South Alabama
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#198
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#243
Pace69.7#171
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#227
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#182
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.0% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 54.8% 62.7% 37.5%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 55.5% 40.7%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.1% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 4.9% 9.2%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.3% 4.9% 2.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 411 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 201   Central Michigan L 70-74 62%     0 - 1 -9.3 -1.1 -8.3
  Nov 08, 2024 212   @ Nicholls St. W 70-64 41%     1 - 1 +6.2 +2.6 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2024 61   @ Mississippi L 54-64 10%     1 - 2 +1.7 -9.2 +10.1
  Nov 16, 2024 249   Mercer W 74-69 69%    
  Nov 25, 2024 327   Incarnate Word W 82-72 83%    
  Nov 26, 2024 312   Western Illinois W 72-63 79%    
  Nov 29, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 77-63 90%    
  Dec 08, 2024 210   Jacksonville St. W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 15, 2024 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 76%    
  Dec 16, 2024 53   @ TCU L 66-81 9%    
  Dec 21, 2024 126   James Madison L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 02, 2025 223   @ Georgia St. L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 197   @ Georgia Southern L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 09, 2025 115   Arkansas St. L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 289   Old Dominion W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 15, 2025 231   Southern Miss W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 121   Troy L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 319   @ Louisiana Monroe W 71-67 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 121   @ Troy L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 30, 2025 319   Louisiana Monroe W 74-64 79%    
  Feb 01, 2025 188   @ Louisiana L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 268   @ Coastal Carolina W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 200   Marshall W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   Texas St. L 67-68 50%    
  Feb 19, 2025 115   @ Arkansas St. L 69-78 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 146   @ Texas St. L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 231   @ Southern Miss L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 28, 2025 188   Louisiana W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.8 1.6 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.9 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.1 1.1 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.7 7.0 9.5 11.1 12.7 12.5 11.3 9.5 7.2 5.1 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 94.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 77.3% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 46.1% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.9% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 30.0% 30.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 26.6% 26.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.5% 26.8% 26.8% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.0% 20.7% 20.7% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3
13-5 5.1% 12.9% 12.9% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.5
12-6 7.2% 11.2% 11.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.4
11-7 9.5% 7.3% 7.3% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 8.8
10-8 11.3% 3.8% 3.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.9
9-9 12.5% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.3
8-10 12.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
7-11 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.5
5-13 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.5 95.7 0.0%