Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#282
Pace71.6#95
Improvement-1.7#256

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#261
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#185
Layup/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#302
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement+0.0#175

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#275
First Shot-2.3#249
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#288
Layups/Dunks-2.4#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#231
Freethrows+1.8#66
Improvement-1.7#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 2.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 18.4% 32.1% 10.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 1.5%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 38.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 13
Quad 410 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 250   Ball St. W 71-66 53%     1 - 0 -2.8 -5.1 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 2%     1 - 1 -17.1 -3.6 -11.3
  Nov 13, 2024 162   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 18%     1 - 2 -2.0 -9.2 +7.4
  Nov 22, 2024 306   NC Central W 93-79 64%     2 - 2 +3.3 +20.3 -16.0
  Nov 26, 2024 298   Austin Peay L 50-62 53%     2 - 3 -19.7 -17.6 -3.7
  Nov 27, 2024 251   Tulsa W 74-71 43%     3 - 3 -2.0 +0.1 -2.1
  Nov 29, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -9.7 -0.5 -5.9
  Dec 06, 2024 183   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 38%     3 - 5 -7.7 -2.3 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 224   Charlotte L 63-77 48%     3 - 6 -20.4 -14.9 -5.2
  Dec 17, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 59-100 1%     3 - 7 -15.2 -8.1 -4.6
  Dec 21, 2024 117   @ Troy L 57-77 13%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -14.5 -9.0 -6.7
  Dec 28, 2024 233   Mercer L 68-71 49%     3 - 9 -9.8 -7.5 -2.2
  Jan 02, 2025 126   South Alabama L 51-77 26%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -26.4 -13.7 -16.1
  Jan 04, 2025 307   Louisiana W 94-70 65%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +13.1 +12.8 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2025 272   Georgia Southern W 82-78 OT 58%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -5.0 -6.5 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2025 292   Coastal Carolina W 79-74 63%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -5.3 +4.8 -9.8
  Jan 15, 2025 167   @ Texas St. L 80-94 19%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -11.5 +5.9 -17.4
  Jan 18, 2025 100   @ Arkansas St. L 59-85 9%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -18.5 -11.8 -5.9
  Jan 23, 2025 179   Marshall L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 149   James Madison L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 179   @ Marshall L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 123   @ Appalachian St. L 61-73 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 347   Louisiana Monroe W 76-68 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 329   @ Buffalo W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 13, 2025 283   Old Dominion W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 123   Appalachian St. L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 149   @ James Madison L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 283   @ Old Dominion L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 292   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 28, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern L 75-78 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.0 0.2 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.4 1.2 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 7.5 4.1 0.2 13.5 8th
9th 0.8 7.0 7.4 0.9 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.3 5.2 9.9 2.0 0.0 17.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.9 9.6 3.9 0.1 17.6 11th
12th 0.2 2.5 7.2 4.4 0.5 14.8 12th
13th 0.7 2.3 2.2 0.3 5.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 1.0 5.1 13.5 20.2 23.0 18.8 11.4 4.8 1.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 4.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-9 11.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.4
8-10 18.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.7
7-11 23.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 23.0
6-12 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.2
5-13 13.5% 13.5
4-14 5.1% 5.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%