LSU
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#48
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#139
Pace73.0#84
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#54
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 5.0% 9.0% 2.9%
Top 6 Seed 11.6% 18.9% 7.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.2% 50.8% 28.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.1% 49.5% 27.3%
Average Seed 7.6 7.2 7.9
.500 or above 74.0% 87.7% 66.5%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 47.3% 32.3%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 7.2% 13.7%
First Four3.8% 4.3% 3.5%
First Round34.3% 48.7% 26.4%
Second Round20.2% 29.9% 14.9%
Sweet Sixteen8.0% 12.3% 5.6%
Elite Eight3.3% 5.3% 2.3%
Final Four1.2% 2.0% 0.8%
Championship Game0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 32 - 110 - 13
Quad 48 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 319   Louisiana Monroe W 95-60 97%     1 - 0 +23.2 +13.2 +8.3
  Nov 10, 2024 281   Alabama St. W 74-61 95%     2 - 0 +3.8 -3.9 +7.3
  Nov 14, 2024 42   @ Kansas St. L 71-75 35%    
  Nov 19, 2024 303   Charleston Southern W 84-64 97%    
  Nov 22, 2024 35   Pittsburgh L 74-76 44%    
  Nov 29, 2024 332   Northwestern St. W 85-62 98%    
  Dec 03, 2024 80   Florida St. W 78-73 69%    
  Dec 08, 2024 239   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-61 93%    
  Dec 14, 2024 63   SMU W 80-79 54%    
  Dec 17, 2024 322   Stetson W 84-62 97%    
  Dec 22, 2024 347   New Orleans W 91-66 99%    
  Dec 29, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 85-52 99.8%   
  Jan 04, 2025 83   Vanderbilt W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 07, 2025 71   @ Missouri L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 61   @ Mississippi L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 14, 2025 19   Arkansas L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 28   @ Texas A&M L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 7   @ Alabama L 76-87 17%    
  Jan 29, 2025 3   Auburn L 74-81 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 23   Texas L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 68   @ Georgia L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 61   Mississippi W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 12, 2025 19   @ Arkansas L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 52   @ Oklahoma L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 18, 2025 64   South Carolina W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 21   Florida L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 25, 2025 9   Tennessee L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 26   @ Mississippi St. L 73-79 31%    
  Mar 04, 2025 12   @ Kentucky L 76-85 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 28   Texas A&M W 73-72 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.5 3.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.0 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.5 3.4 3.7 0.4 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.5 1.3 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 4.1 2.6 0.2 8.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.3 1.1 0.0 7.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.1 1.3 0.1 7.5 15th
16th 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.4 16th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.0 7.5 9.7 11.4 12.5 12.4 10.9 8.9 6.8 4.9 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 2.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.8% 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 3.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.1% 99.7% 8.2% 91.5% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 4.9% 97.4% 7.2% 90.2% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.2%
11-7 6.8% 93.6% 3.2% 90.4% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 93.4%
10-8 8.9% 80.5% 1.7% 78.8% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.7 80.1%
9-9 10.9% 59.4% 1.1% 58.3% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.1 4.4 58.9%
8-10 12.4% 31.0% 0.5% 30.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.6 30.6%
7-11 12.5% 9.4% 0.1% 9.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.3 9.3%
6-12 11.4% 2.0% 0.1% 1.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.1 1.9%
5-13 9.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.1%
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 5.0% 5.0
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 36.2% 1.6% 34.5% 7.6 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.4 5.1 4.9 3.9 0.7 0.0 63.9 35.1%