IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

UC Davis
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.2	#184
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.0	#121

Pace	74.6	#56
Improvement	+0.8	#124

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#307

First Shot	-1.1	#202
After Offensive Rebound	-3.5	#343

Layup/Dunks	-3.3	#291
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.0	#77
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.7	#267
Freethrows	+2.9	#47

Improvement	+0.0	#173

Defense
Total Defense	+3.4	#84

First Shot	+2.9	#90
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.5	#152

Layups/Dunks	-0.4	#179
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#45
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#88
Freethrows	-1.0	#249

Improvement	+0.8	#127

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.5%	3.9%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.3	13.2	13.8

.500 or above	56.0%	61.5%	35.6%
.500 or above in Conference	64.1%	66.6%	54.7%
Conference Champion	2.9%	3.3%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	2.4%	2.0%	3.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	3.5%	3.9%	2.3%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 78.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 3	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	96	@ Washington	L	73-79	18%	0 - 1			+2.6	-5.4	+8.9
Nov 07, 2024	291	@ Idaho	W	79-75	60%	1 - 1			+0.2	-1.1	+1.2
Nov 17, 2024	87	@ Stanford	L	65-79	16%	1 - 2			-4.8	-6.8	+2.5
Nov 20, 2024	102	@ Grand Canyon	W	75-68	19%	2 - 2			+14.9	+2.1	+12.4
Nov 25, 2024	196	Norfolk St.	L	55-76	63%	2 - 3			-25.7	-21.0	-4.8
Nov 30, 2024	67	@ Oregon St.	L	57-90	13%	2 - 4			-21.8	-5.5	-18.6
Dec 05, 2024	249	Cal Poly	W	77-66	74%	3 - 4	1 - 0		+3.1	-11.4	+12.9
Dec 07, 2024	136	UC Santa Barbara	W	71-60	52%	4 - 4	2 - 0		+9.4	+0.1	+9.9
Dec 14, 2024	329	@ Sacramento St.	W	69-62	71%	5 - 4			+0.0	-2.5	+2.7
Dec 18, 2024	291	Idaho	W	75-66	79%
Dec 21, 2024	226	@ Pepperdine	L	71-72	47%
Jan 02, 2025	245	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	W	68-67	52%
Jan 04, 2025	148	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	73-78	33%
Jan 09, 2025	278	Cal St. Fullerton	W	71-63	77%
Jan 11, 2025	272	Long Beach St.	W	72-64	77%
Jan 16, 2025	249	@ Cal Poly	W	80-79	53%
Jan 18, 2025	136	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	68-74	31%
Jan 23, 2025	174	Hawaii	W	70-67	59%
Jan 30, 2025	177	@ UC Riverside	L	68-71	38%
Feb 01, 2025	63	@ UC Irvine	L	62-75	12%
Feb 06, 2025	272	@ Long Beach St.	W	69-67	56%
Feb 08, 2025	278	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	68-66	57%
Feb 13, 2025	177	UC Riverside	W	71-68	60%
Feb 15, 2025	95	@ UC San Diego	L	64-74	19%
Feb 20, 2025	245	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	71-64	72%
Feb 22, 2025	148	Cal St. Northridge	W	76-75	54%
Mar 02, 2025	174	@ Hawaii	L	67-70	38%
Mar 06, 2025	63	UC Irvine	L	65-72	27%
Mar 08, 2025	95	UC San Diego	L	67-71	37%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0			2.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.8	2.9	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.0				8.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.8	4.6	5.5	3.1	0.8	0.1						16.1	3rd
4th										0.2	2.0	5.8	5.7	2.3	0.3	0.0							16.4	4th
5th									0.1	2.1	6.2	5.3	1.6	0.2	0.0								15.6	5th
6th								0.1	1.7	5.5	4.6	1.3	0.1	0.0									13.3	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	4.4	4.0	1.0	0.1											10.6	7th
8th						0.1	0.8	3.2	3.0	0.7	0.1												7.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.5	1.8	2.1	0.5	0.0													5.0	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0													2.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0															1.0	11th

Total			0.0	0.2	0.6	1.9	3.9	6.9	9.8	12.6	14.1	14.2	12.5	9.8	6.7	3.9	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.0				Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	92.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	72.3%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	47.6%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.0
15-5	20.8%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	5.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.4	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		23.8%	23.8%		11.6												0.0	0.0					0.0
18-2	0.3%		26.7%	26.7%		12.2												0.0	0.1	0.0				0.2
17-3	0.8%		19.3%	19.3%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.6
16-4	1.8%		18.7%	18.7%		12.5												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.5
15-5	3.9%		14.5%	14.5%		12.9													0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.3
14-6	6.7%		10.7%	10.7%		13.2													0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0		5.9
13-7	9.8%		5.6%	5.6%		13.3													0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0		9.3
12-8	12.5%		4.1%	4.1%		13.4													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0		12.0
11-9	14.2%		2.2%	2.2%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		13.9
10-10	14.1%		1.4%	1.4%		14.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	13.9
9-11	12.6%		0.6%	0.6%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.5
8-12	9.8%		0.3%	0.3%		15.6																0.0	0.0	9.8
7-13	6.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
6-14	3.9%																							3.9
5-15	1.9%																							1.9
4-16	0.6%																							0.6
3-17	0.2%																							0.2
2-18	0.0%																							0.0
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		3.5%	3.5%	0.0%	13.3												0.0	0.7	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.1	96.5		0.0%