IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Ball St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#224
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.0	#317

Pace	66.5	#263
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#210

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#229

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.7%	7.1%	3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	15.0

.500 or above	48.7%	59.2%	33.5%
.500 or above in Conference	56.9%	63.1%	47.8%
Conference Champion	6.1%	7.7%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	4.0%	7.9%

First Four	0.6%	0.5%	0.7%
First Round	5.5%	6.9%	3.4%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	223	@ Georgia St.	L	66-71	38%	0 - 1			-5.2	-4.9	-0.4
Nov 13, 2024	58	@ Dayton	L	69-77	9%	0 - 2			+3.8	+2.1	+1.8
Nov 16, 2024	207	Indiana St.	W	75-73	59%
Nov 20, 2024	341	Detroit Mercy	W	76-65	84%
Nov 25, 2024	225	Eastern Kentucky	W	74-73	50%
Nov 27, 2024	184	Richmond	L	67-69	43%
Dec 08, 2024	293	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	69-68	53%
Dec 14, 2024	328	@ Bellarmine	W	70-67	62%
Dec 21, 2024	248	Evansville	W	73-69	64%
Jan 04, 2025	122	@ Kent St.	L	64-73	21%
Jan 07, 2025	213	Miami (OH)	W	71-68	59%
Jan 11, 2025	270	Bowling Green	W	75-69	69%
Jan 14, 2025	158	@ Ohio	L	70-77	28%
Jan 18, 2025	149	Toledo	L	75-76	46%
Jan 21, 2025	201	@ Central Michigan	L	66-70	37%
Jan 25, 2025	294	@ Northern Illinois	W	71-70	53%
Jan 28, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	75-67	75%
Feb 01, 2025	315	@ Buffalo	W	75-73	58%
Feb 04, 2025	135	@ Akron	L	66-74	26%
Feb 11, 2025	298	Eastern Michigan	W	70-63	71%
Feb 15, 2025	294	Northern Illinois	W	74-67	72%
Feb 18, 2025	149	@ Toledo	L	72-79	27%
Feb 22, 2025	315	Buffalo	W	78-70	76%
Feb 25, 2025	135	Akron	L	69-71	44%
Mar 01, 2025	270	@ Bowling Green	L	72-73	48%
Mar 04, 2025	201	Central Michigan	W	69-67	57%
Mar 07, 2025	213	@ Miami (OH)	L	68-71	39%
Projected Record						13 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	1.8	1.6	1.0	0.3	0.1		6.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.1	3.1	1.9	0.5	0.1	0.0			8.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	2.8	4.0	2.0	0.3	0.0					9.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	3.2	4.7	2.0	0.2	0.0						10.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.8	5.0	2.2	0.2								10.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.3	5.2	2.6	0.3	0.0								10.5	6th
7th							0.2	1.8	5.1	3.0	0.4	0.0									10.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.4	4.6	3.5	0.6											10.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.1	3.5	3.1	0.6	0.0											8.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.4	2.6	0.7	0.0												6.9	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	1.7	0.5	0.0													5.2	11th
12th	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0														3.1	12th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.0	3.8	5.6	8.2	10.4	11.9	12.0	11.9	10.5	8.6	6.4	3.9	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	94.7%	1.0		0.8	0.2
15-3	75.8%	1.6		1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	45.2%	1.8		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	16.4%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.4	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%									0.0			0.0	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.3%		44.7%	44.7%		12.4												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2
16-2	1.0%		32.5%	32.5%		13.0													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
15-3	2.1%		30.3%	30.3%		13.7													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.5
14-4	3.9%		19.6%	19.6%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	3.2
13-5	6.4%		14.2%	14.2%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	5.5
12-6	8.6%		10.7%	10.7%		15.0														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	7.7
11-7	10.5%		6.9%	6.9%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	9.7
10-8	11.9%		4.9%	4.9%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.3	11.3
9-9	12.0%		3.8%	3.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	11.6
8-10	11.9%		1.5%	1.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.8
7-11	10.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
6-12	8.2%																							8.2
5-13	5.6%																							5.6
4-14	3.8%																							3.8
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	1.0%																							1.0
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.7%	5.7%	0.0%	14.6				0.0			0.0	0.0				0.0	0.2	0.7	1.4	1.8	1.5	94.3		0.0%