Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#276
Pace62.0#344
Improvement-0.2#203

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#270
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#194
Layup/Dunks-2.1#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
Freethrows-1.2#254
Improvement+1.4#75

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#257
First Shot-4.1#308
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#73
Layups/Dunks+5.0#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#52
Freethrows-5.5#363
Improvement-1.6#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 21.8% 30.9% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 36.7% 26.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 8.4% 12.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 411 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 295   Western Michigan W 60-56 65%     1 - 0 -6.0 -12.3 +6.8
  Nov 09, 2024 164   @ East Carolina L 59-63 21%     1 - 1 -1.5 -1.1 -1.2
  Nov 13, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 8%     1 - 2 -1.9 +1.6 -3.4
  Nov 17, 2024 173   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 42%     1 - 3 -21.8 -12.0 -13.5
  Nov 22, 2024 353   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 75%     2 - 3 +1.2 +1.2 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 71%     2 - 4 -18.7 -6.7 -12.2
  Nov 30, 2024 334   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 76%     3 - 4 +8.6 -3.6 +13.1
  Dec 04, 2024 269   @ Campbell W 58-57 38%     4 - 4 -1.8 -8.3 +6.6
  Dec 07, 2024 181   @ Winthrop L 89-96 22%     4 - 5 -5.0 +16.4 -21.4
  Dec 17, 2024 313   @ N.C. A&T L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 111   @ Arkansas St. L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 304   Louisiana W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 04, 2025 326   Louisiana Monroe W 69-63 72%    
  Jan 08, 2025 171   @ Appalachian St. L 59-67 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 253   @ Georgia St. L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 16, 2025 235   Georgia Southern W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 186   Marshall L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 22, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 318   @ Old Dominion L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 30, 2025 112   @ James Madison L 63-76 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 186   @ Marshall L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 05, 2025 201   South Alabama L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 13, 2025 171   Appalachian St. L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 112   James Madison L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 20, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 127   @ Troy L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 26, 2025 253   Georgia St. W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 28, 2025 318   Old Dominion W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 4.8 1.3 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.4 2.7 0.2 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 5.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.5 5.4 1.0 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.5 2.0 0.1 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.2 7.6 11.0 14.0 15.2 13.9 11.9 8.4 5.6 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 80.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 8.8% 8.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.4% 7.8% 7.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.0
11-7 5.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.5
10-8 8.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.3
9-9 11.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
8-10 13.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.8
7-11 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.2
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
4-14 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 99.1 0.0%