Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#203
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Pace71.0#110
Improvement+2.9#57

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#217
First Shot-0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#257
Freethrows-0.5#211
Improvement+0.9#121

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#195
First Shot-0.1#185
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#170
Freethrows+0.2#177
Improvement+2.0#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 16.0 15.0
.500 or above 1.2% 5.0% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 8.5% 25.9% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 0.6% 5.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 8
Quad 21 - 41 - 13
Quad 32 - 23 - 15
Quad 49 - 512 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 336   Western Illinois W 77-64 87%     1 - 0 -1.2 -1.3 +0.4
  Nov 09, 2024 79   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 13%     1 - 1 -8.0 +5.6 -13.1
  Nov 16, 2024 60   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 10%     1 - 2 -6.0 -0.6 -5.4
  Nov 20, 2024 99   @ UNLV L 59-80 18%     1 - 3 -13.3 -5.5 -9.7
  Nov 22, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 50-68 9%     1 - 4 -5.2 -12.0 +5.8
  Nov 26, 2024 309   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 80%     1 - 5 -20.2 -8.4 -12.6
  Nov 29, 2024 128   New Mexico St. W 82-70 34%     2 - 5 +14.3 +6.6 +7.0
  Nov 30, 2024 237   Weber St. L 53-68 59%     2 - 6 -19.3 -23.2 +3.7
  Dec 07, 2024 325   Grambling St. W 85-57 84%     3 - 6 +15.2 +7.4 +7.9
  Dec 14, 2024 264   Northern Arizona W 86-76 73%     4 - 6 +1.4 +7.5 -6.2
  Dec 19, 2024 293   Long Beach St. L 76-79 78%     4 - 7 -13.4 -2.9 -10.5
  Dec 21, 2024 228   UC Davis W 85-46 67%     5 - 7 +32.5 +13.7 +18.9
  Dec 28, 2024 67   @ Santa Clara L 80-91 11%     5 - 8 0 - 1 +0.1 +10.3 -10.0
  Dec 30, 2024 14   Gonzaga L 82-89 8%     5 - 9 0 - 2 +6.9 +7.1 +0.3
  Jan 02, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 41-71 6%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -14.6 -19.4 +1.6
  Jan 04, 2025 302   @ Pacific W 87-70 62%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +11.9 +8.4 +3.1
  Jan 16, 2025 75   San Francisco L 63-80 26%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -12.4 -6.4 -6.3
  Jan 18, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 50-74 13%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -14.1 -10.9 -6.5
  Jan 23, 2025 70   @ Oregon St. L 65-78 11%    
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Pacific W 79-70 80%    
  Jan 30, 2025 290   @ San Diego W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 308   Portland W 79-70 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 85   @ Washington St. L 70-82 13%    
  Feb 11, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 290   San Diego W 78-70 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 14   @ Gonzaga L 69-91 2%    
  Feb 20, 2025 70   Oregon St. L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 308   @ Portland W 76-73 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 85   Washington St. L 73-79 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.9 7.1 2.5 0.1 15.6 7th
8th 2.1 13.3 21.0 15.9 4.8 0.3 57.4 8th
9th 0.6 6.2 5.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.7 10.3 19.1 23.3 21.0 13.1 6.4 1.8 0.3 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 1.8% 1.8
9-9 6.4% 6.4
8-10 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 13.1
7-11 21.0% 21.0
6-12 23.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.3
5-13 19.1% 19.1
4-14 10.3% 10.3
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%