IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.2	#281
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.9	#240

Pace	68.0	#220
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#212

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.1%	17.5%	11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	50.2%	63.9%	38.2%
.500 or above in Conference	83.5%	88.3%	79.2%
Conference Champion	19.2%	24.2%	14.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.4%	1.3%

First Four	7.9%	8.4%	7.5%
First Round	10.0%	13.1%	7.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Neutral) - 46.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 8	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	94	@ UNLV	L	79-93	9%	0 - 1			-5.5	+9.1	-14.6
Nov 10, 2024	48	@ LSU	L	61-74	5%	0 - 2			-0.2	-7.4	+7.5
Nov 22, 2024	266	Nebraska Omaha	L	69-70	47%
Nov 23, 2024	280	Lamar	L	70-71	50%
Nov 24, 2024	135	@ Akron	L	64-75	16%
Nov 27, 2024	22	@ Cincinnati	L	58-80	2%
Dec 03, 2024	63	@ SMU	L	66-84	5%
Dec 05, 2024	231	@ Southern Miss	L	69-75	30%
Dec 11, 2024	314	Tennessee Martin	W	76-71	69%
Dec 19, 2024	230	Norfolk St.	L	67-70	40%
Dec 20, 2024	344	Delaware St.	W	71-65	69%
Dec 30, 2024	71	@ Missouri	L	61-78	7%
Jan 04, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	73-56	93%
Jan 06, 2025	361	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-69	84%
Jan 11, 2025	324	@ Jackson St.	L	69-70	50%
Jan 13, 2025	352	@ Alcorn St.	W	70-66	63%
Jan 18, 2025	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	71-69	56%
Jan 25, 2025	345	Prairie View	W	77-68	77%
Jan 27, 2025	257	Texas Southern	W	69-67	56%
Feb 01, 2025	291	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	69-71	42%
Feb 03, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	W	71-66	67%
Feb 08, 2025	241	Grambling St.	W	66-65	52%
Feb 10, 2025	273	Southern	W	70-67	60%
Feb 15, 2025	361	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-72	68%
Feb 17, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-59	82%
Feb 22, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	74-63	82%
Feb 24, 2025	291	Bethune-Cookman	W	72-68	63%
Mar 01, 2025	340	Alabama A&M	W	74-66	74%
Mar 06, 2025	273	@ Southern	L	67-70	39%
Mar 08, 2025	241	@ Grambling St.	L	63-68	33%
Projected Record						15 - 15	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.9	4.4	5.7	4.4	2.1	0.5		19.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.9	5.9	5.0	2.0	0.3	0.0			16.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.3	6.2	3.9	0.8	0.0					14.6	3rd
4th										0.3	2.4	5.8	3.4	0.6	0.0						12.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.9	4.9	3.1	0.4	0.0							10.4	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	3.8	2.9	0.5	0.0								8.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	2.8	2.2	0.5	0.0									6.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.0	1.9	0.5	0.0										4.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.2	1.4	0.4	0.0											3.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.0												2.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0												1.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.4	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.4	2.7	4.6	6.6	8.7	11.1	13.1	13.1	12.3	10.3	7.7	4.7	2.1	0.5			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	99.5%	2.1		2.0	0.1
16-2	93.1%	4.4		3.7	0.7	0.0
15-3	74.1%	5.7		3.6	1.9	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.8%	4.4		1.8	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.2%	1.9		0.3	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.2%	19.2		11.9	5.5	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		55.0%	55.0%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-1	2.1%		44.6%	44.6%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	1.1
16-2	4.7%		37.2%	37.2%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	0.7	2.9
15-3	7.7%		31.2%	31.2%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	5.3
14-4	10.3%		23.4%	23.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.4	2.0	7.9
13-5	12.3%		18.1%	18.1%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.1	10.1
12-6	13.1%		13.2%	13.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.7	11.4
11-7	13.1%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																0.0	1.2	11.9
10-8	11.1%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.7	10.4
9-9	8.7%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.4	8.3
8-10	6.6%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.2	6.4
7-11	4.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
6-12	2.7%																							2.7
5-13	1.4%																							1.4
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.1%	14.1%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.3	10.7	85.9		0.0%