New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#343
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#297
Pace73.6#62
Improvement+0.8#148

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#311
First Shot-6.9#342
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#81
Layup/Dunks+0.1#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#344
Freethrows-2.7#323
Improvement+2.2#68

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#346
First Shot-4.3#310
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#333
Layups/Dunks-0.7#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#345
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-1.4#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.5% 9.5% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 6.6% 18.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Away) - 23.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 46 - 98 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 89   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 4%     0 - 1 -14.9 -0.5 -15.4
  Nov 09, 2024 117   Troy L 61-78 14%     0 - 2 -17.0 -16.2 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2024 341   Lindenwood W 82-74 49%     1 - 2 -3.5 +2.6 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2024 312   Stonehill L 54-80 38%     1 - 3 -34.7 -23.8 -10.5
  Nov 17, 2024 216   @ Robert Morris L 62-73 14%     1 - 4 -11.4 -12.3 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 148   @ Tulane W 93-87 OT 8%     2 - 4 +9.9 +6.6 +2.3
  Nov 27, 2024 22   @ Baylor L 60-91 1%     2 - 5 -13.0 -0.4 -15.2
  Dec 07, 2024 205   @ Nicholls St. L 70-73 13%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -2.4 -1.8 -0.7
  Dec 15, 2024 50   @ Iowa L 57-104 2%     2 - 7 -33.6 -13.2 -21.2
  Dec 19, 2024 38   @ Texas L 62-98 2%     2 - 8 -21.2 -3.4 -18.0
  Dec 22, 2024 63   @ LSU L 70-86 3%     2 - 9 -4.6 -1.0 -2.6
  Dec 28, 2024 74   @ McNeese St. L 61-86 3%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -14.8 -0.6 -16.5
  Dec 30, 2024 48   @ Vanderbilt L 56-100 2%     2 - 11 -30.5 -16.7 -9.3
  Jan 04, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-76 34%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -19.5 -8.3 -12.1
  Jan 06, 2025 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 83-97 21%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -17.1 +1.4 -17.4
  Jan 11, 2025 220   SE Louisiana L 71-91 29%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -26.0 -5.4 -20.0
  Jan 13, 2025 231   @ Lamar W 68-62 16%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +4.8 +1.8 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 82-73 46%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -1.7 +1.9 -4.0
  Jan 20, 2025 289   @ Northwestern St. L 68-75 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 316   Houston Christian L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 27, 2025 303   Incarnate Word L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 01, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana L 68-79 14%    
  Feb 03, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 316   @ Houston Christian L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 10, 2025 303   @ Incarnate Word L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 65-81 6%    
  Feb 17, 2025 205   Nicholls St. L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 289   Northwestern St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 24, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-71 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-83 18%    
  Mar 03, 2025 169   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-84 9%    
Projected Record 8 - 23 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 4th
5th 0.3 0.8 0.4 1.4 5th
6th 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 4.8 1.1 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.3 3.2 7.2 3.2 0.1 14.0 9th
10th 0.4 4.7 10.7 5.4 0.4 21.6 10th
11th 0.3 3.6 10.8 13.9 7.6 1.0 0.0 37.2 11th
12th 1.2 2.9 2.8 1.0 0.1 7.9 12th
Total 1.5 6.5 14.0 19.7 21.8 16.3 11.0 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.8% 0.8
10-10 2.5% 2.5
9-11 5.7% 5.7
8-12 11.0% 11.0
7-13 16.3% 16.3
6-14 21.8% 21.8
5-15 19.7% 19.7
4-16 14.0% 14.0
3-17 6.5% 6.5
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%