Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#312
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#320
Pace61.0#347
Improvement-3.5#317

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#275
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#250
Layup/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#212
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#323
First Shot-6.3#345
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#95
Layups/Dunks+5.2#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows-5.0#363
Improvement-3.6#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.7% 36.2% 81.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 91 - 12
Quad 47 - 109 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 302   Western Michigan W 60-56 56%     1 - 0 -6.4 -11.6 +5.5
  Nov 09, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 59-63 13%     1 - 1 -0.8 -1.7 +0.2
  Nov 13, 2024 103   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 8%     1 - 2 -5.2 +0.7 -5.8
  Nov 17, 2024 124   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 21%     1 - 3 -18.5 -9.7 -12.4
  Nov 22, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 54%     2 - 3 +4.0 -0.5 +6.7
  Nov 23, 2024 359   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 62%     2 - 4 -19.1 -5.8 -13.5
  Nov 30, 2024 345   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 71%     3 - 4 +7.1 -5.2 +13.2
  Dec 04, 2024 183   @ Campbell W 58-57 17%     4 - 4 +2.3 -5.2 +7.7
  Dec 07, 2024 196   @ Winthrop L 89-96 18%     4 - 5 -6.5 +14.5 -21.0
  Dec 17, 2024 316   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 41%     5 - 5 -1.6 -0.1 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2024 97   @ Arkansas St. L 67-97 7%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -22.5 +2.6 -26.6
  Jan 02, 2025 289   Louisiana L 68-71 52%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -12.6 -1.6 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2025 336   Louisiana Monroe W 70-51 69%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +5.0 -0.8 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2025 141   @ Appalachian St. L 51-74 12%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -19.3 -5.5 -18.8
  Jan 11, 2025 252   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 27%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -7.5 +2.3 -10.2
  Jan 16, 2025 248   Georgia Southern L 87-88 OT 44%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -8.4 +4.3 -12.6
  Jan 18, 2025 190   Marshall L 64-77 32%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -17.2 -5.3 -13.1
  Jan 23, 2025 248   @ Georgia Southern L 58-85 26%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -29.3 -16.5 -12.5
  Jan 25, 2025 286   @ Old Dominion L 52-74 33%     6 - 13 1 - 8 -26.4 -18.2 -10.5
  Jan 30, 2025 138   @ James Madison L 64-73 12%     6 - 14 1 - 9 -5.2 +3.3 -10.2
  Feb 01, 2025 190   @ Marshall L 62-67 18%     6 - 15 1 - 10 -4.1 -0.7 -4.2
  Feb 05, 2025 133   South Alabama L 59-84 22%     6 - 16 1 - 11 -26.0 +1.3 -33.0
  Feb 08, 2025 301   @ Bowling Green L 53-67 36%     6 - 17 -19.3 -21.3 +1.8
  Feb 13, 2025 141   Appalachian St. L 46-64 23%     6 - 18 1 - 12 -19.4 -14.2 -9.0
  Feb 15, 2025 138   James Madison L 73-74 23%     6 - 19 1 - 13 -2.3 +6.9 -9.3
  Feb 20, 2025 280   @ Southern Miss W 87-78 31%     7 - 19 2 - 13 +4.9 +5.7 -1.6
  Feb 22, 2025 118   @ Troy L 59-73 8%    
  Feb 26, 2025 252   Georgia St. L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 286   Old Dominion W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 0.4 0.4 12th
13th 33.3 26.6 1.8 61.8 13th
14th 23.4 13.7 0.8 37.8 14th
Total 23.4 47.0 27.3 2.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 27.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.3
3-15 47.0% 47.0
2-16 23.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.0%