New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#347
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#315
Pace76.1#36
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#355
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 2.4% 4.0% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 21.4% 11.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.5% 18.4% 29.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Neutral) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 42   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 2%     0 - 1 -10.3 +2.7 -14.1
  Nov 09, 2024 121   Troy L 61-78 13%     0 - 2 -17.0 -14.4 -1.2
  Nov 14, 2024 351   Lindenwood W 75-74 52%    
  Nov 15, 2024 359   Stonehill W 75-73 59%    
  Nov 17, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 72-80 22%    
  Nov 22, 2024 145   @ Tulane L 75-91 7%    
  Nov 27, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 61-91 0.3%   
  Dec 07, 2024 212   @ Nicholls St. L 69-81 13%    
  Dec 15, 2024 45   @ Iowa L 72-97 1%    
  Dec 19, 2024 23   @ Texas L 62-90 1%    
  Dec 22, 2024 48   @ LSU L 66-91 1%    
  Dec 28, 2024 99   @ McNeese St. L 64-84 4%    
  Dec 30, 2024 83   @ Vanderbilt L 68-90 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 269   UT Rio Grande Valley L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 06, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 276   SE Louisiana L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 13, 2025 280   @ Lamar L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 20, 2025 332   @ Northwestern St. L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 82-77 66%    
  Jan 27, 2025 327   Incarnate Word W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 276   @ SE Louisiana L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 03, 2025 171   Stephen F. Austin L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 08, 2025 358   @ Houston Christian L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 10, 2025 327   @ Incarnate Word L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 67-81 11%    
  Feb 17, 2025 212   Nicholls St. L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 332   Northwestern St. W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 24, 2025 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 269   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 21%    
  Mar 03, 2025 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 8 - 23 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.8 1.1 0.2 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.5 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.4 6.0 4.8 1.8 0.2 17.1 11th
12th 0.7 2.3 4.0 4.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 15.7 12th
Total 0.7 2.4 4.9 8.5 10.9 12.4 13.0 12.0 10.1 8.3 6.2 4.5 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 38.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 12.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.4% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 0.9% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-7 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.7
12-8 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
11-9 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
10-10 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.2
9-11 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
8-12 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 12.0% 12.0
6-14 13.0% 13.0
5-15 12.4% 12.4
4-16 10.9% 10.9
3-17 8.5% 8.5
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19 2.4% 2.4
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%