IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.7	#287
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.3	#343

Pace	66.0	#262
Improvement	-5.8	#363

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#306

First Shot	-1.8	#223
After Offensive Rebound	-2.7	#322

Layup/Dunks	-1.5	#239
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#74
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.7	#196
Freethrows	-1.8	#280

Improvement	-0.3	#203

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#238

First Shot	-2.3	#252
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#168

Layups/Dunks	-2.7	#272
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#99
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#174
Freethrows	-1.1	#256

Improvement	-5.5	#364

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.5%	14.9%	10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	30.5%	37.3%	16.7%
.500 or above in Conference	81.8%	84.8%	75.8%
Conference Champion	15.9%	18.0%	11.5%
Last Place in Conference	0.5%	0.4%	0.8%

First Four	10.8%	11.5%	9.4%
First Round	8.3%	9.5%	5.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Neutral) - 66.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 9	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	26	@ Mississippi	L	64-66	3%	0 - 1			+14.6	-2.8	+17.4
Nov 11, 2024	8	@ Florida	L	62-86	1%	0 - 2			-3.1	-5.2	+3.2
Nov 21, 2024	71	@ New Mexico	L	58-80	6%	0 - 3			-11.2	-17.0	+8.3
Nov 24, 2024	80	@ USC	L	69-80	7%	0 - 4			-1.1	+4.4	-5.9
Nov 26, 2024	249	@ Cal Poly	L	79-82	32%	0 - 5			-4.9	+4.4	-9.3
Dec 07, 2024	226	@ Pepperdine	L	57-85	27%	0 - 6			-28.5	-15.5	-12.9
Dec 16, 2024	230	SE Louisiana	L	65-75	50%	0 - 7			-16.7	-2.0	-15.7
Dec 19, 2024	341	Delaware St.	W	72-67	67%
Dec 20, 2024	196	Norfolk St.	L	66-71	32%
Dec 22, 2024	27	@ Cincinnati	L	56-79	2%
Jan 04, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	W	78-77	56%
Jan 06, 2025	300	@ Texas Southern	L	69-71	42%
Jan 11, 2025	289	Bethune-Cookman	W	70-67	61%
Jan 13, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	72-63	80%
Jan 18, 2025	223	@ Southern	L	64-70	28%
Jan 25, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-59	85%
Jan 27, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-73	76%
Feb 01, 2025	311	Jackson St.	W	71-66	66%
Feb 03, 2025	343	Alcorn St.	W	73-65	75%
Feb 08, 2025	275	@ Alabama St.	L	70-74	37%
Feb 10, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	74-69	67%
Feb 15, 2025	300	Texas Southern	W	72-68	64%
Feb 17, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	81-74	74%
Feb 22, 2025	223	Southern	L	67-68	48%
Mar 01, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	W	69-66	61%
Mar 03, 2025	289	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	67-70	40%
Mar 06, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	77-66	84%
Mar 08, 2025	275	Alabama St.	W	73-71	58%
Projected Record						12 - 16	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	4.7	2.7	1.0	0.2		15.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	3.6	6.0	4.1	1.1	0.1				15.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.4	6.3	3.2	0.5	0.0					13.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.6	6.2	3.2	0.4	0.0						12.6	4th
5th									0.1	1.9	5.6	3.2	0.4	0.0							11.2	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	4.5	3.5	0.5	0.0								9.8	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	3.3	3.1	0.6	0.0									7.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.5	2.1	2.5	0.6	0.0										5.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.4	1.6	0.5	0.0											4.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.3	0.0												2.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.0	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	12th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	3.1	4.9	7.7	10.4	12.8	13.9	13.9	11.8	9.2	5.9	2.8	1.0	0.2			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
16-2	95.6%	2.7		2.3	0.3	0.0
15-3	80.1%	4.7		3.2	1.4	0.1
14-4	50.0%	4.6		2.1	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	19.2%	2.3		0.5	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.9%	15.9		9.4	4.7	1.4	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		47.7%	47.7%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.0%		43.8%	43.8%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.6
16-2	2.8%		37.3%	37.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.7
15-3	5.9%		30.7%	30.7%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.6	4.1
14-4	9.2%		24.5%	24.5%		16.0																0.1	2.2	6.9
13-5	11.8%		19.1%	19.1%		16.0																0.0	2.2	9.5
12-6	13.9%		14.4%	14.4%		16.0																0.0	2.0	11.9
11-7	13.9%		11.5%	11.5%		16.0																0.0	1.6	12.3
10-8	12.8%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	1.0	11.7
9-9	10.4%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.6	9.8
8-10	7.7%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.3	7.4
7-11	4.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
6-12	3.1%																							3.1
5-13	1.5%																							1.5
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		13.5%	13.5%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	12.5	86.5		0.0%