Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#184
Expected Predictive Rating-16.1#348
Pace66.9#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#141
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 18.2% 26.6% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 25.5% 15.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 21.2% 32.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 76 - 16
Quad 45 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 226   Marist L 72-79 68%     0 - 1 -13.2 +0.0 -13.4
  Nov 13, 2024 133   @ Charlotte L 48-65 28%     0 - 2 -12.3 -19.6 +5.8
  Nov 16, 2024 242   @ Bucknell L 68-69 49%    
  Nov 20, 2024 243   Maine W 69-63 71%    
  Nov 26, 2024 92   Louisiana Tech L 64-71 26%    
  Nov 27, 2024 224   Ball St. W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 08, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 61-85 2%    
  Dec 14, 2024 151   Belmont W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 18, 2024 244   @ William & Mary L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 357   VMI W 83-67 92%    
  Dec 28, 2024 239   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-62 69%    
  Dec 31, 2024 153   George Washington W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 109   @ Massachusetts L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 08, 2025 95   @ George Mason L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 116   Rhode Island L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 15, 2025 113   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 102   Saint Louis L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 130   Davidson L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 153   @ George Washington L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-74 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 157   Duquesne W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 11, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 159   Fordham W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 19, 2025 127   @ La Salle L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 25, 2025 54   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-71 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 58   @ Dayton L 61-74 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 95   George Mason L 66-70 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.8 0.9 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.4 2.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.1 2.0 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.8 1.4 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.6 2.5 0.2 11.9 13th
14th 0.1 1.2 3.7 5.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.5 14th
15th 1.0 3.1 5.1 5.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 17.8 15th
Total 1.0 3.1 6.3 9.7 12.0 13.4 12.9 11.7 9.5 7.4 5.3 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 50.0% 35.7% 14.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.2%
15-3 0.2% 14.8% 14.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 13.2% 13.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.1% 11.6% 11.3% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.4%
12-6 2.1% 5.8% 5.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0
11-7 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.5
10-8 5.3% 1.6% 1.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
9-9 7.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
8-10 9.5% 0.8% 0.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-11 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-15 9.7% 9.7
2-16 6.3% 6.3
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.2 0.0%