jan 10, 2025	221	Iona	W	70-69	53%
Jan 12, 2025	226	@ Marist	L	64-69	33%
Jan 16, 2025	320	Niagara	W	73-66	72%
Jan 18, 2025	318	Canisius	W	73-66	72%
Jan 23, 2025	334	@ Manhattan	W	71-69	57%
Jan 25, 2025	206	Merrimack	W	65-64	52%
Jan 31, 2025	247	@ Quinnipiac	L	72-76	37%
Feb 02, 2025	221	@ Iona	L	67-72	33%
Feb 06, 2025	226	Marist	W	67-66	54%
Feb 08, 2025	335	Sacred Heart	W	79-71	76%
Feb 14, 2025	187	@ St. Peter's	L	60-67	28%
Feb 16, 2025	334	Manhattan	W	74-66	75%
Feb 21, 2025	227	@ Rider	L	68-73	34%
Feb 28, 2025	256	Mount St. Mary's	W	72-69	59%
Mar 02, 2025	335	@ Sacred Heart	W	76-74	58%
Mar 06, 2025	308	@ Siena	L	67-68	48%
Mar 08, 2025	247	Quinnipiac	W	75-73	56%
Projected Record						14 - 16	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.9	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0		6.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.6	2.9	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0				8.2	2nd
3rd												0.2	2.1	3.5	2.3	0.6	0.1						8.9	3rd
4th											0.2	1.7	4.1	2.6	0.5	0.1	0.0						9.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.4	4.3	3.1	0.6	0.0								9.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.0	1.0	4.4	3.4	0.7	0.0									9.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.6	3.5	4.1	1.1	0.0										9.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.5	4.2	1.6	0.1	0.0										9.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	2.0	4.0	1.8	0.2												8.3	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.3	1.8	0.3	0.0												7.5	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.3	2.5	1.6	0.3	0.0													6.0	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.3	1.2	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0														4.8	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0															2.8	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.3	3.8	5.8	7.8	9.2	10.9	11.9	11.0	10.3	8.6	6.7	4.7	2.9	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	97.8%	0.6		0.6	0.0
17-3	88.3%	1.3		1.0	0.2	0.0
16-4	65.3%	1.9		1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0
15-5	37.4%	1.7		0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0
14-6	13.8%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.9%	6.9		4.0	2.1	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
19-1	0.2%		46.2%	46.2%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
18-2	0.6%		32.3%	32.3%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4
17-3	1.5%		32.5%	32.5%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.0
16-4	2.9%		24.3%	24.3%		14.7														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	2.2
15-5	4.7%		20.6%	20.6%		15.0														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	3.7
14-6	6.7%		15.5%	15.5%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	5.6
13-7	8.6%		11.6%	11.6%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	7.6
12-8	10.3%		7.7%	7.7%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.6	9.5
11-9	11.0%		6.1%	6.1%		15.9																0.1	0.6	10.3
10-10	11.9%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9																0.0	0.3	11.6
9-11	10.9%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	10.7
8-12	9.2%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	9.1
7-13	7.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
6-14	5.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
5-15	3.8%																							3.8
4-16	2.3%																							2.3
3-17	1.2%																							1.2
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	2.1	3.3	93.3		0.0%