New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#353
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#336
Pace72.9#60
Improvement-0.7#220

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#327
First Shot-7.5#350
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#100
Layup/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#346
Freethrows-2.7#324
Improvement+0.5#155

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#352
First Shot-4.8#322
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#338
Layups/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#341
Freethrows+0.8#123
Improvement-1.2#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.0% 28.2% 54.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 43 - 115 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 56   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 2%     0 - 1 -10.9 +2.2 -14.1
  Nov 09, 2024 118   Troy L 61-78 11%     0 - 2 -16.8 -15.1 -0.4
  Nov 14, 2024 335   Lindenwood W 82-74 41%     1 - 2 -3.0 +3.9 -7.2
  Nov 15, 2024 324   Stonehill L 54-80 37%     1 - 3 -35.7 -25.4 -9.9
  Nov 17, 2024 173   @ Robert Morris L 62-73 9%     1 - 4 -9.0 -11.5 +2.9
  Nov 22, 2024 144   @ Tulane W 93-87 OT 7%     2 - 4 +9.6 +6.5 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2024 24   @ Baylor L 60-91 1%     2 - 5 -13.1 -1.1 -14.6
  Dec 07, 2024 192   @ Nicholls St. L 70-73 10%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -2.3 -1.4 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2024 61   @ Iowa L 57-104 2%     2 - 7 -35.2 -12.9 -23.2
  Dec 19, 2024 36   @ Texas L 62-98 1%     2 - 8 -20.7 -3.8 -17.1
  Dec 22, 2024 72   @ LSU L 70-86 2%     2 - 9 -5.6 -1.3 -3.2
  Dec 28, 2024 86   @ McNeese St. L 61-86 3%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -15.8 -2.0 -16.1
  Dec 30, 2024 53   @ Vanderbilt L 56-100 2%     2 - 11 -30.8 -17.7 -8.6
  Jan 04, 2025 262   UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-76 31%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -20.0 -8.0 -12.9
  Jan 06, 2025 199   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 83-97 21%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -18.7 +2.1 -19.7
  Jan 11, 2025 213   SE Louisiana L 71-91 22%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -25.2 -6.1 -18.5
  Jan 13, 2025 194   @ Lamar W 68-62 10%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +6.7 +2.9 +4.3
  Jan 18, 2025 339   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 82-73 34%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +0.0 +2.8 -3.1
  Jan 20, 2025 272   @ Northwestern St. L 61-73 19%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -15.8 -9.4 -6.8
  Jan 25, 2025 295   Houston Christian L 76-86 38%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -20.0 -2.1 -17.9
  Jan 27, 2025 281   Incarnate Word L 58-74 35%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -25.2 -21.5 -3.7
  Feb 01, 2025 213   @ SE Louisiana L 68-76 11%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -8.1 -8.4 +0.8
  Feb 03, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin L 85-88 OT 29%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -10.4 +7.1 -17.3
  Feb 08, 2025 295   @ Houston Christian L 68-81 21%     4 - 20 2 - 11 -17.9 +1.5 -21.2
  Feb 10, 2025 281   @ Incarnate Word L 65-75 20%     4 - 21 2 - 12 -14.1 -3.7 -11.7
  Feb 15, 2025 86   McNeese St. L 64-78 6%     4 - 22 2 - 13 -9.9 -4.0 -6.6
  Feb 17, 2025 192   Nicholls St. L 62-78 20%     4 - 23 2 - 14 -20.4 -12.7 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2025 272   Northwestern St. L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 24, 2025 339   Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-72 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 262   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-83 16%    
  Mar 03, 2025 199   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-83 9%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 10th
11th 6.1 38.0 26.5 5.9 0.3 76.8 11th
12th 17.3 5.5 0.2 23.0 12th
Total 23.4 43.5 26.7 5.9 0.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 0.5% 0.5
5-15 5.9% 5.9
4-16 26.7% 26.7
3-17 43.5% 43.5
2-18 23.4% 23.4
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5%
Lose Out 23.4%