Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#274
Pace72.0#96
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#250
First Shot-1.7#221
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#259
Layup/Dunks-3.4#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#291
Freethrows+1.6#86
Improvement-1.0#270

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#245
First Shot-1.9#231
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#208
Layups/Dunks-1.6#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement-0.1#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.0 15.1
.500 or above 13.9% 35.0% 13.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.3% 57.5% 37.2%
Conference Champion 1.2% 3.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.8% 7.9%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round1.1% 2.5% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 285   Ball St. W 71-66 67%     1 - 0 -4.7 -5.2 +0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 4%     1 - 1 -19.1 -4.5 -12.4
  Nov 13, 2024 173   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 24%     1 - 2 -2.8 -8.8 +6.2
  Nov 22, 2024 258   NC Central W 93-79 63%     2 - 2 +5.5 +21.4 -14.9
  Nov 26, 2024 261   Austin Peay L 50-62 51%     2 - 3 -17.5 -16.4 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2024 247   Tulsa W 74-71 48%     3 - 3 -1.8 -1.0 -0.8
  Nov 29, 2024 11   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -8.6 +1.7 -7.1
  Dec 06, 2024 154   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 40%     3 - 5 -6.7 -2.0 -4.5
  Dec 14, 2024 170   Charlotte L 63-77 44%     3 - 6 -17.6 -14.1 -3.2
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 63-94 0.2%   
  Dec 21, 2024 127   Troy L 71-75 34%    
  Dec 28, 2024 229   Mercer W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 201   South Alabama L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 304   Louisiana W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 08, 2025 235   Georgia Southern W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 15, 2025 138   @ Texas St. L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 111   @ Arkansas St. L 68-80 14%    
  Jan 23, 2025 186   Marshall L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 112   James Madison L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 186   @ Marshall L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 171   @ Appalachian St. L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 326   Louisiana Monroe W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 318   Old Dominion W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 171   Appalachian St. L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 20, 2025 112   @ James Madison L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 318   @ Old Dominion W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 26, 2025 274   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 28, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 75-79 35%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 5.1 1.5 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.5 4.5 0.6 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.1 0.2 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.3 9.7 12.6 14.7 14.6 12.9 9.9 6.9 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 78.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 45.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 9.3% 9.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.1% 8.4% 8.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-6 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 6.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.6
10-8 9.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 9.8
9-9 12.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.8
8-10 14.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.5
7-11 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.6
6-12 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.6
5-13 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-14 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 98.7 0.0%