IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#226
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.7	#186

Pace	62.9	#340
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#258

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#185

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.0%	13.1%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.7	15.2

.500 or above	76.7%	81.9%	59.5%
.500 or above in Conference	72.4%	75.8%	60.7%
Conference Champion	15.3%	17.1%	9.1%
Last Place in Conference	2.8%	2.2%	4.8%

First Four	1.7%	1.6%	2.1%
First Round	11.2%	12.4%	7.0%
Second Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 77.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 4
Quad 4	16 - 8	18 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	236	@ Harvard	L	66-79	39%	0 - 1			-13.4	-1.6	-12.7
Nov 09, 2024	184	@ Richmond	W	79-72	32%	1 - 1			+8.8	+11.7	-2.7
Nov 15, 2024	313	Army	W	64-56	77%
Nov 19, 2024	329	Dartmouth	W	69-60	81%
Nov 23, 2024	326	New Hampshire	W	73-64	80%
Nov 30, 2024	260	@ Lehigh	L	70-71	46%
Dec 06, 2024	256	Mount St. Mary's	W	70-65	66%
Dec 08, 2024	334	@ Manhattan	W	69-65	64%
Dec 17, 2024	287	@ Stony Brook	W	68-67	51%
Dec 21, 2024	302	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	78-71	72%
Dec 29, 2024	330	Binghamton	W	71-62	80%
Jan 03, 2025	221	@ Iona	L	65-68	39%
Jan 05, 2025	247	Quinnipiac	W	72-68	63%
Jan 12, 2025	258	Fairfield	W	69-64	67%
Jan 16, 2025	187	@ St. Peter's	L	59-64	33%
Jan 18, 2025	227	Rider	W	69-66	60%
Jan 23, 2025	320	@ Niagara	W	69-66	59%
Jan 25, 2025	318	@ Canisius	W	68-66	58%
Jan 31, 2025	308	Siena	W	69-62	74%
Feb 06, 2025	258	@ Fairfield	L	66-67	46%
Feb 08, 2025	221	Iona	W	68-65	59%
Feb 14, 2025	308	@ Siena	W	66-65	55%
Feb 16, 2025	206	@ Merrimack	L	60-64	37%
Feb 21, 2025	318	Canisius	W	71-63	77%
Feb 23, 2025	320	Niagara	W	72-63	77%
Feb 28, 2025	335	@ Sacred Heart	W	74-70	64%
Mar 02, 2025	187	St. Peter's	W	62-61	53%
Mar 06, 2025	206	Merrimack	W	63-61	57%
Mar 08, 2025	256	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	67-68	46%
Projected Record						17 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.5	3.0	4.0	3.4	1.9	0.9	0.2		15.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.1	4.1	3.6	1.8	0.5	0.1				12.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	2.2	4.5	3.2	1.1	0.1	0.0					11.5	3rd
4th											0.2	1.8	4.3	3.3	0.7	0.0	0.0						10.4	4th
5th										0.1	1.2	3.9	3.1	0.7	0.0	0.0							9.2	5th
6th									0.0	0.8	3.5	3.3	0.9	0.1									8.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.8	3.5	1.0	0.1										7.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	1.8	3.2	1.2	0.1											6.6	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.3	2.9	1.4	0.1												5.9	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	1.4	0.2													4.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.1	0.2	0.0													3.7	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0														2.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0														1.5	13th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.1	3.4	4.8	6.8	8.4	9.7	10.4	11.0	10.9	9.7	7.7	6.0	3.8	2.0	0.9	0.2			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
18-2	97.3%	1.9		1.8	0.1
17-3	87.9%	3.4		2.8	0.6	0.0
16-4	67.4%	4.0		2.6	1.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	38.7%	3.0		1.2	1.3	0.5	0.1
14-6	15.6%	1.5		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	15.3%	15.3		9.8	3.9	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		45.8%	45.8%		11.2						0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
19-1	0.9%		42.9%	42.9%		12.7												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
18-2	2.0%		44.6%	44.6%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.1
17-3	3.8%		35.8%	35.8%		13.8													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	2.5
16-4	6.0%		28.2%	28.2%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	4.3
15-5	7.7%		22.7%	22.7%		14.8														0.1	0.5	0.9	0.3	6.0
14-6	9.7%		18.5%	18.5%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.9	0.6	7.9
13-7	10.9%		14.7%	14.7%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	9.3
12-8	11.0%		10.0%	10.0%		15.7															0.0	0.3	0.8	9.9
11-9	10.4%		5.5%	5.5%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	9.9
10-10	9.7%		3.9%	3.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.3
9-11	8.4%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9																0.0	0.2	8.3
8-12	6.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.7
7-13	4.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
6-14	3.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
5-15	2.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
4-16	1.1%																							1.1
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.0%	12.0%	0.0%	14.8						0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	1.2	2.7	3.8	3.8	88.0		0.0%