Incarnate Word
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#303
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#314
Pace64.8#272
Improvement-0.9#224

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#213
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#251
Layup/Dunks-4.1#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#95
Freethrows-2.9#333
Improvement-2.5#312

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#345
First Shot-6.8#352
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#332
Freethrows-3.9#359
Improvement+1.6#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 10.4% 16.6% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.1% 28.8% 9.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.9% 7.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 172   @ California Baptist L 78-83 17%     0 - 1 -2.7 +9.2 -12.2
  Nov 12, 2024 330   Prairie View W 84-81 70%     1 - 1 -10.4 +1.8 -12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-64 89%     2 - 1 +6.8 +9.9 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2024 264   @ Northern Arizona L 74-75 32%     2 - 2 -4.1 +4.4 -8.6
  Nov 25, 2024 126   @ South Alabama L 63-84 12%     2 - 3 -15.9 -1.2 -16.2
  Nov 27, 2024 336   Western Illinois W 86-75 63%     3 - 3 -0.4 +11.9 -11.7
  Dec 05, 2024 289   Northwestern St. L 70-72 58%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -12.0 +1.1 -13.4
  Dec 07, 2024 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 65-53 79%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -4.2 -7.8 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2024 1   @ Duke L 46-72 0.5%    4 - 5 +0.5 -8.1 +5.2
  Jan 04, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin W 55-49 29%     5 - 5 2 - 1 +3.8 -4.3 +9.1
  Jan 06, 2025 231   @ Lamar L 58-72 26%     5 - 6 2 - 2 -15.2 -8.3 -8.1
  Jan 11, 2025 316   @ Houston Christian L 76-81 43%     5 - 7 2 - 3 -11.1 +10.3 -22.1
  Jan 13, 2025 205   Nicholls St. L 82-88 38%     5 - 8 2 - 4 -10.9 +7.4 -18.4
  Jan 18, 2025 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-69 32%     5 - 9 2 - 5 -9.1 -14.5 +5.6
  Jan 20, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana L 67-74 24%    
  Jan 27, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 316   Houston Christian W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 03, 2025 74   @ McNeese St. L 61-79 4%    
  Feb 08, 2025 220   SE Louisiana L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 10, 2025 343   New Orleans W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 169   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-79 16%    
  Feb 17, 2025 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 24, 2025 231   Lamar L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 03, 2025 289   Northwestern St. W 70-68 58%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.1 3.5 4th
5th 0.5 3.1 2.8 0.4 6.8 5th
6th 0.5 4.2 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.2 3.6 7.1 1.9 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 8.4 3.9 0.2 15.5 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 8.5 5.4 0.6 0.0 17.2 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 8.3 5.9 0.7 0.0 18.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.8 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.9 9.1 13.8 18.0 18.5 16.3 10.6 5.5 2.4 0.6 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.1
13-7 0.6% 3.6% 3.6% 15.0 0.0 0.5
12-8 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.3
11-9 5.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.1 5.5
10-10 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
9-11 16.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.2
8-12 18.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.5
7-13 18.0% 18.0
6-14 13.8% 13.8
5-15 9.1% 9.1
4-16 3.9% 3.9
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%