Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#226
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#271
Pace72.4#71
Improvement-0.7#219

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot+0.0#174
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#272
Layup/Dunks-1.2#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#260
Freethrows-0.5#207
Improvement+0.3#169

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#231
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#251
Layups/Dunks+0.0#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement-1.0#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 20 - 50 - 13
Quad 32 - 22 - 15
Quad 49 - 510 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 351   Western Illinois W 77-64 87%     1 - 0 -2.5 -1.7 -0.4
  Nov 09, 2024 54   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 7%     1 - 1 -4.9 +7.4 -11.8
  Nov 16, 2024 85   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 12%     1 - 2 -8.7 -1.9 -6.9
  Nov 20, 2024 98   @ UNLV L 59-80 15%     1 - 3 -13.6 -3.5 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2024 58   @ Northwestern L 50-68 7%     1 - 4 -5.2 -13.5 +7.3
  Nov 26, 2024 342   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 85%     1 - 5 -23.6 -9.4 -15.1
  Nov 29, 2024 146   New Mexico St. W 82-70 34%     2 - 5 +12.8 +7.8 +4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 297   Weber St. L 53-68 65%     2 - 6 -22.6 -24.0 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 327   Grambling St. W 85-57 81%     3 - 6 +15.3 +8.8 +6.6
  Dec 14, 2024 264   Northern Arizona W 86-76 67%     4 - 6 +2.0 +8.1 -6.2
  Dec 19, 2024 304   Long Beach St. L 76-79 76%     4 - 7 -13.9 -3.1 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2024 222   UC Davis W 85-46 59%     5 - 7 +33.2 +14.3 +19.0
  Dec 28, 2024 60   @ Santa Clara L 80-91 8%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +1.3 +11.3 -9.9
  Dec 30, 2024 11   Gonzaga L 82-89 5%     5 - 9 0 - 2 +8.8 +9.0 +0.3
  Jan 02, 2025 30   @ St. Mary's L 41-71 4%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -12.8 -17.4 +1.4
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 87-70 52%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +13.1 +10.1 +2.6
  Jan 16, 2025 69   San Francisco L 63-80 19%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -11.4 -4.7 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2025 30   St. Mary's L 50-74 8%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -11.9 -8.6 -6.5
  Jan 23, 2025 87   @ Oregon St. L 63-83 12%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -11.1 +1.5 -15.6
  Jan 25, 2025 277   Pacific W 60-44 70%     7 - 13 2 - 6 +7.0 -17.8 +24.7
  Jan 30, 2025 314   @ San Diego W 98-90 62%     8 - 13 3 - 6 +1.4 +8.4 -8.2
  Feb 01, 2025 284   Portland L 64-84 72%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -29.5 -13.3 -17.0
  Feb 08, 2025 107   @ Washington St. L 86-87 18%     8 - 15 3 - 8 +5.1 +8.8 -3.6
  Feb 11, 2025 169   Loyola Marymount L 60-69 48%     8 - 16 3 - 9 -11.9 -9.2 -3.1
  Feb 13, 2025 314   San Diego W 88-81 78%     9 - 16 4 - 9 -4.7 +5.4 -10.5
  Feb 15, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 55-107 2%     9 - 17 4 - 10 -31.1 -14.7 -11.9
  Feb 20, 2025 87   Oregon St. L 78-84 24%     9 - 18 4 - 11 -2.1 +10.1 -12.8
  Feb 22, 2025 169   @ Loyola Marymount L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 284   @ Portland W 79-78 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 107   Washington St. L 76-81 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 2.9 2.9 6th
7th 0.7 2.2 2.9 7th
8th 7.7 19.8 0.3 27.9 8th
9th 7.9 34.3 6.7 48.9 9th
10th 15.6 1.8 17.4 10th
11th 11th
Total 23.5 43.9 27.3 5.4 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 5.4% 5.4
6-12 27.3% 27.3
5-13 43.9% 43.9
4-14 23.5% 23.5
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 23.5%